Preparations for the Ozone Critical Levels Workshop (November, 2016)

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Presentation transcript:

Preparations for the Ozone Critical Levels Workshop (November, 2016) Report from the Ozone Epidemiology Worksop (November, 2015) Gina Mills*, Sabine Braun, Per Erik Karlsson, Håkan Pleijel, Patrick Büker and Ignacio Gonzalez-Fernandez * Head of the Programme Coordination Centre, ICP Vegetation

Critical levels for ozone: background Cell membrane damage Altered partitioning Reactive Oxygen Species Photosynthesis inhibited What are the thresholds/critical levels above which detrimental effects occur? Which effects are most important for policy? How do these critical levels differ for different species? Reduced growth and seed production

Ozone risk assessment methodology Ozone concentration (AOT40) Ozone flux/stomatal uptake is growth stage dependent and calculated from hourly mean: Ozone conc. Light Temperature Humidity (VPD) Soil moisture

Critical levels for ozone, an evolving process Year Workshop Progress 1988, 1989 Bad Harzburg, Germany Annual mean 1992 Egham, UK AOT40 introduced 1993 Bern Switzerland AOT40 established 1996 Kuopio, Finland AOT40 extended 1999 Gerzensee, Switzerland First flux-based critical levels considered 2002 Gothenburg, Sweden First flux-based critical levels accepted 2005 Obergurgl, Austria CLs updated based on new knowledge 2009 Ispra, Italy 2016 Madrid, Spain CLs and methodology to be updated, including climate change impacts

Ozone flux and flux-effect models in LRTAP Manual PODY-based functions and critical levels Ozone flux Crops Trees Grasslands Wheat * Birch * Clover spp* Potato * Beech * Viola spp Tomato * Norway spruce * Buttercup spp Grapevine Scots pine Cocksfoot Maize Temperate oak Soybean Poplar Sunflower Aleppo pine Holm Oak Influenced by: O3 Temperature VPD, PAR SMD, Phenology * Flux-effect relationships available PODY: Phytotoxic Ozone Dose (absorbed by plant) Available at: http://icpvegetation.ceh.ac.uk/manuals/

Hindås Methodology Workshop Deganwy Response Functions Workshop Preparations for next Critical Levels Workshop Hindås Methodology Workshop Sweden, 24 – 25 November, 2015 27 representatives from ICP Vegetation, ICP Forests, WGE and EMEP from Finland, Germany, Italy, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland and the UK. Deganwy Response Functions Workshop 7- 9 June, 2016, UK Ca 30 participants to review progress towards the main meeting in November

Revision process O3 Calculating relative biomass Ozone Time interval for accumulation of PODy Defining Y Ozone gradients Defining Minimum conductance Relative biomass PODy Regional parameterisations More species Deriving critical levels e.g. long living vegetation

Working Groups Forests, chaired by Patrick Büker, UK Crops, chaired by Håkan Pleijel, Sweden (Semi-)natural vegetation, chaired by Ignacio Gonzalez-Fernandez, Spain Supported by: Unified methodology (Sabine Braun, Switzerland) Field evidence (Felicity Hayes, UK)

Hindås, Sweden, 23 – 24 November, 2015 Second Expert Workshop Epidemiological Analysis of Air Pollution Effects on Vegetation Hindås, Sweden, 23 – 24 November, 2015 A follow-up from the first Expert Workshop on Epidemiological Analysis of Air Pollution Effects on Vegetation in Basel, 16-17 September 2014 Attended by 24 scientists from Finland, Italy, Sweden, Spain, Switzerland, and United Kingdom 12 presentations Recommendations for the application of epidemiological methods were revised and will be submitted to a peer reviewed journal, Braun et al. (in preparation)

2nd Epidemiology Workshop, continued Epidemiological analysis cannot prove causality but can provide strong indications for causality The combination of monitoring, well-designed experimental studies, gradient studies (epidemiological analysis) and modelling can taken together provide credible, quantitative estimates of ozone impacts on European forests Air Pollution Climate Change Monitoring, Damage and Recovery Assessment Lab Experiments Field Experiments Epidemiology studies Ecosystem Modelling: steady-state, dynamic

Preparations for next Critical Levels Workshop Hindås Methodology Workshop Sweden, 24 – 25 November, 2015 Deganwy Response Functions Workshop 7- 9 June, 2016, UK Ozone Critical Levels Workshop w/s 7 November, 2016, Spain

SPARES

Deposition of Ozone for Stomatal Exchange DO3SE Deposition of Ozone for Stomatal Exchange http://www.sei-international.org/do3se