League of Women Voters - Waco Area

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League of Women Voters - Waco Area The LWV is a nonpartisan, political organization that Encourages informed and active participation in government Influences public policy through education and advocacy Hello. I am ____________, representing the Waco Area League. Thank you for inviting me to talk about the League’s favorite topic—voting! Our vision is empowered citizens shaping better communities. As a nonpartisan organization, the League never endorses or opposes candidates or political parties. But we do advocate for positions on issues that our members have studied and agreed upon.

But that’s not really true. We are in the midst of an election campaign when voters will elect the President of the United States as well as a number of state and county officials. You’ve heard lots of political rhetoric and undoubtedly complaints. So the next time you hear someone moaning about how bad things are in government, ask them if they are a voter. A common perception about representative democracy is that decisions are made by a majority of the people. But that’s not really true. “Decisions are made by a majority of those who make themselves heard and who vote—a very different thing.” (Walter H. Judd) Sources: (a) Quotes on the importance of voting: Get Out the Vote 2014 Election Center. Retrieved October 9, 2014, from http://www.bipac.net/page.asp?content=voting_quotes&g=vote&parent=bipac (b) Image from: Google images. Retrieved August 12, 2014, & February 15, 2016, from https://images.google.com Source: Google Images

Data sources available upon request % Voting-Age Citizens, Registered vs. Voted, by Geographic Area, November 2012 * Let’s look at eligible voters in the last presidential election (2012) The black bars on this chart show the percentage of voting-age citizens registered to vote – The McLennan County rate is higher than the national average but lower than Texas as a whole. But when it comes to the percentage in McLennan County who could have voted, but didn’t, there is over a 30-point gap. And by the way, Texas is near the bottom in voter turnout. Can you believe that there were 5 states with 70-75% voter turnout? If asked, top 5 are: Minnesota, Wisconsin, Colorado, New Hampshire, Iowa Bottom 5: Hawaii, West Virginia, Oklahoma, Texas, Arkansas So in our area, the problem is voter turnout, not voter registration. E.g., At a League luncheon to honor Collin County women who had run for office, one former official related that even a close friend who had donated to her campaign and told her that she had voted, did not, in fact, vote according to the election department’s list of voters. Sources: (a) US data: U.S. Census Bureau. (n.d.). Table 1. Reported voting and registration, by sex and single years of age: November 2012. Voting and registration in the election of November 2012--Detailed tables. Retrieved from https://www.census.gov/hhes/www/socdemo/voting/publications/p20/2012/tables.html (b) TX CVAP data: U.S. Census Bureau. (n.d.). Citizen voting age population (CVAP) special tabulation from the 2010-2014 5-Year American Community Survey (ACS). Retrieved from http://www.census.gov/rdo/data/voting_age_population_by_citizenship_and_race_cvap.html (c) TX & county registered voters & votes for president: Texas Secretary of State. (n.d.) November 2012 general election. 1992-Current election history. Retrieved from http://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm (d) Rank state voter turnout: U.S. Election Project. (2014, September 3). 2012 November general election turnout rates. Retrieved from http://www.electproject.org/2012g *Texas ranked 47th among states in turnout for President. Data sources available upon request

Percent Registered Voters Who Voted, Texas, November 2006-15 Voter Turnout Percent Registered Voters Who Voted, Texas, November 2006-15 Now let’s concentrate on voting turnout among registered voters in Texas over time. This graph shows that turnout varies considerably by type of election. The highest turnout is for presidential elections Followed by midterm elections in which state officials are elected Lowest turnout is for Constitutional amendment elections Voter turnout for May city and school district elections is not shown on this graph, but is also low, usually less than 10% unless there is a hot issue, such as liquor sales. Turnout for primary elections is also low. For the March 2016 Presidential Primary, Texas had over 17 million citizens eligible to vote and 82% were registered to vote. While 30% of Texas registered voters voted for a presidential candidate in the Democrat and Republican primaries, only 25% of the voting eligible population voted. The good news is that the 2016 turnout of registered voters was twice that of the turnout in 2012 (15%). Sources: (a) Texas Secretary of State. (n.d.). Turnout and voter registration figures (1970-current). Retrieved March 29,, 2016,, from http://www.sos.state.tx.us/elections/historical/70-92.shtml (b) United States Elections Project. (n.d.) 2016 presidential nomination contests turnout rates. Retrieved March 29, 2016, from http://www.electproject.org/2016P Data sources available upon request

Data sources available upon request. Fig. 5. % Votes of Selected Winning Candidates, May 2014 Texas Primary Runoff Republican Lt. Governor Runoff Patrick won with 65% votes Votes represented < 4% registered voters Democratic U.S. Senate Runoff Alameel won with 72% votes Votes represented 1% registered voters The impact of low voter turnout According to the Texas Tribune, the two maps shown here "paint ghostly pictures of Texas.” You can see that the few dark areas showing high turnout are few and far between. While the combined total turnout for the 2014 primaries was 14%, in the runoff, the combined turnout was only 7%. But the critical point is that Dan Patrick was elected Lt. Governor in 2014 in spite of the fact that "he earned votes from only 3.5 percent of registered Texas voters" to win the nomination (Hill, 2014). In Texas, many state and local partisan races are decided by the primary election or the primary runoff because of the dominance of one party. Thus winning candidates’ claims of a mandate for their platform is an illusion—they may represent only a small percentage of their constituencies. Sources: (a) Hill, D., & Ramsey, R. (2014, May 29). Texas runoff maps show extent of low voter turnout. The Texas Tribune. Retrieved June 1, 2014, from https://www.texastribune.org/2014/05/29/runoff-draws-lower-turnout-march-primary/ [Maps] (b) Texas Secretary of State. (2014, May). Current election history: Democratic primary runoff. Retrieved August 15, 2014, from http://www.sos.state.tx.us/elections/historical/70-92.shtml [Number votes Democrat primary runoff] (c) Texas Secretary of State. (2014, May). Current election history: Republican primary runoff. Retrieved August 15, 2014, from http://www.sos.state.tx.us/elections/historical/70-92.shtml [Number votes Republican primary runoff] (d) Texas Secretary of State. (2014, May). Turnout and voter registration figures (1970-current). Retrieved August 15, 2014, from http://www.sos.state.tx.us/elections/historical/70-92.shtml [Number Texas registered voters in May 2014] Data sources available upon request.

Vote Difference (No.) by Type Election, Year, Does your vote count? Vote Difference (No.) by Type Election, Year, Winning Candidate, and Geographic Area Election Year Winning Candidate Votes Area Presidential 2000 George Bush 537 FL U.S. Senate 2008 Al Franken 312 MN State Senate 1948 Lyndon Johnson 87 TX State Rep. #7 Mike Kelly 1 AK State Rep.* Linda Harper-Brown 19 State Rep.** 2010 Donna Howard 4 City Council*** 2016 Allan Meagher Irving One of the biggest myths to overcome is that it makes little sense to vote because the odds of you casting the deciding vote in an election are minuscule. Logically, in local elections like school board or city council, the odds of a single vote making a difference go up considerably because there are fewer votes. There are several examples in addition to the 2000 presidential election where the count has been very, very close, including a number in Texas. In the May 2016 Irving city council election, a runoff election was avoided because when one provisional ballot was counted, it pushed the incumbent over the 50% threshold required to avoid a runoff. Widespread belief that "my vote won't make a difference" leads "to circumstances in which one vote may make all the difference" (UT-A, 2014). Sources: Collin County Elections Department. (2014, June 21). Election summary report Murphy, TX, general election runoff, June 21, 2014, summary for jurisdiction wide, all counters, all races early voting and election day combines accumulated totals. Retrieved August 16, 2014, from http://www.co.collin.tx.us/elections/election_results/Pages Brumfield, L. (2016, May 14). 1 vote decides winner: Provisional ballet takes incumbent to 50.01%. Dallas Morning News. Retrieved May 14, 2016, from http://ireader.olivesoftware.com/Olive/iReader/DMN/SharedArticle.ashx?document=DMN%5C2016%5C05%5C14&article=Ar02104 University of Texas at Austin. (2014, August 18). Chapter 4. Explaining voting and nonvoting. Texas politics: Voting, campaigns, & elections. Retrieved , February 11August 18, 2014, fromhttp://www.laits.utexas.edu/txp_media/html/vce/ Kuffner, C. (2011, March 18). Neil finally concedes HD-48. Off the kuff. Retrieved June 27, 2016, from http://offthekuff.com/wp/?p=35582 List of close election results.Wikipedia: The free encyclopedia. Retrieved June 27, 2016, from https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_close_election_results * District #105, Irving. ** District #48, Austin. *** One provisional ballot counted exceeded the 50% threshold to avoid a runoff. Data sources available upon request.

League of Women Voters Why vote? Because it counts in so many ways! Most importantly, voters elect officials who make significant decisions that effect our lives, such as Taxes, roads, minimum wage, teacher pay, social security, health care—you name it Politicians listen to the people who vote—and they have access to the list of people who vote and where they live Voting highlights the power of your neighborhood, city and state. The number of people voting from where you live affects the resources allocated to where you live. For example, Senior citizens in this country have great government programs like Social Security and Medicare. That’s because seniors as a group have a high turnout rate. So elected officials are very responsive to their needs. Young people on the other hand have a low turnout rate, so politicians are less in tune with their needs. At the local level, have you ever wondered why the streets may be better in some parts of town than in others? If you look into it, you will almost always find that the areas with good streets are where voter turnout is high, and the areas with lots of pot holes are where voter turnout is low. The elected officials responsible for maintaining streets are more sensitive to areas where everybody votes and people talk to them. Some of you may not like the choices on the ballot or the fact that your preferred candidate in the last election lost. But in fact, usually more or less than half of voters win and the rest lose. If winning candidates know that many of their constituents voted for their opponents, they may be more open to listening to both sides of an issue. In the upcoming election we need to vote and make the best choice we can among those running to keep our government functioning. Being a voter empowers us to work toward solutions to problems in our community and our nation The only time your vote doesn’t count is when you don’t vote at all. League of Women Voters

Dates to Remember Last day to Vote Register to vote or update your info October 11 (Tues) Request a mail ballot October 28 (Fri) Application must be received on Oct 28 Early voting Oct 24 - Nov 4 (M-F) Election Day November 8 (Tues)

Voter Information Websites VoteTexas.gov Texas Secretary of State 1-800-252-VOTE Who – When – Where - How - What VOTE411.org Election Information You Need Enter your address to get personalized election information Co.McLennan.tx.us/337/Elections McLennan County Elections Department 254-757-5043 for polling places & sample ballot These four websites are very helpful to you in becoming an informed voter. VOTE411 Has all races that will be on your ballot. Enter your address and see races one by one, side by side comparison of candidates as well as voting locations VoteTexas.org Useful to learn about voter registration and voter ID requirements McLennan County Elections Department Has locations and hours for voting during Early Voting and on Election Day Sample ballots for each precinct (by political party) can be viewed and printed The LWV website is the easiest place to find: Voter information (easier than the VoteTexas.gov site) Printable voters guide for statewide races. LWVTexas.org A nonpartisan resource for voting & public policy issues League of Women Voters

Cartoon from http://raesidecartoon.com/vault/voting-3/ Plan to be a voter … How difficult will it be for you to be a voter in the upcoming election? We have basically two choices if we are dissatisfied with politics The easy option is to check out of political discourse and public life in favor of purely personal concerns and relationships. The more difficult option is voice, i.e., talking, listening, and working on public, and yes, political issues. Voting is a small part of increasing voice. And not just your voice but also the voice of your community. The challenges we face in getting out to vote are minimal compared to voters in other parts of the world. We can vote early or vote on election day Take your voter registration card and your driver’s license or other voter ID But by all means, Vote! It Counts~ Cartoon from http://raesidecartoon.com/vault/voting-3/