TEPPC Review Task Force Meeting February 4-5, 2016

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Presentation transcript:

TEPPC Review Task Force Meeting February 4-5, 2016 Western Planning Regions Discussion WPR Anchor Case Development Process TEPPC Review Task Force Meeting February 4-5, 2016 1/27/2016

WPR Anchor Case Presentation A collaborative presentation from the Western Planning Regions (“WPR”) A short-term solution Replaced when a long-term solution is available Reflects WPR current thinking and is subject to change Anchor case development and implementation by WECC uses existing staff and processes  1/8/2016

Anchor Case Based on the WPR Regional Transmission Plans Consistent Production Cost Model (“PCM”) and power flow (“PF”) base cases WPR to provide additional data to WECC Contemplates ongoing coordination between the WPR and WECC Anchor case PCM and PF may be the starting point for future anchor case development Assuming the long-term data management system isn’t available WECC and WPR may modify the final anchor case data as appropriate for their studies 1/8/2016

Anchor Case Round Trip Process Integral to short-term anchor case development Results in consistent PCM & PF base cases Reduces development time from historic methods Provides a bottom up approach (WPR  WECC) for anchor case development Is an opportunity to “automate” some of the process to build a new PCM case Hopefully helps staff to better manage resources applied to development of PF and PCM data A method to test and address future issues 1/8/2016

Anchor Case Data March 31 2026 PCM CC and exported PF WPR regional transmission plans data and assumptions The WPR anchor case process can be applied to other PCM datasets and PF base cases assuming a long-term method is not available 1/8/2016

Anchor Case Development - Diagram 1/8/2016

Anchor Case Verification Verification of results using an "unexpected results" type of test or other appropriate method if unexpected results are identified, use round trip to modify and synchronize PF and/or PCM data 1/8/2016

Anchor Case Improvements Likely a PCM and PF data input miss-match will hamper the future anchor case development Helpful if WECC provides a standardized PCM and PF data input process Miss-match likely lessened with better PCC-TEPPC coordination to identify and address issues Likely to continue until a long-term data management system solution is the source for PCM and PF base case development 1/8/2016

Timing for Anchor Case Development As soon as practical Use 2016-2017 planning cycle to develop the process Fully functional and consistent PCM and PF data/models (with dynamic models) available for the start of the 2018-2019 planning cycle 1/8/2016

WPR Information & Data Provided to WECC PCM data or assumptions that may be provided: Loads, DSM, Energy, Unit Commitment Annual and Monthly data and hourly shapes Other modeling assumptions (e.g., year for hydro shapes or other input assumptions) PF data that may be provided: Transmission topology and generator mapping data WPR data for development or updating dynamic models WPR recommends that WECC work with the WPR to develop appropriate data/assumptions for certain data not provided 1/8/2016

WECC Provide Information & Data to WPR Anchor case PCM and PF base case data Relevant change files that WECC develops to make any changes to WPR data Should also be available to other stakeholders WECC to work with WPR to fill in the missing data not historically included in WECC data WPR requests that WECC coordinate relevant study results and change case files with the WPR using the WPR’s data submittal windows 1/8/2016

WECC Data and Scenario Case Development No proposed change to WECC historical data collection or development process or methods WECC can follow historical method to define and collect PCM and PF data However, future WPR anchor cases should start with the prior cycle’s anchor case data and information WECC consider coordinating the timing of their data collection with the WPR data collection Need better PF development coordination between PCC development and the Anchor Case 1/8/2016

WECC Data and Scenario Case Development Continued For transparency and ease of use reasons, WECC should use change files (or other type of data set management system) to modify WPR anchor case To develop TEPPC scenarios Other data needed for other WECC studies 1/8/2016

Long-Term and Next Steps Long-term anchor case development yet to be determined Next Steps WPR representatives meet with WECC to develop the technical details/process for developing the anchor case for 2018-2019 planning cycle 1/8/2016

Questions? 1/8/2016