Northwest Gas Market Outlook

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Presentation transcript:

Northwest Gas Market Outlook Oregon Public Utility Commission Dan Kirschner, Executive Director Northwest Gas Association July 13, 2017

NWGA Members: 1914 Willamette Falls Dr., #255 West Linn, OR 97068 (503) 344-6637 www.nwga.org NWGA Members: Avista Corporation Cascade Natural Gas Co. FortisBC Energy Intermountain Gas Co. NW Natural Puget Sound Energy Enbridge BC Pipeline TransCanada GTN System Williams NW Pipeline

What is “The Outlook”? Overview Unique look at gas in our region. Supply Prices Demand Capacity 3

Total Available U.S. Resource

North American Gas Supply Reduction in drilling & completion costs Gains in well productivity Greater use of technology Technological improvements are increasing natural gas supply and at a lower cost: Sources: IHS 2010 Fueling North America’s Energy Future IHS 2016 Shale Gas Re-Loaded (Press Release)

Breakeven Cost Comparisons To Be Updated

WCSB Supply Forecast

Rockies Supply Forecast

US Production

Drilling Rigs and Gas Production

Historic Oil:Gas Spot Prices Source: EIA Monthly Spot Prices through May, 2017

Projected Natural Gas Price 10 Source: EIA 2008/2017 AEO NW Power Council 7th Power Plan Fuel Price Forecast

Regional Gas Demand

Oregon Gas Demand

Demand Composition

2016 Outlook Forecast (0.8% CAGR)

2008:2016 Outlook Comparison

Avg. Daily Demand/Capacities

Map To Come Proposed Projects

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