Unit 1: Money Evolution of Money 2/1/2011.

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Presentation transcript:

Unit 1: Money Evolution of Money 2/1/2011

Origin of Money Carl Menger is the father of the Austrian school of economics. He theorized that money came about through evolution from barter – aka, through the “invisible hand” (Smith) or spontaneous order (Hayek).

Invisible Hand “[He] was led by an invisible hand to promote an end which was no part of his intention” – Adam Smith Chicago school says: “as if by an invisible hand” Smith’s invisible hand was God. Modern economists remove God with the “as if”.

self-interest drives actors to socially beneficial behavior Invisible Hand invisible hand – self-interest drives actors to socially beneficial behavior

Spontaneous Order Hayek was a modern Austrian economist who won the Nobel prize. “The curious task of economics is to demonstrate to men how little they really know about what they imagine they can design.” – F.A. Hayek, The Fatal Conceit

Spontaneous Order spontaneous order – coordination that results from human interaction, but no conscious design

Spontaneous Order Examples money language Darwinian evolution

Menger’s Origin of Money Why do people trade useful goods and services for silly little pieces of paper?!

Menger’s Origin of Money Medium of Exchange (Indirect) Barter (Direct) Medium of Exchange (Indirect) Money (CAMOE)

Barter barter (direct exchange) – trade for something that can be used directly in consumption or production

Transaction costs of barter are so huge that it is very inefficient.

but rather for trade value Indirect Exchange medium of exchange (indirect exchange) – something not wanted for commodity value, but rather for trade value

Indirect Exchange B > A > C B-owner refuses to trade for A. trader endowment preference trades ends with B > A > C B-owner refuses to trade for A. C > B > A C-owner refuses to trade for B. A > C > B A-owner refuses to trade for C. A B C

Indirect Exchange B > A > C (1) A  C (2) C  B trader endowment preference trades ends with B > A > C (1) A  C (2) C  B C > B > A B  C A > C > B C  A A B C

Indirect Exchange The trades worked because a medium of exchange was used. Here broccoli was the medium of exchange. But the medium of exchange could be anything. (MOE) (MOE) ?

Indirect Exchange degree of marketability – more highly marketable goods are easier to sell for a “good price” (best price with full information) In other words, more marketable goods have lower transaction costs; more sellers will accept them.

Indirect Exchange Marketability is a non-Walrasian concept. In Walrasian economics everything is always at equilibrium (there are no transaction costs).

Indirect Exchange Traders will begin to carry an inventory of various media of exchange. Over time they notice some media of exchange are more marketable than others. Traders pick the more marketable medium of exchange.

Indirect Exchange network effect – the value of a good increases the more people use it Money has a network effect. The more people use a medium of exchange, the more marketable that medium of exchange is, the more other people will adopt it.

Money money – commonly accepted medium of exchange

Money When a circulating medium of exchange becomes commonly accepted (that is, widely adopted by most traders as the preferred media of exchange), it becomes money.

Why did most civilizations converge to gold or silver? Convergence Why did most civilizations converge to gold or silver?

Gold is more marketable due to several characteristics. Convergence Gold is more marketable due to several characteristics. Characteristics uniform durable divisible portable stable value

Convergence uniform – purity can be tested at low cost (biting, sounding, or assaying) Gold and silver are both pure elements on the Periodic Table. assay – chemically test the quality of metals

Convergence durable – no extra carrying cost due to spoilage Food commodities such as grains and olive oil could spoil. Preventing spoilage had a cost. Checking the quality of spoilable items during transactions had a cost (see uniformity).

Convergence divisible (and fusible) – payment can be tailored to purchase size Large pieces can be separated into small pieces. Small pieces can be combined into large pieces. (Not true of livestock.)

Convergence portable – high ratios of value to bulk In Sweden copper plate money weighed 44 pounds. 1 ship of gold = 15 ships of silver

Convergence stable value – not subject to seasonal variations Food commodities harvested a certain time of year could experience large swings in price depending on the time of year.

Convergence durable (no spoilage)    portable (high value/bulk)   Silver oxen barley durable (no spoilage)    portable (high value/bulk)   divisible   uniform (easy to grade) (coined)  stable value (non-seasonal) 

Convergence When traders from two regions with different commodity monies came into contact, the better of the two monies spread to the other region.

Medium of Exchange (Indirect) Mengerian Barter (Direct) Medium of Exchange (Indirect) Money (CAMOE)

Neo-Mengerian Money Gold & Silver Coin Bank Notes

Coins Coins first appeared in ancient Lydia (Turkey) and China. The earliest coins were punched, later coins were stamped, finally coins were minted.

Coins coinage – the process of fashioning monetary metal into standardized marked discs Merchants had to assess weight and quality when receiving payment. They would mark a piece of assessed gold to avoid the cost of re-assessing upon payout. Other traders would come to rely on the mark.

Coins When metal commodity standard would replace another medium of exchange, often the old medium of exchange would be stamped on the coin. Here an ox head is stamped on a coin replacing a cattle commodity standard.

Coins Private mints were common around gold and silver mines. Marketability of coins was discontinuously greater than marketability of unminted gold. Marketability of money was that of other commodities.

Coins seigniorage – profit that results from producing coins (difference between face value and metal value) Governments seized a monopoly on mints to reap seigniorage income.

Government mint monopolies interest justifications. Coins Government mint monopolies had a number of public interest justifications. Justifications seigniorage propaganda ending debasement

Bank Created Money outside money – full-bodied coins and other full-bodied commodity money (asset for holder, not a liability for someone else) inside money – bank issued money (asset for holder, a liability for issuing bank)

Banks began as money changers. Bank Created Money Banks began as money changers. In medieval Italy money changers would convert foreign coin to local coin. They became deposit takers because merchants found it easier to leave money with them “on account” than to lug money everywhere.

Bank Deposit Evolution Wheel money from and to bank.

Bank Deposit Evolution Do transaction at bank.

Bank Deposit Evolution Use a bank check.

Bank Deposit Evolution Electronic funds transfer.

Banknotes Banks would initially use checks payable to the bearer on demand. But with checks you must trust both the bank and the person whose account will be drawn on. Banknotes only require trust of the bank.

Banknotes banknote – bank-issued claims to outside money not in any customer’s name, but redeemable to the bearer Widespread use of banknotes preceded widespread use of checks.

other banks’ notes at par? par – full value (no discount) Par Acceptance Why did banks accept other banks’ notes at par? par – full value (no discount) Par Acceptance banks as note-changers note deuling mutual par acceptance pacts

Par Acceptance Banks are more successful note-changers than non-banks because they can issue notes – and thus hold interest bearing assets instead of non-interest bearing assets. Where transactions and redemption costs are exceeded by float profit, competition drives note-changing fees to zero.

Par Acceptance Banks would save notes and redeem a large quantity at once to embarrass the other bank. This made them both hold a lot of reserves. Cooperating with quicker redemption led to more profit.

Par Acceptance Banks that accept other banks’ notes at par improve circulation of both notes. Thus wise profit seeking banks will enter into bilateral par acceptance agreements.

Banks had note-porters redeem other banks’ notes. Clearing Agreements Banks had note-porters redeem other banks’ notes.

Clearing Agreements Note-porters would meet in the middle at a pub rather than going all the way to each other’s banks.

Multilateral clearing was even more efficient than bilateral. Clearing Agreements Bilateral clearing economized on time and transportation costs over unilateral redemption. Multilateral clearing was even more efficient than bilateral.

Clearing Agreements Clearinghouse Associations (CHAs) developed to facilitate multilateral clearing. CHAs were the institutional embodiment of par acceptance. They developed through spontaneous order.

Clearing Agreements Bilateral netting. -5 -1 -4 +6 +3

Clearing Agreements Multilateral netting. -5 -1 -1 CH -4 +6 +3

money in which monetary value far exceeds commodity value Fiat Money commodity money – money with a close relationship between money value and commodity value fiat money – money in which monetary value far exceeds commodity value

Fiat Money Is there a market path to fiat money? If a bank stops redeeming, it is a breach of contract. If a bank announces it will stop redeeming, no one will take its notes as the expiration date approaches.

Fiat Money Ha Ha! Typical path to fiat money government gives a monopoly on note issue to a single institution its liabilities become widely accepted government suspends redemption permanently

reject irredeemable notes? Fiat Money Why doesn’t the public reject irredeemable notes? Public acceptance Familiarity/Inertia Public Receivability Legal Tender Forced Tender

Fiat Money Fiat money uses the same unit of account as commodity money and looks practically identical.

Fiat Money public receivability – government accepts fiat money for tax payments legal tender – court forces acceptance of fiat money for debt repayment forced tender – government forces use of fiat money for spot transactions

Fiat Money “Over the years, all the governments in the world, having discovered that gold is, like, rare, decided that it would be more convenient to back their money with something that is easier to come by, namely: nothing.” – Dave Barry

Fiat Money The United States left the gold standard for a fiat standard domestically in 1933 when F.D.R. seized all gold by executive order. The United States left the gold standard internationally in 1971 when Nixon ended Bretton-Woods dollar convertability.