Changing Water Cycle dry tropical land wet Precipitation Change (%) Leading PAGODA consortium: Process-based understanding of the changing water cycle HydEF project: linking Hydrologists/Meteorologists/Stakeholders UK flooding events atmospheric precursors climate simulations Observations CMIP5 models dry tropical land wet Precipitation Change (%) SWELTER-21 project soil-water feedbacks linking Soil Science & Climate Modelling in Reading Left plot shows past, present and future changes in precipitation in the wet and dry tropical land regions in observations and models. The wet region is defined as wettest 30% of grid points and moves each month. There is a tendancy for wet regions to become wetter and dry regions drier as the planet warms, in line with basic physics. We are linking this to enhanced salinity patterns in the ocean and land surface changes in collaboration and Reading is providing expertise in Climate Modelling and Earth Observation through NCAS and NCEO. Right plot: we take a novel approach in starting with impacts (flooding in this case) and work back to the larger-scale atmospheric precursors which models can simulate. The plots show the high river flow associated with the 2009 November Cumbria floods and the associated specific humidity pattern. By computing moisture transport we can detect these events (Atmospheric Rivers), identify them in climate model simulations and use this knowledge to understand future changes over the UK, of tgreat interest to stakeholders. Middle: also mention SWELTER-21 in which expertise in climate modelling and soil science at Reading is contributing to new understanding of soil-water feedbacks. Also mention: Reading has recently led, through the Walker Institute, a highly successful Stakeholder engagement day in London highlighting results from Changing Water Cycle and Storms Risk Mitigation programs Earth Observation/Climate Modelling Ocean, Atmosphere & Land Surface Stakeholder Engagement
Changing Water Cycle dry tropical land wet Precipitation Change (%) Leading PAGODA consortium: Process-based understanding of the changing water cycle HydEF project: linking Hydrologists/Meteorologists/Stakeholders UK flooding events atmospheric precursors climate simulations Observations CMIP5 models dry tropical land wet Precipitation Change (%) SWELTER-21 project soil-water feedbacks linking Soil Science & Climate Modelling in Reading Left plot shows past, present and future changes in precipitation in the wet and dry tropical land regions in observations and models. The wet region is defined as wettest 30% of grid points and moves each month. There is a tendancy for wet regions to become wetter and dry regions drier as the planet warms, in line with basic physics. We are linking this to enhanced salinity patterns in the ocean and land surface changes in collaboration and Reading is providing expertise in Climate Modelling and Earth Observation through NCAS and NCEO. Right plot: we take a novel approach in starting with impacts (flooding in this case) and work back to the larger-scale atmospheric precursors which models can simulate. The plots show the high river flow associated with the 2009 November Cumbria floods and the associated specific humidity pattern. By computing moisture transport we can detect these events (Atmospheric Rivers), identify them in climate model simulations and use this knowledge to understand future changes over the UK, of tgreat interest to stakeholders. Middle: also mention SWELTER-21 in which expertise in climate modelling and soil science at Reading is contributing to new understanding of soil-water feedbacks. Also mention: Reading has recently led, through the Walker Institute, a highly successful Stakeholder engagement day in London highlighting results from Changing Water Cycle and Storms Risk Mitigation programs Earth Observation/Climate Modelling Ocean, Atmosphere & Land Surface Stakeholder Engagement