AgriCLASS – Agriculture Climate Advisory ServiceS Telespazio VEGA UK Ltd University of Reading University of Molise Telespazio France UK Met Office eGEOS CGI March 2016

AgriCLASS Vision To facilitate the understanding of the effect of climate change on crops To deliver a scalable system where crop modellers can access bioclimatic indicators derived from GCM’s Challenges: Downscaling, bias correction, uncertainty, etc

AgriCLASS Demonstrators Viticulture Olives Beech Forestry Case Study focus is on woody perennials – most affected by climate change Viticulture Buzet , SW France. 3-4wks shift in harvest date, affects wine flavour and alcohol content, impacts AOC typicality Olives Tuscany, Italy. 40% loss of crop due to pest, affects yield and flavour, impacts scarcity and price of virgin olive oil Beech Forestry Molise, Italy. Southern forests die-back due to drought, impacts productivity and biodiversity.

Preliminary Results: Olives Predicted olive infestation by fruit fly in early summer rises.

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