BASIC ASSUMPTION "Semi-Global" negative social mood today will escalate in 2011 ─ and beyond

The Downward Slide

Sociometers ∆Mood ≈ ∆Stock Index Stock Index leads Events

Collective Events-Descriptors Positive Mood (+) Negative Mood (-) unifying divisive liberating restricting togetherness separation supportive opposing open closed happy sad hard-working lazy manic depressive tolerant bigoted/xenophobic

The Outlook for World Trade

Middle East Events (1976-2010)

What’s Next? (2-12 years) Finance - The Federal Reserve system will be discredited and finally abolished Economy - The real unemployment rate in the U.S. and most major countries around the world will rise and eventually exceed 25 percent Politics The European Union will fragment and ultimately disappear Social Trends - Global warming will be relegated to a sideshow in the spectrum of topical social concerns