TVTC Impact Fee Update Nexus Study January 30, 2008 presented to Tri-Valley Transportation Commission (TVTC) presented by Christopher Wornum, Cambridge Systematics, Inc. January 30, 2008

Agenda Nexus process Impacts of growth Final projects Nexus findings Maximum fee rates Next steps Status of project - what has been done since last July Schedule for completion with milestones tied to TVTC meetings - draft report targeted for discussion at TVTC meeting on April 25th. Preliminary Nexus findings - i.e. not done with all Nexus analysis and report, but preliminary results indicate that all proposed projects can be funded up to 100% of unfunded balance by TVTC fee (if true) Fee rate alternatives - include discussion that fee rates determination is needed to complete draft report Next steps?

How a Nexus is Calculated Four Basic Steps LOS A LOS B LOS C LOS D LOS E LOS F LOS A LOS B LOS C LOS D LOS E LOS F LOS A LOS B LOS C LOS D LOS E LOS F LOS A LOS B LOS C LOS D LOS E LOS F Existing Conditions Future No Project Future No Project Future No Project Existing LOS Existing LOS Existing LOS Existing LOS Mitigating Improvements New development funds up to its share of needed capacity Through trips Existing population & employment and current V/C ratio Total traffic reduced by through trips Net new traffic impacts on congestion without improvements

Travel Demand from New Development Average AM/PM Peak Hour Trip Ends, 2007 to 2030 Average AM/PM Peak Hour Trips 350,000 321,446 300,000 98,066 44% 250,000 223,357 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 2007 2030

Thousands of Vehicle Hours of delay Tri-Valley Average Change in Congestion Vehicle Hours of Delay for Local Traffic (2005 and 2030) 45 Morning Peak Hour Evening Peak Hour 40,058 2030 no Project PM 40 38,715 2030 no Project AM 35 30 25 Thousands of Vehicle Hours of delay 20 15 10 5,092 2005 AM 4,505 2005 PM 5

Previous TVTDF Projects (Appendix A) Millions of 2008 Dollars Project Total Cost Unfunded Cost I-580/I-680 Interchange (southbound to eastbound) - - Route 84 Expressway I-580 to I-680 $337 $222 Isabel Route 84/I-580 Interchange $180 $15 I-680 Auxiliary Lanes $47 $38 West Dublin/Pleasanton BART Station - - I-580 HOV Lane Eastbound $162 $8 I-580 HOV Lane Westbound $165 $20 I-680 HOV Lanes, SR 84 to Top of Sunol Grade - - I-580/Foothill/San Ramon Road Interchange $1 $1 I-680/Alcosta Interchange - - Crow Canyon Road Improvements Phase 1 $16 $11 Crow Canyon Road Improvements Phase 2 $32 $32 Vasco Road Safety Improvements Phase 1 $23 $4 Vasco Road Safety Improvements Phase 2 $26 $26 Express Bus/Bus Rapid Transit $20 $12 Total $1,009 $389

Proposed TVTDF Projects (Appendix B) Millions of 2008 Dollars Project Total Cost Unfunded Cost I-580/I-680 interchange (westbound to southbound) $705 $700 5th eastbound lane on I-580: Santa Rita to Vasco Rd. $131 $131 I-580/First St. interchange modification $30 $4 I-580/Vasco Rd. interchange modification $51 $15 I-580/Greenville Rd. interchange modification $35 $8 Jack London Boulevard extension $28 $4 El Charro Road Extension $19 $5 Camino Tassajara widening: E. Blackhawk Dr to Cty line $49 $45 Danville Blvd/Stone Valley Rd I-680 Interchange $3 $3 I-680 SB HOV lane Gap Closure, North Main to Livorna $55 $37 I-680 Express Bus/HOV On- and Off-Ramps $80 $47 I-680 Transit Corridor Improvements $100 $100 Total $1,286 $1,098

Proposed TVTDF Projects (Millions of 2006 Dollars) $1,600 $1,487 Million $1,500 Appendix A $389 Million $0 $100 $200 $300 $400 $500 $600 $700 $800 $900 $1,000 $1,100 $1,200 Millions of 2006 Dollars $1,300 $1,400 Appendix B $1,098 Million $808 Million Appendix B $188 Million Appendix A $620 Million Funded (Millions) Unfunded (Millions)

Thousands of Vehicle Hours of delay Tri-Valley Average Change in Congestion Vehicle Hours of Delay for Local Traffic (2005 and 2030) 45 Morning Peak Hour Evening Peak Hour 40,058 2030 no Project PM 40 38,715 2030 no Project AM 35 32,890 2030 with Project AM 31,062 2030 with Project PM 30 25 Thousands of Vehicle Hours of delay 20 15 10 5,092 2005 AM 4,505 2005 PM 5

TVTC Transportation Development Fees Existing Fees (2007 Dollars) $4,000 $3,390 $3,500 $2,500 $2,290 $2,000 $1,888 Fees by Land Use Type $1,500 $1,270 $1,200 $1,000 Replace subtitle or add text box in chart: “Demand projected to increase 46% while funded capacity projects will add only 1%” Simplify: In legend say “Demand (VMT)” and “Capacity (lane-miles)” Does lane miles includes all funded CIP projects (STIP, etc.)? $500 $0 Single Family Multi-Family Retail per 1,000 sq. ft. Office per 1,000 sq. ft. Industrial per 1,000 sq. ft.

TVTC Transportation Development Fees Maximum Residential Fee Rates (2007 Dollars) $0 $7,000 $5,000 $4,000 $1,000 $2,000 $3,000 $6,000 $12,000 $11,000 $8,000 $9,000 $10,000 $13,000 $12,238 $8,430 Rate per Dwelling Unit Replace subtitle or add text box in chart: “Demand projected to increase 46% while funded capacity projects will add only 1%” Simplify: In legend say “Demand (VMT)” and “Capacity (lane-miles)” Does lane miles includes all funded CIP projects (STIP, etc.)? Single Family Multi-Family

Industrial per square foot TVTC Transportation Development Fees Maximum Commercial Fee Rates (2007 Dollars) $0 $14 $10 $8 $2 $4 $6 $12 $24 $22 $16 $18 $20 $26 $22.71 $20.80 $13.60 $12.10 Rate per square foot Replace subtitle or add text box in chart: “Demand projected to increase 46% while funded capacity projects will add only 1%” Simplify: In legend say “Demand (VMT)” and “Capacity (lane-miles)” Does lane miles includes all funded CIP projects (STIP, etc.)? Retail per square foot Office per 1,000 square foot Industrial per square foot Other per square foot

Fee per Single Family Home Contra Costa Transportation Development Fees Comparison Across Four Subregions Southern CC1 Western Contra Costa Lamorinda $2,000 $4,000 $6,000 $8,000 $10,000 $12,000 $14,000 $16,000 Tri-Valley $0 East County $15,000 $12,238 Fee per Single Family Home Replace subtitle or add text box in chart: “Demand projected to increase 46% while funded capacity projects will add only 1%” Simplify: In legend say “Demand (VMT)” and “Capacity (lane-miles)” Does lane miles includes all funded CIP projects (STIP, etc.)? $4,718 $3,038 SCC Subregional $2,595 $1,101 SCC Regional 1. Southern contra Costa fee program includes the cities of Danville, San Ramon, and the unincorproated area of SCC

Single Family Home Price in 1995 and 2006 $1 $972,193 $864,353 $800 $804,103 $781,771 $686,201 $600 Average Price for a Single Family Home $432,173 $400 Replace subtitle or add text box in chart: “Demand projected to increase 46% while funded capacity projects will add only 1%” Simplify: In legend say “Demand (VMT)” and “Capacity (lane-miles)” Does lane miles includes all funded CIP projects (STIP, etc.)? $309,829 $313,753 $312,228 $200 $221,997 $12,238 Fee $0 Danville San Ramon Dublin Pleasanton Livermore