2016 Elections on the Real Estate Industry Richard A. Hanson

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Economic Outlook 21 st Annual Southern California Visitor Industry Outlook Conference Jack Kyser Sr. VP & Founding Economist, The Kyser Center for Economic.
Advertisements

Witten Market Advisory Services Market insights for apartment owners, developers, investors and lenders Market-Smart Investment Decisions Advisors October.
Economic Update Economic Development Council of Seattle-King County Board Meeting February 27, 2014 Spencer Cohen Senior Economic Analyst.
G REYSTAR Rocky Mountain Commercial Real Estate Expo & DU Fall Forecast November 12, 2004.
0 Economic & Market Overview US and Fairfield County March 1, 2011.
Executive Summary 1 Market Overview 2 Demand Analysis 3 Supply Analysis 4 Site Analysis 5 Conclusion 6 MARKET ANALYSIS.
Current Market Conditions in the U.S. Office Real Estate Market A Midyear Update July 15, 2008.
23 rd Annual Southern California Visitor Industry Outlook Conference Economic Outlook Kimberly Ritter-Martinez Associate Economist The Kyser Center for.
Dr. Wallace Walrod, PhD Vice President, Research & Communications Orange County Business Council Orange County Economic Development Overview.
Real Estate Markets Introduction. Real Estate Markets: Economic Determinants of New Construction.
©2014 Lodging Econometrics, Inc. |
Rosen Consulting Group Real GDP Growth. Rosen Consulting Group U.S. Employment Growth.
Rosen Consulting Group Employment California Million.
Rosen Consulting Group Real GDP Growth. Rosen Consulting Group U.S. Employment Growth.
Real Estate Markets Introduction. Real Estate Markets: Economic Determinants of New Construction.
GLOBAL RESEARCH AND CONSULTING THE ECONOMY AND REAL ESTATE GARY BARAGONA DIRECTOR, RESEARCH & ANALYSIS JANUARY 2014.
Economic Update Kevin Lings Economist November 2013.
U.S./Arizona/Phoenix Economic Outlook
Figure 14.1 Economic Growth in the ADE/ASR model.
Testimony for Hearings on FY 2010 Revenues Yolanda K. Kodrzycki Senior Economist and Policy Advisor Federal Reserve Bank of Boston Presented to: Massachusetts.
Economic and Commercial Real Estate Outlook Lawrence Yun, Ph.D. Chief Economist NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS ® Presentation at NAR Annual Conference.
An overview of prepared for A D V I S O R Y G R O U P World Services Group, Inc. May, 2004 U.S. Economy & Commercial Real Estate Investment Market.
The Greater Boston Housing Challenge Barry Bluestone Center for Urban and Regional Policy Northeastern University WBZ “Attaining the American Dream” October.
Globalization and U.S. International Trade
2015 Commercial Real Estate Forecast Greg Shutt Industrial Properties.
Assessing Higher Education Credit Risk International Forum on Investment in Private Higher Education Susan Fitzgerald, Sr.Vice President
1 “All Eyes on the Economy” David Huether National Association of Manufacturers October 27, 2004.
Business Cycle & Economic Indicators Understanding the past Seeing the future!
The Massachusetts Housing Challenge Barry Bluestone Center for Urban and Regional Policy Northeastern University Greater Boston Real Estate Board LINK.
Growth Solutions Strategies and Asset Classes Well-Positioned for Capital Appreciation.
U.S. Property Market Update Mary Ludgin, PhD, Heitman Research September, 2007 There is a difference.
1 International Banking Activities By John T. Ross Deputy Commissioner California Department of Financial Institutions.
Marcus & Millichap Los Angeles Market Trends The Most Informative Overview of the Real Estate Market 2011.
There is a Difference. Wading Through Deep Water: Turmoil in the Economy and Capital Markets Western States Commercial Real Estate Finance Mary K. Ludgin,
5 5 WASHINGTON DC METRO MARKET OVERVIEW grubb-ellis.com.
Economic and Commercial Real Estate Outlook By Lawrence Yun, Ph.D. Chief Economist, National Association of REALTORS ® Presentation at NAR Annual Meetings.
USA Overview Douglas S. Culkin, CAE President and CEO, NAA November 04, 2015 Managing Build to Rent/PRS The U.S. Experience.
Adding value through market research Phoenix. Q Your partner in commercial real estate Mark Detmer, SIOR, CCIM Managing Director
“Real Estate Principles for the New Economy”: Norman G. Miller and David M. Geltner Real Estate QUIZMASTER DefinitionsAnalyticalNumericalThe.
The United States The Economy. What is GDP ? Gross Domestic Product (GDP): The total market (or dollar) value of all final goods and services produced.
Economic Outlook in Uncertain Times Lawrence Yun, Ph.D. Chief Economist NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® Presentation to IREM Chapter 77 In Reston, VA.
Economic and Commercial Real Estate Outlook By Lawrence Yun, Ph.D. Chief Economist National Association of REALTORS ® May 14, 2015 Washington, D.C.
Economic Growth Growth in National Income. Economic growth – growth in national income Economic growth means an increase in national income – the economy.
0 Cushman & Wakefield Sacramento Brief Fourth Quarter 2015.
Using the Business Cycle graphic organizer, research your assigned country with 1)handout 2)heritage.org info online *You will be able to use your Business.
Chapter 8 Understanding Real Estate Markets. Chapter 8  Real Estate Space Market  Real Estate Asset Market  Market Analysis.
Commercial RE Market Outlook Presented by: Bob Bach SVP, Chief Economist.
Robert A. Kleinhenz, Ph.D. Chief Economist, Kyser Center for Economic Research, LAEDC LAEDC Economic Forecast & Industry Outlook Office of the City Controller,
The Fermanian Business & Economic Institute – business & economics in action © FBEI 2010 The New Economics of Real Estate IREM San Diego Chapter
Global Market Environment
US Multifamily Strategy & 2017 Update
Triad Apartment Market
INLAND EMPIRE INDUSTRIAL STATS – Q
IN THE WASHINGTON METRO AREA
THE ECONOMY. THE ECONOMY PAYROLL JOBS (THOUSANDS) PAYROLL JOB GROWTH Selected Large Metro Areas | 12 Months Ending August 2017 PAYROLL JOBS (THOUSANDS)
CBRE’s US Capital Markets Activity Levels
Student Investment Management – Stock Presentation: Real Estate
MarketBeat Graphs Q
Small Companies Drive U.S. Job Growth
Economic & Real Estate Outlook
Regional Overview and Outlook 2018
2013: To The Cliff…and Beyond
Chicago Overall Historical Space Available
ULI Real Estate Consensus Forecast
John Husing, Ph.D. Economics & Politics, Inc. Chief Economist, IEEP
Capital Markets Graphs
John Husing, Ph.D. Economics & Politics, Inc. Chief Economist, IEEP
noun  mo·men·tum  \ mō-ˈmen-təm , mə- \
John Husing, Ph.D. Economics & Politics, Inc. Chief Economist, IEEP
John Husing, Ph.D. Economics & Politics, Inc. Chief Economist, IEEP
Presentation transcript:

2016 Elections on the Real Estate Industry Richard A. Hanson The Economic Effect of the 2016 Elections on the Real Estate Industry Richard A. Hanson

U.S. Unemployment Peaked Oct ‘09 at 10% U.S. Economic Overview Percent Unemployed Historical Unemployment Rate U.S. Unemployment Peaked Oct ‘09 at 10% 4.9% in October ‘16 2 Source: BLS.gov`

Employment Drivers: Education, Health Care & Professional Services Lead Over-the-year employment change by major industry, October 2015-October 2016 (12-month percent change shown) 12-month net job change (thousands) -0.5% -12.8% 2.7% 2.6% 1.3% 1.9% 2.6% 2.1% 1.4% 2.5% 0.3% Source: BLS.gov 3

U.S. Office-Using Job Growth Source: Costar Portfolio Strategy, Moody’s Analytics As of 2Q16 4

U.S. 2016 Election Results Map Source: NY Daily News 5

U.S. Office Market: Construction Accelerates: Still Remains Under Historical Levels 3Q 2016 Net Absorption (YTD) – 88.4 MSF Vacancy Rate 9.9% Rents Increased 3.8% YoY 60 MSF Delivered YTD 147 MSF Under Construction Market Size – 10.7 BSF Source: Costar 6

U.S. Industrial Market: Low Vacancy, Rising Rents Spur Construction 3Q 2016 Net Absorption (YTD) – 264 MSF Vacancy Rate 5.6% Rents Increased 6.4% YoY 199 MSF Delivered YTD 234 MSF Under Construction Market Size – 21.8 BSF Source: Costar 7

U.S. Retail Market: Rent Growth Drives Construction 3Q 2016 Net Absorption (YTD) – 108 MSF Vacancy Rate 5.0% Rents Increased 2.8% YoY 58 MSF Delivered YTD 79 MSF Under Construction Market Size – 13.0 BSF Source: Costar 8

U.S. Investment Market: Inbound Capital Flows Foreign Investment in U.S. Totaled $94,766.9 Million in 2015 Canada accounted for $25,386.1 Million Country Total Props Total Volume China 361 $14,597.4 Canada 370 $12,150.3 Germany 47 $5,099.2 South Korea 13 $3,886.0 Hong Kong 23 $3,025.5 Qatar 17 $3,015.0 Singapore 198 $2,736.3 Switzerland 179 $2,508.2 Saudi Arabia 5 $1,824.5 Other 270 $11,152.7 Total 1,483 $59,995.3 Market Total Props Total Volume Manhattan 58 $14,375.8 Los Angeles 45 $4,057.3 San Francisco 22 $3,293.0 DC 29 $2,863.6 Chicago 39 $2,447.5 Dallas 27 $2,190.0 Phoenix 55 $1,604.7 Boston 26 $1,593.6 San Diego 16 $1,505.7 Other 1,166 $26,064.0 Total 1,483 $59,995.3 Note: Compared to $47.1B in 2014; of which Canada invested $15.9 Billion Note: Data for 2016 is YTD, the numbers above reflect amounts invested as of 10/10/2016 Source: Real Capital Analytics 9

U.S. Investment Market: Buyer Types $186.8 $17.8 Note: Transactional volume shown in millions. Source: Real Capital Analytics 10