Pinnacle Advisory Group Rachel J. Roginsky, ISHC Pinnacle Advisory Group 76 Canal Street Boston, MA 02114 Telephone: 617-722-9916 Fax: 617-722-9917 rroginsky@pinnacle-advisory.com NAIOP Presentation Pinnacle Realty Investments Pinnacle Advisory Group
Lodging Statistics National Boston / Cambridge Suburban Boston
Total United States Room Supply/Demand Percent Change Twelve Month Moving Average To Dec 2002 Source: Smith Travel Research
Total United States Room Demand Percent Change Jan 2000 – Dec 2002 Source: Smith Travel Research
Total United States Occupancy and ADR Twelve Month Moving Average To Dec 2002 Source: Smith Travel Research
Top 25 Markets Occupancy Percent December 2002 YTD INDUSTRY AVERAGE 59.2 % Source: Smith Travel Research
Top 25 Markets ADR Percent Change December 2002 YTD Year over Year INDUSTRY AVERAGE -1.5 % Source: Smith Travel Research
Top 25 Markets Room Supply Percent Change December 2002 YTD Year over Year INDUSTRY AVERAGE 1.8 % Source: Smith Travel Research
Boston / Cambridge Occupancy 1989 – 2002 Source: Pinnacle Advisory Group
Boston / Cambridge Average Room Rate 1989-2002 Source: Pinnacle Advisory Group
Boston / Cambridge Lodging Supply 1989 - 2002 Source: Pinnacle Advisory Group
Suburban Boston Occupancy 1995-2002 Source: Pinnacle Advisory Group
Suburban Boston Average Room Rate 1995 - 2002 Source: Pinnacle Advisory Group
Suburban Boston Lodging Supply 1995 - 2002 Source: Pinnacle Advisory Group
Key Boston Lodging Market Issues New Supply Pipeline Boston Convention and Exhibition Center Changes in Demand
Boston / Cambridge New Supply Pipeline Compound Annual Growth of 1.9% Between 1989 and 2002 Inventory Growth of 4.9% Projected in 2003 Projected Compound Annual Growth of 5.3% between 2002 and 2007
The Pipeline - Boston/Cambridge Commonwealth Hotel–150 Rooms - April 2003 Embassy Suites–273 Rooms - February 2003 Hotel Marlowe -236 Rooms - March 2003 Residence Inn – 168 Rooms – May 2003 Jurys Doyle – 220 Rooms – April 2004 Hotel Onyx– 112 Rooms – July 2004 Charles Street Jail-300 Rooms – July 2004 Hampton Inn Crosstown – 175 Rooms – July 2004 Robin Brown Hotel –168 Rooms - Spring 2006
The Pipeline – Seaport District Renaissance – 438-Rooms April 2005 Sheraton HQ – 800-Rooms September 2005 Intercontinental – 420-Rooms - July 2005 Grand Hyatt – 500-Rooms – January 2006 Anthony’s Pier 4 – 250-Rooms – April 2007
Boston Convention and Exhibition Center - BCEC Projected Opening - June 2004 HQ Hotel Projected Opening September 2005 24 Definite Events 600,000 Room Nights Upon Stabilization Currently 128,000 definite room nights on books for 2006
Convention Center Related Demand In 2000 the Hynes Generated 400,000 Room Nights (7 occupancy points for the entire Boston Cambridge market) Upon Stabilization the BCEC is expected to generate approximately 600,000 room nights in addition to 300,000 at the Hynes , which results in a total of 900,000 room nights (11 occupancy points)
Boston / Cambridge Demand 2002 (Estimated) Source: Pinnacle Advisory Group
The Future…..
Factors Affecting Future Demand New Convention Center New Office Supply and Vacancies Logan Modernization Completion of the Big Dig Economy Budget Cuts
Boston / Cambridge 2003 Projections 2002 2003 Change Occupancy 72% 70% -2 Pts. Rate $165.04 $161.74 -2.0% RevPAR $118.82 $113.21 -4.7%
Suburban Boston 2003 Projections 2002 2003 Change Occupancy 58% 57% -1 Pts. Rate $97.37 $94.42 -2.0% RevPAR $56.47 $54.39 -3.7%
Pinnacle Advisory Group NAIOP Presentation Rachel J. Roginsky, ISHC Pinnacle Advisory Group 76 Canal Street Boston, MA 02114 Telephone: 617-722-9916 Fax: 617-722-9917 rroginsky@pinnacle-advisory.com Pinnacle Realty Investments Pinnacle Advisory Group