Introduction: Which are the emerging powers? Class 1 – Emerging Powers in Comparative Perspective Dr. Vinícius Rodrigues Vieira (Postdoctoral Researcher) IRI-USP, São Paulo, 15 February 2016

Summary 1 ) Course overview 2 ) Which are the emerging powers? Goals of the course; Program and readings; Grading and assignments. 2 ) Which are the emerging powers? A new phenomenon? Definitions; Power and its different dimensions. 3 ) Questions Summary

1 ) Course overview a ) Goals of the course Discuss the rise of emerging powers and their impact on the international political system; Why emerging powers and the labels associated to them (e.g.: BRICS, G20, IBSA) became a valid concept in political, economic, and policy debates; How the rise of emerging powers affect the way we think about the world; West’s reassertion and the future of the global order. 1 ) Course overview

1 ) Course overview b ) Program and readings Part I – Contextualizing the Emergence of New Powers 1 ) Course overview

1 ) Course overview b ) Program and readings Part II – New Powers: Between Regions and the Globe 1 ) Course overview

1 ) Course overview b ) Program and readings Part III – Implications of the Rise of New Powers 1 ) Course overview

1 ) Course overview c ) Grading and assignments Attendance and participation – Cumulative Parts I, II, and II (10%) Exam 1 – Part I (15%) Policy seminar – Part II (35%) Exam 2 – Cumulative Parts I, II, and II (40%) 1 ) Course overview

2 ) Which are the Emerging Powers?

2 ) Which are the Emerging Powers? a ) A new phenomenon? Remember history to understand the present 2 ) Which are the Emerging Powers?

2 ) Which are the Emerging Powers? a ) A new phenomenon? Remember history to understand the present 2 ) Which are the Emerging Powers?

2 ) Which are the Emerging Powers? a ) A new phenomenon? Until World War II: Imperialism; Cold War (1945-1989/1991) Military Bipolarity (US vs. USSR); Growing Economic Multipolarity (erosion of American hegemony after the 1970s); Pax Americana (1990s-2001/2008); Multipolarity within bipolarity (2008-)???? 2 ) Which are the Emerging Powers?

2 ) Which are the Emerging Powers? a ) A new phenomenon? 2 ) Which are the Emerging Powers?

2 ) Which are the Emerging Powers? b ) Definitions West vs. East; Global North vs. Global South; Rising or re-emergence? 2 ) Which are the Emerging Powers?

2 ) Which are the Emerging Powers?

2 ) Which are the Emerging Powers? b ) Definitions 2 ) Which are the Emerging Powers?

2 ) Which are the Emerging Powers? b ) Definitions 2 ) Which are the Emerging Powers?

2 ) Which are the Emerging Powers? b ) Definitions 2 ) Which are the Emerging Powers?

2 ) Which are the Emerging Powers? b ) Definitions 2 ) Which are the Emerging Powers?

2 ) Which are the Emerging Powers? b ) Definitions 2 ) Which are the Emerging Powers?

2 ) Which are the Emerging Powers? b ) Definitions The unit of analysis (countries, regions, time); The concepts (economic?); Proxies (GDP only). 2 ) Which are the Emerging Powers?

2 ) Which are the Emerging Powers? c ) Power and its different dimensions 2 ) Which are the Emerging Powers?

2 ) Which are the Emerging Powers? c ) Power and its different dimensions 2 ) Which are the Emerging Powers?

2 ) Which are the Emerging Powers? c ) Power and its different dimensions Hard Power Soft Power Realists vs. Liberals 2 ) Which are the Emerging Powers?

2 ) Which are the Emerging Powers? c ) Power and its different dimensions Power Military Structural (Norms) Cultural Economic A Holistic View 2 ) Which are the Emerging Powers?

Power Hard Power Realists Liberals Soft Power emphasis on conflict Military Structural (Norms) Cultural Economic Hard Power Soft Power Realists Liberals emphasis on cooperation

2 ) Which are the Emerging Powers? c ) Power and its different dimensions 2 ) Which are the Emerging Powers?

2 ) Which are the Emerging Powers? c ) Power and its different dimensions 2 ) Which are the Emerging Powers?

2 ) Which are the Emerging Powers? c ) Power and its different dimensions 2 ) Which are the Emerging Powers?

2 ) Which are the Emerging Powers? c ) Power and its different dimensions Domestic Development International Power 2 ) Which are the Emerging Powers?

2 ) Which are the Emerging Powers? c ) Power and its different dimensions Status quo Revisionism 2 ) Which are the Emerging Powers?

3 ) Questions Will emerging powers be successful in their rise? Do the emerging powers want to impose a new world order? If yes, will they be able to reform the “Western International Society”? How? If not, will the established powers seek accommodating with the rising ones? How can the “rest” benefit from such power shift? 3 ) Questions