Inclusive Growth: The Evolution in IMF Thought and Practices

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Presentation transcript:

Inclusive Growth: The Evolution in IMF Thought and Practices Prakash Loungani Chief, Development Macroeconomics, IMF Research Department January 11, 2017 Berlin Views expressed are those of the author and should not be attributed to the IMF.

The Evolution Toward Inclusive Growth In recent years, the IMF has put on its plate several issues that appear to go beyond its ‘bread and butter’ focus on fiscal and monetary policies. jobs & growth gender inequality corruption and governance financial inclusion climate change and natural disasters

Why has the institution done so? A common thread through all our initiatives is that they seek to promote inclusion. What we are after is strong growth but one that is broadly shared, where major segments of society feel they have had an opportunity to make a better life for themselves.

Not just fancy words. We are putting our ideas into action On gender: In Japan and in Saudi Arabia we have engaged the authorities in frank discussions on female labor force participation, or rather, on the lack of it. On inequality: In the Republic of Congo, staff are studying how to reduce inequality by providing access to transport infrastructure for those in rural area. On corruption: Suspension of our program in Malawi in November 2013. On financial inclusion: Our Financial Access Survey, launched in 2009. On climate change: We are also working intensively with small states to enhance resilience to climate change.

Globalization and Inclusion The IMF was set up to foster international cooperation. Hence, to us, inclusion refers not just to the sharing of prosperity within a country but to the sharing of prosperity among all the countries of the world. The pursuit of macroeconomic stability and globalization has commanded a consensus among policymakers for the last three decades.

Globalization’s gains have also not been evenly shared Losers from trade: In a broad range of countries, including emerging markets, workers displaced by import competition have suffered long-term wage losses and unemployment. Concerns about financial globalization: Foreign capital flows have made many economies more volatile, have not helped those without financial access, and have lowered labor’s share of income, in part by giving capital the threat to move abroad

The recurrent protests against some policies reflect adverse socio-economic impacts Backlash is not a recent phenomenon Anger against the financial sector Immigration and social cohesion

Higher growth will help calm some of the discontent but may not prove enough Growth is essential Growth breeds tolerance

Designing policies so they deliver inclusive growth will be a more durable response Trampolines and safety nets Broader sharing of the benefits of the financial sector and financial globalization ‘Pre-distribution’ and redistribution