Operational Viability of a Renewable-Nuclear Mix:

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Presentation transcript:

Operational Viability of a Renewable-Nuclear Mix: Optimizing Electricity Production and Water Desalination Simultaneously Anne-Perrine Avrin & Professor Daniel M. Kammen Renewable and Appropriate Energy Laboratory Energy and Resources Group University of California, Berkeley Context Model Case Study: Shandong Province 1.6 billion people experience water scarcity globally Climate change, population growth and income growth increase water stress Water crises threaten economic growth and social stability In Asia and the Middle-East, populated coastal areas experience both water stress and air pollution Large-scale deployment of variable renewable energies to reduce air pollution calls for new paradigms to maintain a reliable power grid Heat from thermal reactors, such as nuclear, can be used to produce purified water (drinking/industrial standards) through desalination Because the nuclear core power is fixed, water and electricity production are competing processes It is possible to dynamically balance out power generation and desalination as a function of instantaneous needs, spot prices, etc. Water storage in large reservoirs is not technically challenging Integrating desalination with power generation can be seen as a mean to store energy in excess (by storing fresh water instead of storing electricity) DESEC Model Simulates hourly operation of 100% Renewable/Nuclear mix Minimizes power system curtailment (i.e. max. use of energy) by optimizing electricity & fresh water production from thermal reactors Thermodynamic cycle modeling Inter-dependence of electricity generation and water desalination: 3 competing processes WHAT WOULD AN OPTIMAL 100% SOLAR PV-NUCLEAR WATER-POWER MIX IN SHANDONG LOOK LIKE? Shandong is a proxy for populated coastal areas simultaneously experiencing water shortage, air pollution, and high power needs Annual water shortage in Shandong is 4-5 billion m3 Current installed power capacity: 86 GW Shandong is transitioning to renewable and nuclear generation systems Current Electricity Mix (Inst. Cap.) Structure of the DESEC Model Simulated Electricity Mix (Inst. Cap.) DESEC Model analysis Hourly solar PV capacity factors from y. 2015 (average: 96 MWh/h) Hourly load from y. 2015, time-synchronized with solar (average: 17%) Nuclear technology: Hualong One Desalination technology characteristics from IAEA’s DEEP tool Power mix: 100 GW solar PV, 83 GW Nuclear Constraints in DESEC Meeting load and/or water needs Renewable energy variations Nuclear reactors’ and desalination systems’ performances & limitations Results for Case Study Limitations & Next Steps By combining power generation and desalination, curtailment in Shandong province becomes virtually non existent: utilization of available energy is maximized Nuclear becomes a flexible source of electricity. Average hourly electricity variation: 21% of nominal power Annual fresh water production: 1.4 billion m3, 1/3 of Shandong’s water needs (1% of Lake Tahoe in volume) Max. daily production in DESEC simulation: 5.8×106 m3 (in April) DESEC Model can be adapted to meet exactly 100% water needs in each hour (trade-off with electricity needs/curtailment) Next steps: Include economic analysis. Preliminary results: desalination is not competitive against simple pumping in water-rich areas, but it is competitive against the South-to-North Water Transfer Project in coastal provinces Refine thermodynamic cycle modeling in the nuclear reactor Include water transportation module (GIS feature) Combine with long-term capacity expansion planning (SWITCH-China) Limitations of the concept: Limited to areas near seawater (or with sufficient wastewater) Limited to areas where nuclear can be deployed If used with fossil-fuel plants, contributes to polluting emissions Optimal electricity production and water desalination dispatch over one year for the Shandong Province. Two representative days per month.