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Presentation transcript:

Pengertian... (1)

Pengertian .... (2)

Mengapa Perlu Peramalan ?

Tujuan Peramalan

Jenis Peramalan

Validitas Peramalan

Kegunaan Peramalan

Taksonomi Peramalan

Metode Kualitatif

Metode Kuantitatif – Time Series

Peramalan Permintaan

Moving Averages .... (1)

Moving Averages .... (2)

Contoh 1 – Simple Moving Average

Jawaban Contoh 1

Contoh 2 – Simple Moving Average

Jawaban Contoh 2

Weigthed Moving Average ... (1)

Weigthed Moving Average .... (1)

Persamaan Weigthed Moving Average

Contoh 3 – Weigthed Moving Average

Jawaban Contoh 3

Contoh 4 – Weigthed Moving Average

Jawaban Contoh 4

Exponential Smoothing ..... (1)

Exponential Smoothing .... (2)

Exponential Smoothing .... (3)

Exponential Smoothing .... (4)

Contoh 5 - Exponential Smoothing

Jawaban Contoh 5 .... (1)

Jawaban Contoh 5 ...... (2)

Jawaban Contoh 5 ..... (3)

Contoh 6 - Exponential Smoothing

Jawaban Contoh 6

Kesalahan Peramalan

MAD

MSE

MAPE

Contoh 7 - MAD, MSE, MAPE

Jawaban Contoh 7 ..... (MAD)

Jawaban Contoh 7 ...... (MSE)