Walter’s Theory.

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Presentation transcript:

Walter’s Theory

Dividend Theory

Issues in Dividend Policy Earnings to be Distributed – High Vs. Low Payout. Objective – Maximize Shareholders Return. Effects – Taxes, Investment and Financing Decision.

Walters Model Assumptions Valuation Optimum Payout Ratio Criticism

Assumptions Internal Financing- debt or new equity is not issued. Constant Return and Cost of Capital 100% Payout or Retention Constant EPS and DIV – beginning earnings and dividends never change. Infinite Time – The firm has a very long or infinite life

Optimum Payout Ratio Growth Firms – Retain all earnings ( r>Ke) Ample opportunities yielding higher returns than opportunity cost of capital. These firms are able to reinvest earnings at a rate (r) which is higher than Ke. Optimum pay out ratio is Zero. Normal Firms – ( r= Ke) No effect Most of the firms do not have unlimited surplus generating investment opportunities. r=Ke , the dividend has no effect on market value per share in Walter’s model. No unique optimum pay out ratio for normal firm. Declining Firms – Distribute all earnings (r < Ke) Some firms do not have any profitable investment opportunities to invest earnings. Optimumpay out ratio for declining firm is 100%

Valuation Market price per share is the sum of the present value of the infinite stream of constant dividends and present value of the infinite stream of capital gains. r D + ------- (E-D) Ke P = ------------------------- P= market price per share r= internal rate of return Ke = cost of equity capital D= Dividend E=Earning per share.

Problem Given the following information about Z ltd., show the effect of the dividend policy on the market price of its shares, using Walter’s model. Equuity capitalization Rate Ke =12% EPS=Rs.8 Assume return on investment are as follows: r=15% r = 10% Dividend pay out ratios : Zero, 25%, 50%, 75% and 100%

D/P =0 DPS =0 0+(0.15/0.12)(8-0) P= ------------------------- 0.12 = Rs.83.3

Solution 1. r=15%, Ke=12% D/P =0 DPS =0 0+(0.15/0.12)(8-0) = Rs.83.3 2. D/P =25% DPS =2 (8*25/100) 2+(0.15/0.12)(8-2) = Rs.79 3. D/P =50% DPS =4 4+(0.15/0.12)(8-4) P= ------------------------- 0.12 = Rs.75 2. D/P =75% DPS =6 (8*50/100) 6+(0.15/0.12)(8-6) = Rs.71 3. D/P =100% DPS =6 (8*100/100) 8+(0.15/0.12)(8-8) = Rs.66.66

r=10%, Ke=12% 1.Rs.56 -0 2. Rs.61-50% 3.Rs.67-100% 4. Rs. 58-25%

Criticism No external Financing Constant Rate of Return Constant opportunity cost of capital