WHAT IS IT ……..AND, WHERE IS IT GOING???

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Presentation transcript:

WHAT IS IT ……..AND, WHERE IS IT GOING??? The Strike Zone WHAT IS IT ……..AND, WHERE IS IT GOING???

Where it BEGAN 1876 The batsman, on taking his position, must call for a 'high,' 'low,' or 'fair' pitch, and the umpire shall notify the pitcher to deliver the ball as required; such a call cannot be changed after the first pitch is delivered. High - pitches over the plate between the batter's waist and shoulders
Low - pitches over the plate between the batter's waist and at least one foot from the ground.
Fair - pitches over the plate between the batter's shoulders and at least one foot from the ground.

AND CONTINUED Fouls Tips/Balls/Bunts 1887 The batter can no longer call for a 'high' or 'low' pitch. A (strike) is defined as a pitch that 'passes over home plate not lower than the batsman's knee, nor higher than his shoulders. 1894 A strike is called when the batter makes a foul hit, other than a foul tip, while attempting a bunt hit that falls or rolls upon foul ground between home base and first or third bases. 1899 A foul tip by the batter, caught by the catcher while standing within the lines of his position is a strike. 1901 A foul hit ball not caught on the fly is a strike unless two strikes have already been called. Adopted by National League in 1901 and the American League in 1903. Fouls Tips/Balls/Bunts

AND CONTINUED 1907 A fairly delivered ball is a ball pitched or thrown to the bat by the pitcher while standing in his position and facing the batsman that passes over any portion of the home base, before touching the ground, not lower than the batsman's knee, nor higher than his shoulder. For every such fairly delivered ball, the umpire shall call one strike. An unfairly delivered ball is a ball delivered to the bat by the pitcher while standing in his position and facing the batsman that does not pass over any portion of the home base between the batsman's shoulder and knees, or that touches the ground before passing home base, unless struck at by the batsman. For every unfairly delivered ball the umpire shall call one ball. 1910 – Enter the BALK. With the bases unoccupied, any ball delivered by the pitcher while either foot is not in contact with the pitcher's plate shall be called a ball by the umpire. 1950 – Top MOVES DOWN The Strike Zone is that space over home plate which is between the batter's armpits and the top of his knees when he assumes his natural stance. 1957 A strike is a legal pitch when so called by the umpire which: (a) is struck at by the batter and is missed;
(b) enters the Strike Zone in flight and is not struck at;
(c) is fouled by the batter when he has less than two strikes at it;
(d) is bunted foul;
(e) touches the batter as he strikes at it;
(f) touches the batter in flight in the Strike Zone; or
(g) becomes a foul

AND IT CONTINUED 1963 – Natural Stance, but Back to the Shoulder The Strike Zone is that space over home plate which is between the top of the batter's shoulders and his knees when he assumes his natural stance. The umpire shall determine the Strike Zone. 1969 – Natural Stance, but Back to the Armpit, Top of the Knees The Strike Zone is that space over home plate which is between the batter's armpits and the top of his knees when he assumes a natural stance. The umpire shall determine the Strike Zone according to the batter's usual stance when he swings at a pitch. 1988 – Natural Stance at Time of the Swing, Mid Point of Shoulder and Top Pants and Top of the Knees The Strike Zone is that area over home plate the upper limit of which is a horizontal line at the midpoint between the top of the shoulders and the top of the uniform pants, and the lower level is a line at the top of the knees. The Strike Zone shall be determined from the batter's stance as the batter is prepared to swing at a pitched ball.

AND FINALLY 1996 The Strike Zone is expanded on the lower end, moving from the top of the knees to the bottom of the knees (bottom has been identified as the hollow beneath the kneecap).

QuesTec - 2003 QuesTec's Umpire Information System is based on the military's missile tracking system and uses cameras, computers, and strike zone software for tracking strikes. In 2003 it was in operation in ten ballparks (Anaheim, Arizona, Atlanta, Boston, Cleveland, Kansas City, Milwaukee, New York [N.L.], San Francisco & Tampa Bay) and at the game's completion, a CD-ROM with every pitch is given to the umpire — and Major League Baseball.

Guess the Average Accuracy Rate? Improved from 2007 - 2013 84% - 87% How Good Are We? Guess the Average Accuracy Rate? Improved from 2007 - 2013 84% - 87%

Experience Matters

THE REAL PROBLEM THE LOW STRIKE WHEN IT IS ALL SAID AND DONE, THERE IS A CONFLICT . . . . . THE LOW STRIKE

2007 Pitch f/x Influence “Change in Accuracy” - The Atlantic, Sept 2014 UMPIRE STRIKE ZONE HAS INCREASED FROM 435 TO 475 SQ IN - HARDBALL TIMES Starting to Drift New Technology = Ability to Measure

Money Ball Hits the Umpire - MIT Study Multiple Studies . . . . . . Likelihood of call a THIRD STRIKE changes by 15% to 20% with two strikes . . . . . . .Likelihood changes by 15% to 20% if Previous call is a strike

Other Statistical Points of Recognition UMPIRES DEMONSTRATE INTENTIONAL AND UNINTENTIONAL BIAS CALLS VARY BY SITUATON RECOGNITION ADD PITCH CLOCK

Better Strike Zone Not Better for Baseball! “In Rough Season (2014) MLB and FOX Hit Record Lows” Sporting News September, 2014

MLB to Consider Changes for 2016 Shrink the Zone Lower the Mound Change Dominance from Pitchers to Hitters Increase Average Runs/Game above 4.07 Not an Issue of T I M E!!!

ESPN Discussion of the Strike Zone http://espn.go.com/mlb/story/_/id/12320861/major- league-baseball-shrink-strike-zone-2016-report-says