WG on Nowcasting Research World Meteorological Organization

Slides:

Advertisements

Similar presentations

AREP GAW Section 7 – Chemical Aspects of Air Pollution 1.

Advertisements

World Meteorological Organization Working together in weather, climate and water WMO Global Integrated Polar Prediction System (GIPPS) Peter Lemke (on.

WWRP 1 The World Weather Research Programme (WWRP) Long Term Plan including the development of Regional Environmental Prediction Systems Gilbert Brunet.

WWRP CASNEW PROJECTS Polar Prediction project – The Commission concurred with the Executive Council Panel of Experts on Polar Observations, Research and.

WWRP 1 5th COPS Workshop, Stuttgart-Hohenheim, March 2007 The WMO context of COPS: WWRP-THORPEX Dr. Jeanette Onvlee, Chair WWRP/WG on mesoscale forecasting.

WCRP Overview. Two Problems in Climate Risk Management 1.Uncertainty in the projected impacts The British, he thought, must be gluttons for satire: even.

Proposed Predictability, Dynamics & Ensemble Forecasting Expert Team Richard Swinbank, with Heini Wernli, Masayuki Kyouda and Istvan Szunyogh, and thanks.

“A LPB demonstration project” Celeste Saulo CIMA and Dept. of Atmos. and Ocean Sciences University of Buenos Aires Argentina Christopher Cunningham Center.

WMO Global Atmosphere Watch – Task Team on Observational Requirements and Satellite Measurements as Regards Atmospheric Composition and Related Physical.

The Activities of Tokyo Climate Center Fumio WATANABE Tokyo Climate Center Climate Prediction Division, JMA.

Climate System Observations and Prediction Experiment (COPE) Task Force for Seasonal Prediction.

Capacity Building Activities of WWRP ( ) Workshops/Conferences (2014) 8th WMO International Workshop on Tropical Cyclones & 3rd WMO International.

WWRP Toward a Seamless Process for the Prediction of Weather and Climate: On the Advancement of Sub-seasonal to Seasonal Prediction TTISS, September 2009,

AMS Presidential Forum January 2013© ECMWF Slide 1 Predicting Weather and Climate: Scientific progress and future opportunities Alan Thorpe AMS Presidential.

International CLIVAR Working Group for Seasonal-to- Interannual Prediction (WGSIP) Ben Kirtman (Co-Chair WGSIP) George Mason University Center for Ocean-Land-Atmosphere.

The role of RDPs and FDPs Alice M. Grimm Dept of Physics, Federal University of Paraná, Brazil

Regional Node Northern Africa - Middle East - Europe (SDSWAS NA-ME-E) Summary of Activities since last RSG meeting, November 2008, Tunis Michael Schulz.

World Weather Research Programme (WWRP) Report Gilbert Brunet WWRP/JSC Chair.

8.21 MULTI-DIMENSIONAL APPLICATIONS OF NOWCASTING IN MALAWI LUCY MTILATILA Department of Meteorological Services Malawi.

Global Framework for Climate Services 1 World Meteorological Organization Working together in weather, climate and water ER 2: Enhanced capacities of Members.

CAS AREP 1 WMO DPM Programme Coordination Meeting, 4-6 December, Geneva COMMISSION FOR ATMOSPHERC SCIENCES (CAS) ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH AND ENVIRONMENT PROGRAMME.

© Crown copyright Met Office Climate change and variability - Current capabilities - a synthesis of IPCC AR4 (WG1) Pete Falloon, Manager – Impacts Model.

© Crown copyright Met Office WGNE activities and future directions Andy Brown and Jean-Noël Thépaut (WGNE co-chairs)

Working Group on Nowcasting Research A Brief Introduction Paul Joe.

© Crown copyright Met Office Met Office activities related to needs of humanitarian agencies Anca Brookshaw.

WWRP OUTCOME OF CASXV (November 2009) David Burridge and Gilbert Brunet WWRP & THORPEX IPO CASXV report – ftp://ftp.wmo.int/Documents/PublicWeb/mainweb/meetings/

World Weather Research Programme Synoptic Predictabilities (THORPEX) Mesoscale Weather Forecasting Research Tropical Meteorology Research Nowcasting Verification.

WWRP Implementation Plan for the WWRP Polar Prediction Project Thomas Jung, Steering Group Chair Neil Gordon, WMO Consultant November

CLIVAR and GECAFS Anji Seth International Research Institute For Climate Prediction (IRI)

WMO – HOW IT WORKS (Well, at least one view) Geoff Love Director, Weather and Disaster Risk Reduction Services Department.

UNCLASS1 Dr. Gene Whitney Assistant Director for Environment Office of Science and Technology Policy Executive Office of the President WISP Meeting - July.

High Impact Weather Emerging challenge identified at CASXVI Mariane DIOP KANE Mariane DIOP KANE CASMG9, Geneva, April 2014.

Change of program Implementation Plan. T. Satomura Current status of and contribution by NICAM. T. Matsuno & T. Nasuno (~ 20 min) Comments. J. Shukla Discussion.

1 Proposal for a Climate-Weather Hydromet Test Bed “Where America’s Climate and Weather Services Begin” Louis W. Uccellini Director, NCEP NAME Forecaster.

WWRP An International Polar Prediction Project Chair: Gilbert Brunet Rapporteur: Barry Goodison 1.

Strategic Planning and Future Structure of the World Weather Research Programme (WWRP) Gilbert Brunet WWRP/JSC Chair Acknowledgements to Michel Béland.

World Weather Research Programme What / How does the Programme help the Society? (Item 3.3) 24 May 2011.

Breaking down the barriers. Working together as a training community.

World Weather Research Programme (WWRP) Report Gilbert Brunet WWRP/JSC Chair.

Forecasting systems WMO Atmospheric Research and Environment Programme David Burridge.

Seamless forecasting in time, space and complexity

NAME SWG th Annual NOAA Climate Diagnostics and Prediction Workshop State College, Pennsylvania Oct. 28, 2005.

WWRP 1 THORPEX-WCRP Collaborations and other climate relevant activities of the WWRP WCRP/JSC31 WMO/WWRP/THORPEX

WMO Global Atmosphere Watch – Atmospheric Composition Matters: To Air Quality, Weather, Climate and More GAW Motivation: Research conducted on atmospheric.

WMO Global Atmosphere Watch (GAW) – oppertunities for WGNE 31 st WGNE meeting, April 2016, CSIR, Pretoria, South Africa.

TOWARDS DEVELOPMENT OF THORPEX AFRICA PLAN Andre KAMGA FOAMOUHOUE ACMAD For THORPEX AFRICA REGIONAL COMMITTEE 88 th AMS Annual meeting, Jan 20-24, New.

For GAW SSC meeting, 18 February Alexander Baklanov, ARE WMO.

The WCRP strategic framework : Coordinated Observation and Prediction of the Earth System (COPES) Peter Lemke (AWI), David Carson (WMO) and members.

11 9th ARC Meeting 3 November 2012, Kunming, China Report from ICSC 10 Jim Caughey, THORPEX IPO.

Working Group on Nowcasting & Mesocale Research

Commission for Atmospheric Science World Weather Research Programme

World Weather Research Programme

The World Weather Research Programme

THE GLOBAL ATMOSPHERE WATCH PROGRAMME (GAW) Doc 4.3(4)

Cross-Cutting Topic DECADAL PREDICTION.

Report by the Director of the Research Department (RES)

Key Questions What are the key priorities in prediction on timescales from a hour to a season? 5 Societal needs 5 Key prediction/science questions 5 technological.

RA II Regional priorities

Peter May and Beth Ebert CAWCR Bureau of Meteorology Australia

Edwin Gerber (New York University)

Open Science Conference

THORPEX report to the CAS Management Group Alan Dickinson ICSC Chair

Causes of improvements to NWP (1979 – 2009)

Science Objectives contained in three categories

WCRP update DCPP meeting, Barcelona, 12 May 2016 M. Rixen,

Issues for regional modeling

Proposed Predictability, Dynamics & Ensemble Forecasting Expert Team

High Impact Weather Emerging challenge identified at CASXVI

Activities WG-MWFR Help set up/involvement in RDP’s/FDP’s (COPS, Sochi, HYMEX, …) Push mesoscale research cooperation / proposals on: Mesoscale modelling.

The value cycle discovery-translation-application

Presentation transcript:

WG on Nowcasting Research World Meteorological Organization Slobodan Nickovic Research Department World Meteorological Organization Geneva, Switzerland

WMO Regions R.A. IV North America, Central America R.A. VI And the Caribbean (25 Members) WMO Regions R.A. VI Europe (49 Members) R.A. II Asia (35 Members) R.A. I Africa (56 Members) R.A. V South-West Pacific (22 Members) R.A.III South America (13 Members)

WMO Research Department CAS WWRP JSC WCRP JSC WGNE SERA MesoScale SPARC CLIC Nowcasting Verification GEWEX CLIVAR Tropical Meteorology THORPEX GHG Cycles: Fluxes UNFCCC Aerosols Warnings and Assessment Ozone Depletion Vienna Convention Target Phenomena Convectively Coupled Waves / MJO Easterly Waves / Tropical Cyclones / ET Diurnal Cycle Monsoons Completion of the publication and follow-up actions to the WMO/IUGG report “Aerosol Pollution Impact on Precipitation: A Scientific Review” Initiative Goals Achieve significant gains in forecast skill by 2012 in: Medium-range tropical weather forecasts, particularly disturbed conditions associated with organized convection. Extended-range/subseasonal forecasts of the MJO. Medium-to-extended range extratropical forecasts derived from improved tropical weather/climate and tropical-extratropical interactions. Fundamental Science Questions What are the most crucial elements of the large-scale circulation that influence the development, organization and maintenance of tropical convection? Under what circumstances and with what mechanisms is energy and momentum transferred between the convective, mesoscale, synoptic scale, and the large/planetary scale? How does organized tropical convection interact with the extra-tropical circulation? GURME Urban-Regional Air Quality Reactive Gas & Oxidizing Capacity JSC Air-Surface Chemical Exchange GAW Weather, Climate and Environment Earth-System Research-Observations, Analysis and Prediction

Technology Transfer & Capacity Building Disaster Prevention, Environmental Sustainability and Economic Competitivity Through Improved Forecasting Services & Applications WWRP-THORPEX Technology Transfer & Capacity Building Environmental Prediction Research

The nowcasting research priorities Improving nowcasting predictive skill and characterizing uncertainty; Promoting physically based nowcast prediction through high resolution model development and data assimilation; Developing improved observational capability in nowcasting; Characterizing observational errors and algorithm processing errors and their impact on nowcasting; and Improving automated nowcast processes, optimizing the role of humans and developing supporting systems for the rapid detection and effective dissemination of information.

Nowcasting Research focused on the detection and forecasting of weather over the 0-6 hour time frame. diverse user community: Emergency services, defence forces, security agencies, the transport industry, hydrologists, the agricultural community, recreational groups air quality agencies regularly

Nowcasting WWRP Projects Sydney 2000 FDP (Emphasis Nowcasting Summer Convection) Beijing 2008 FDP and RDP (Emphasis Nowcasting Summer Convection) Vancouver 2010 (SNOW-V10 FDP/RDP) (Emphasis Nowcasting Winter Weather in Complex Terrain) Sochi 2014 (proposed)