Natural Gas: Market Trends in Supply and Consumption

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Presentation transcript:

Natural Gas: Market Trends in Supply and Consumption October 7, 2015 Natural Gas: Market Trends in Supply and Consumption

Who We Are Founded in 1918, American Gas Association represents more than 200 local energy companies that deliver clean natural gas throughout the United States More than 71 million residential, commercial and industrial natural gas customers in the U.S., of which 94 percent - more than 68 million customers - receive their gas from AGA members

Downstream Natural Gas Delivery System

Natural Gas Getting It to Homes, Businesses and to Work for America Upstream

Record Production Levels in 2015 Source: Bentek Energy LLC

Outcrop – Utica Shale Source: www.wikipedia.org/wiki/Utica_Shale.

US Shale Gas Production Source: US Department of Energy, Energy Information Administration.

North American Production Outlook by Area Dry gas production (Bcfd) Rig count, select areas Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance. Note: Rig count should not be viewed as comprehensive as not every play modelled.

US Natural Gas Consumption 2014 Source: Bentek Energy.

US Working Gas in Underground Storage

Total Peak Day Natural Gas Consumption 2007-2015 Source: Bentek Energy

Residential Natural Gas Use: An Efficiency Success Story Natural gas usage per household has decreased even as overall demand for energy has risen. This trend is due in part to installation of tighter-fitting windows and doors, better insulation, utility sponsored energy efficiency programs, and the development of increasingly more efficient natural gas appliances. Customers Sales

Cumulative Growth in Residential Burner Tips by Type 1993 - 2013 Source: American Housing Survey 1993 - 2013, US Census Bureau

Source: AGA Natural Gas Efficiency programs Survey. Ratepayer-Funded Natural Gas Efficiency Programs in 2013 112 Active in 39 States & 6 in Canada Source: AGA Natural Gas Efficiency programs Survey.

Growth in CO2 Emissions Has Been Driven by Greater Electricity Use Source: Energy Information Administration

More nuclear and hydro in grid mix. Source: MIT Future of Natural Gas Appliance efficiencies Energy STAR compliant.

Natural Gas Value Chain Emissions Leakage Rates Only 0.24% of produced natural gas is emitted from systems operated by natural gas utilities Natural Gas Value Chain Emissions Leakage Rates Production 130 Bcf 0.41% Processing 122 Bcf 0.38% Transmission & Storage 84 Bcf 0.27% Approximately 1.3% of gross natural gas production (31 Tcf) is estimated to be emitted throughout the supply chain. Distribution 66 Bcf 0.24% Source: U.S. Department of Energy and U.S. Environmental Protection Agency

Natural gas systems represent a small share of annual GHGs its inception in 1993. Source: EPA GHG Inventory 2013

Emissions Have Declined Even as Pipelines Have Expanded Replacing pipelines with protected steel and plastic materials can reduce emissions more than 95%.

EPA and Other Policy Actions Section 433 – 2007 energy legislation requiring elimination of fossil fuels from government buildings and installations Boiler Rule – Air toxics on industrial and other boiler applications EPA 111(b) and 111(d) emissions rules new source and existing source power plants DOE Furnace Rule

Find Us Online Brendan O’Brien Energy Analyst, Policy Analysis www.aga.org www.truebluenaturalgas.org http://twitter.com/AGA_naturalgas www.facebook.com/naturalgas www.linkedin.com/company/50905?trk=tyah Brendan O’Brien Energy Analyst, Policy Analysis bobrien@aga.org 202.824.7220