November 2006 Carmel Meeting JHSAT Status November 2006 Carmel Meeting Mark Liptak FAA ANE-110 Jack Drake HAI

JHSAT Status Tenets of the CAST process Data Analysis Engaging with the international community Interim safety recommendations

Tenets of the CAST process

CAST JSAT Basic Tenets: Data Driven Stakeholder’s develop consensus solutions Actions can be measured Each imbedded in the IHST JHSAT process Process attributes adapted to helicopters: standard problem statements scoring criteria Recommendation categorization

Data Analysis

Data Analysis: The JHSAT team is currently processing 190 accidents The accident data has been downloaded from the NTSB (~4000 files) For each accident the JHSAT performs the following: reconstruct the sequence of events identify what went wrong and why it went wrong assign an appropriate problem statement identify appropriate corrective action(s) score findings based on validity, importance, ability and usage The team has currently completed 161 of 195 accidents

JHSAT currently working process areas highlighted in yellow Charter Development Establish Team Select Data Set Review NTSB Docket Data Develop Event Sequence Identify Intervention Strategies Score Problem Validity & Importance Score Intervention Ability/Usage Assign Std Problem Statements Identify Problems (what/why) Yes Technical Review & Expert Validation Conflicts? Prioritize by Overall Effectiveness Report Results No IHST JHSIT

Sample of event processing

Data Analysis: To date the accidents analyzed have covered a wide spectrum of helicopter types and operations. We expect to be able to offer the IHST and JHSIT a comprehensive set of safety recommendations based on the analyses. The data has not been formally ranked by the JHSAT yet. This will be accomplished as a final step prior to review with experts in the affected recommendation areas.

Not necessarily representative of final JHSAT product

Not necessarily representative of final JHSAT product

Not necessarily representative of final JHSAT product

Engaging with the international community

Engaging with the international community The preceding slide shows worldwide accident trends for the last 26 years. The criticality of working with the international community to reduce worldwide rates is readily apparent since the US accounts for only 35 to 40% of accidents on an annual basis. Any entity that possess large helicopter accident datasets that could be processed by the JHSAT method should be considered. Working with EASA and TC. Working JHSAT formation in Australia (Mar meeting), Working May/June meeting in Sao Paulo for SA. India contacts established. China? CIS?

Engaging with the international community A structured approach needs to be used to manage the analytical and implementation work sponsored by the IHST. Key attributes: All recommendations will be data driven Regional ownership - Data is owned and analyzed by those most familiar with it. Safety recommendations will be implemented by teams most familiar with local needs. JHSAT and JHSIT lead teams will be responsible for training/coaching regional teams, measuring the results of the safety recommendations and implementation effectiveness.

IHST Executive Committee JHSAT/JHSIT cross-talk IHST Safety Initiative Analysis, Implementation and Metrics Management Structure IHST Executive Committee Process development using US NTSB data represents 48% of worldwide fleet Need to maintain a strong communication/feedback loop between IHST – JHSAT - JHSIT JHSAT Lead Group Measure Accident Reductions Effectiveness Measure Implementation Effectiveness JHSIT Lead Group JHSAT sends recommendations to JHSIT US JHSAT EASA EHSAT Region X, Y, Z JHSIT JHSAT/JHSIT cross-talk US JHSIT EASA EHSIT Region X, Y, Z JHSIT US/EASA/X,Y,Z Implementation Results US/EASA/X,Y,Z Consolidated Recommendations Regions X, Y, Z defined as those pockets of operation not able to staff a full JHSAT team and are willing to work implementation of US/CAN/EASA findings to benefit their fleets

Engaging with the International Community IHST Outreach/Marketing Emerging Fleets Somen is the IHST POC Identify emerging/high growth markets Develop strategy to: Foster participation Benefit from IHST knowledge base Candidates: China India CIS? JHSAT Lead Group Analysis of International Data Matt Rigsby is JHSAT POC Seeking data rich partners Preliminary discussions with: Canada EASA (CAA-UK, France BEA) Brazil NZ (contacted, no reply) Australia Chile Canadian Military USN Near-term: bring Canada & EASA on-line Interim Goal: have Canada/EASA present status at the 2007 IHSS Symposium in Montreal Demonstrate that this is an international effort, and it has momentum JHSIT Lead Group Implementing Regional Solutions JHSIT will also have international partner management responsibilities: custom tailored regional solutions coordinated with JHSAT coordinated with IHST

Potential Barriers for JHSAT function: Variation in dataset quality, definitions, etc, around the world may complicate use of standardized JHSAT approach. Military involvement may not be available. Lack of fleet hours may complicate ability to measure and/or normalize results. Regional teams may be difficult to staff with sufficient level of expertise representing manufacturers, operators and regulatory interests. Regional teams may have difficulty working to IHST/JHSAT timing and milestones Some of these issues may also apply to the JHSIT function

Coordinating JHSAT US and International Efforts US Civil Dataset Selection (1/2 of helicopters Worldwide) JSAT Process Understanding Refining JHSAT Analysis Tech Review Expert Review/ Validation 2Q 07 May 06 - Jan 07 Mar 07 Apr 07 May/June 06 First Set US Mitigation Recs Mar/Apr 06 FCAA & Military Partners conduct JHSAT analyses on their accident data Train FCAA & Military Partners in JHSAT Process Mitigation Recs FCAA & Mil Identify FCAA & Military Partners TBD 08 Mitigation Recs - Global Sept 06 TBD 07/08 TBD 06/07 TBD 07/08 IHST JHSAT is on schedule to deliver US recommendations early 2Q07

Interim safety recommendations

Interim safety recommendations The JHSAT has developed recommendations from a series of existing helicopter safety reports. (listed on the next slide) These recommendations are being submitted to the IHST at this meeting so that the JHSIT will have several well founded general recommendations to work with. This should allow for JHSIT implementation strategizing and targeting who should be on the team. The JHSAT plan to issue its full set of analytical results by early 2Q07.

JHSAT reviewed the following reports: NASA - U.S. Civil Rotorcraft Accidents, 1963 Through 1997 NASA - Analysis of US Civil Rotorcraft Accidents from 1990 to 1996 and Implications for a Safety Program NASA - ASRS Rotorcraft Incident Study - Draft Data Summary Aviation Safety Reporting System NASA - Helicopter Accident Analysis Team AMPA - A Safety Review and Risk Assessment in Air Medical Transport CRS - Report for Congress - Military Aviation Safety OGP - Safety Performance of Helicopter Operations in the Oil and Gas Industry - 2000 Data TSB Canada - Lessons Learned from TSB Investigation of Helicopter Accidents (1994 - 2003) Bell Textron - History of Helicopter Safety

JHSAT Observations Based on the teams review of year 2000 accident data: Develop strategy to promote Safety Management Systems approach in helicopter community Helicopter community should align with international trends in adopting Safety Management Systems Petition the NTSB to: fully investigate helicopter accidents develop training curricula to show how accident data can be used to improve helicopter safety

Review of existing Safety Reports Proximity detection equipment for helicopters Wire detection systems (EM, radar) Radio altimeters (confined to what is directly below the helicopter within direct line of sight of the sensor) Hover systems employing RADALT, doppler or other means to measure lateral drift

Review of existing Safety Reports Develop and require real-time performance monitoring Adopt new technologies to provide crash info to accident investigators New, cost effective products available, adapt to specific ops Keep over burdensome government requirements out.

Review of existing Safety Reports Web Site - Safety/Accident awareness – data & feedback dissemination Keep fresh safety info on an easily accessed web site Keep current accident/incident statistics Leverage NASA safecopter site

Review of existing Safety Reports Aeronautical decision making training JHSIT develop a strategy to target and apply ADM training across the operational community. Include training using simulators and fixed base training devices

Questions?