Mark Xu, Andy K. Kim, and Larkin Terrie

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Presentation transcript:

Mark Xu, Andy K. Kim, and Larkin Terrie Automated Data Editing and Imputation for Surveys of Multinational Enterprises, a Banff Implementation Mark Xu, Andy K. Kim, and Larkin Terrie CONFERENCE OF EUROPEAN STATISTICIANS, UNECE Work Session on Statistical Data Editing (The Hague, Netherlands, 24–26 April 2017)

Outline Introduction The advantages of automated editing Banff’s constraints and BEA’s solutions Approach to implementing Banff Testing BEA’s implementation of Banff Discussion and conclusion

Introduction BEA surveys of multinational enterprises For U.S. direct investment abroad For foreign direct investment in the United States BEA’s development of an auto-editing system Selection of Banff Two tests

The Advantages of Automated Editing Pros and cons of traditional data editing Pros and cons of auto-editing Mixed editing is the answer

Banff’s Constraints and BEA’s Solutions Linear edits only Convert non-linear edits to linear edits “Hard” edits only Convert “soft” edits to “hard” edits Numeric data only Pre-editing

Approach to implementing Banff

Percent of Fields Edited Manually vs. Auto-Edited 2011 BE-15 A forms: U.S. affiliates of foreign MNE Manual Editing Edited Not Edited Total Auto-Editing   4.1% 2.0% 6.1% 8.7% 85.3% 93.9% 12.8% 87.2% 100%

Comparison of Auto-Edit and Manual Edit by Data Item, 2011 BE-15A Variables % Difference Auto vs. Manually Edited % Share of Total Fields Auto-Edited % Share of Total Fields Manually Edited Assets 0.67 2.52 12.91 Inventories 0.74 1.19 4.04 Equity Investment -0.47 7.95 14.24 Net PPE -3.36 1.66 7.02 Other Assets 1.06 8.01 24.37 Liabilities 1.07 12.19 19.80 Owners’ Equity -1.73 1.79 14.44 Capital Stock 0.47 2.85 12.45 Retained Earnings -58.02 2.32 18.34 Treasury Stock 25.73 0.33 0.60 Acc. Comp. Income or Loss -35.54 0.86 13.58 Trans. Adj. 107.26 0.20 4.90 Other Acc. Comp. Income or Loss -11.43 2.05 13.05 Other Owners’ Equity -2.51 0.66 11.66

Frequency of Different Imputation Methods, 2011 BE-15A Status Code Description Imputed Fields % Deterministic IDE Deterministic (1st Round) 92.2 IDE2 Deterministic (Subsequent Rounds) 1.9 Donor IDN Donor Imputation 0.4    Estimator ILR1 Historical Regression Model IDIF Residual Difference Between Two Variables 0.2 IHRT Historical Subcomponent Share 0.3 ICA Carry Forward Prorate IPR Prorated (Previously Imputed Fields) 2.7 All 100.0

Jackknife Estimates, 2011 BE-15A Variables Range of Percent Difference between Auto-Edit and Manual Edit Assets -0.63% 1.80% Inventories -0.55% 2.03% Equity Investment -9.95% 8.52% Net PPE -8.47% 1.75% Other Assets -0.37% 2.38% Liabilities -0.16% 2.21% Owners’ Equity -6.39% 2.95% Capital Stock -3.67% 1.53% Retained Earnings -143.58% 29.68% Treasury Stock -21.93% 59.81% Accum. Comp. Inc. Loss -89.08% 0.75% Translation Adj. -75.54% 289.92% Other Acc. Comp. Inc. Loss -43.07% 5.80% Other Owners’ Equity -45.04% 35.50%

Discussion and Conclusion Substantial effort involved in setting up the system, especially in working around Banff’s constraints The system is capable of efficiently and accurately editing data More work is still needed to improve the system

Questions

Percent of Fields Edited Manually vs. Auto-Edited 2009 BE-10 short A forms: U.S. parents of U.S. MNE Manual Editing Edited Not Edited Total Auto-Editing   0.6% 0.5% 1.0% 2.9% 96.0% 99.0% 3.5% 96.5% 100%

Comparison of Auto-Edit and Manual Edit by Data Item, 2009 BE-10 Short A Variables % Difference Auto vs. Manually Edited % Share of Total Fields Auto-Edited % Share of Total Fields Manually Edited Sales 0.62 3.57 8.93 Employment 8.87 5.44 17.52 Net Income 149.34 0.34 6.97 Assets 1.48 0.26 14.03 Liabilities 0.66 0.60 6.55 Exports -3.79 6.29 Imports -0.44 3.23

Frequency of Different Imputation Methods, 2009 BE-10 Short A Status Code Description Imputed Fields % Deterministic IDE Deterministic Imputation 46.8 Donor IDN Donor Imputation 10.7   Estimator ICOM Imputation by Regression 15.7 ISUM Imputation by Sum 7.7 IPRO Imputation by Proportion 4.7 Prorate IPR Prorated 10.2 EDT Editors’ recommendation 4.2 All 100.0

Jackknife Estimates, 2009 BE-10 Short A Variables Range of Percent Difference between Auto-Edit and Manual Edit Sales -0.20% 1.15% Employment 2.94% 15.18% Net Income -33.01% 157.33% Assets 0.87% 3.46% Liabilities -2.30% 0.92% Exports -7.79% -1.30% Imports -8.22%