* Matjaž Gams Institut “Jožef Stefan” 07/16/96 Superintelligence Matjaž Gams Institut “Jožef Stefan” Intelligent systems, 7.10.2015 *

AI ENDANGERS HUMAN EXISTENCE Elon Musk, the billionaire chief executive of SpaceX and Tesla Motors and a techno-optimist Bill Gates Stephen Hawking …. „The development of full artificial intelligence could spell the end of the human race“ Intelligent systems, 7.10.2015

SUPERINTELLIGENCE Bostrom, N. 2014. Superintelligence – Paths, Dangers, Strategies. Oxford University Press, Oxford, UK. (100 Global Thinkers) Future of Life Institute: „Because of the great potential of AI, it is important to research how to reap its benefits while avoiding potential pitfalls“ Relations when computers surpass humans 3 forms of superintelligence: speed, collective, quality Intelligence can not be controlled Depending on the form, AI will be more or less dangerous Intelligent systems, 7.10.2015

AI PROGRESS Examples of AI progress   Self-driving cars: Google car: over 1 million miles without accident fault, several cars with lane assist Computers surpass humans in symbolic tasks like chess, Jeopardy, IQ tests, verbal IQ tests (Microsoft Beijing, 2015; an average person) Autonomous robots (walking, flying) Intelligent systems, 7.10.2015

EXAMPLES OF AI PROGRESS IJCAI 2015 Gerhard Widmer MusicCompanion Intelligent systems, 7.10.2015

IJCAI 2015 World-best AI conference, 30% increase of paper numbers Computer and Thought Award recipient Ariel Procaccia AI: Kidney exchange, security (Nash agents), fair division Christof Koch presented Consciousness in Biological and Artificial Brains: necessary conditions for consciousness (feelings, self-consciousness), axioms and postulates, numeric function to compute consciousness, computers probably not (no simulation, HW insufficient) Chinese advances: Alibaba, Baidu, Taoobao, Vivian …top no. of users   Intelligent systems, 7.10.2015

AI DANGERS - SUMMARY BAN all activities potentially dangerous to humans such as autonomous weapons (Slovenian AI society voted) Prevention: Programs and robots should not ever be given rights of animals, far less humans So far, the negative effects of AI have been negligible and so far all the doomsday predictions turned false (every 13 minutes a person dies in car crash in USA) Most likely, warning (Hawking, Musk, Gates …) is inside the doomsday category - cooperation is more beneficial Intelligent systems, 7.10.2015

Computer/Human memory Intelligent systems, 7.10.2015

INFORMATION HUMAN SOCIETY Humans versus computers * 07/16/96 INFORMATION HUMAN SOCIETY Humans versus computers Kurtzweil humans + computers processing power Fermi paradox computers humans Nora rast znanosti bo pripeljala v teorijo singularnosti, v nove fantastične čase. Flaynnov učinek – ljudje so čedalje pametnejši. So pa morebitni problemi, npr. Fermijev paradoks. Moore’s law Intelligent systems, 7.10.2015 time *

SUMMARY Of all dangers to the EU/Slovenian population, the technological ones, climate changes, business, … only one stands out: demographic Civilization dangers - Fermi paradox? The sooner superintelligence (safe) the better for humans Fantastic human progress Science progressing fast, colliding with ideology and myths It is up to the AI society to fulfil its own prophecy and not the mass media’s fears The human civilization is to step into a new civilization area of unimaginable power and success   Intelligent systems, 7.10.2015

Thank you Contact: matjaz.gams@ijs.si * 07/16/96 Thank you Contact: matjaz.gams@ijs.si   Intelligent systems, 7.10.2015 *