THE FIRST NATIONAL AVIATION FORUM 19th – 20th September 2017 SHORTAGE OF QUALIFIED PERSONNEL IN AVIATION INDUSTRY By L. Matindi

Contents 1. Introduction 2. Numbers 3. Shortage 4. Factors (ICAO) 5.Cycle of Pilot Shortage Scenario 7. The ATCL Case by July 2018 4. Way Forward  

Introduction The aviation industry Personnel in Aviation Industry highly regulated – services and personnel Capital intensive International nature Type dependant personnels’ knowledge/skills Personnel in Aviation Industry Licensed personnel (Annex 1): (pilots, air traffic controllers, aircraft maintenance engineers, cabin crew) Unlicensed personnel – specialised industry specific knowledge/skills Unlicensed personnel – not industry specific knowledge/skills

Numbers 617,000 new commercial airline pilots (Africa 22,000) BOEING PROJECTION - 2016 to 2035 New aircraft deliveries 39,620 (Africa 1,15 0) 617,000 new commercial airline pilots (Africa 22,000) 679,000 new maintenance technicians (Africa 24,000) 814,000 new cabin crew(Africa 27,000)

Numbers

Shortage Supply to meet projected global airline industry growth Opportunities in other industries Cost of training It is ‘The Perfect Storm,’” Sheryl Barden-Aviation Personnel International

Factors (ICAO)  Retirements in the current generation of aviation professionals Aviation professions not attractive enough to potential candidates Competition with other industry sectors for skilled employees Training capacity insufficient to meet demand  

Factors (ICAO) Learning methodologies not responsive to new evolving learning style Accessibility to affordable training  Lack of harmonization of competencies in some aviation disciplines Little awareness by the “next generation” of types of aviation professions available.  

Cycle of Pilot Shortage Scenario Shortage of pilots - higher salaries - experienced flight instructors (already very few in number) quickly absorbed by airlines - causing a ‘cycle of pilot shortage’ as shown in the figure.

Three Bombardier 400 76 Passengers The ATCL Case by July 2018 Personnel requirement 50 Pilot 50 maintenance engineers 126 cabin crew Expectation 20 pilot by end of Sept 2017, 14 new pilots to be trained for Q400 by Dec 2017 36 cabin crew by end of Sept 2017 27 engineers (5 expatriates, 14 aged over 60 years) One Boeing 787 262 Passengers Two Bombardier CS300 132 Passengers Three Bombardier 400 76 Passengers

The ATCL Case by July 2018 Challenges Options Time limit Level of salaries Availability of personnel in the market Options Foreigner/local retired personnel while building internal capacity Spend more cash to attract local personnel Transfer from other government entities

Way Forward Development of aviation personnel should be considered as the Aviation Industry responsibility. Governments and the Aviation Industry should work together to address learning methodologies and regulatory requirements that are not responsive to the changing aviation environments. Enhanced collaboration between the industry and training institutions including ATOs and other education institutions. Develop country specific programmes addressing aviation personnel trainings (Special funds, scholarships, grants to ATOs, etc) Establishment of shared aviation training facilities at regional/sub regional levels (Soroti, Ethiopian Airlines) Awareness campaign to attract young professionals.

THANK YOU! KUWA MZALENDO KWA KUPENDA CHAKO