A Summary Update of the Irish Grocery Market to 26 December 2010

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Presentation transcript:

A Summary Update of the Irish Grocery Market to 26 December 2010

Grocery Performance Summary The Grocery market continues to show value growth, the latest quarter shows market value growth of +2.1% year on year. Price inflation continues to be the key driver of this return to growth, standing at just under +4%. Branded vs. Private Label: Private label performance has dropped back this period as compared to the 12 weeks to November as consumers move back to branded for the holidays. Overall the trend continues to be upwards as the private label value share of the Irish grocery market is up almost one point compared to same period last year.

4 weekly trended YoY Growth How has the grocery market performed this year? We continue to see growth for the grocery market over shorter periods. 4 weekly trended YoY Growth Source: Kantar Worldpanel Data to 4w/e 26th Dec 2010 KANTAR WORLDPANEL: 4 W/E 26TH DEC 2010

HOW IS THE TOTAL GROCERY MARKET PERFORMING? 52 & 12 w/e 26th Dec 2010 Annual Performance Quarterly Performance -3.5% -2.3% -6.8% +2.1% 52 we €000’s 12 we €000’s Source: Kantar Worldpanel Data to 52 & 12 w/e 26th Dec 2010

HOW IS THE TOTAL GROCERY MARKET PERFORMING HOW IS THE TOTAL GROCERY MARKET PERFORMING? 4 W/E 4 w/e 26th Dec 2010 - The total grocery market has improved performance on last year in the 4 week run up to Christmas. 4 we €000’s -7.5 +3.4% Source: Kantar Worldpanel Data to 4w/e 26th Dec 2010

WHICH SECTOR IS DRIVING QUARTERLY MARKET GROWTH WHICH SECTOR IS DRIVING QUARTERLY MARKET GROWTH? 12 w/e 26th December 2010 – The food categories continue to see strong value growth while healthcare suffers Value share % Value change Source: Kantar Worldpanel Data to 12 w/e 26th Dec 2010

HOW IS TOTAL FOOD PERFORMING HOW IS TOTAL FOOD PERFORMING? 52 & 12 w/e 26th Dec 2010 Food continues to see growth over the shorter term, driven by Ambient. -2.0% - 2.0% -6.0% 3.0% 52 we €000’s 12 we €000’s Source: Kantar Worldpanel Data to 52 & 12 w/e 26th Dec 2010

HOW IS THE FOOD MARKET PERFORMING ON TRENDED BASIS HOW IS THE FOOD MARKET PERFORMING ON TRENDED BASIS? % VALUE GROWTH VS LAST YEAR, 12 WEEKLY TRENDED Source: Kantar Worldpanel Data to 12w/e 26th Dec 2010

WHICH SECTOR IS DRIVING MARKET VOLUME (PACK) GROWTH WHICH SECTOR IS DRIVING MARKET VOLUME (PACK) GROWTH? 12 w/e 26th December 2010 – We are seeing some growth for ambient and frozen as they recover slightly in pack sales over the Christmas period Volume share (Pack) Volume (Pack) change Source: Kantar Worldpanel Data to 12 w/e 26th Dec 2010

% Value Sold on Deal in Total Grocery, € Promotional activity is beginning to pick up again but remains behind the Christmas period last year. % Value Sold on Deal in Total Grocery, € Source: Kantar Worldpanel Data to 12w/e 26th Dec 2010

Private Label Share of Grocery Private label value share declining in latest 12 week period, while pack share continues to rise to its highest point in two years Private Label Share of Grocery Source: Kantar Worldpanel Data to 12 w/e 26th Dec 2010 13

WHERE IS PRIVATE LABEL STRONG? 46.5% Private Label Spend % 12 w/e 26 Dec 10 Source: Kantar Worldpanel Data to 12 w/e 26th Dec 2010

Market Growth & Inflation Inflation has come down slightly this period, but value growth continues to improve. Source: Kantar Worldpanel Data to 12 w/e 26th Dec 2010

The number of markets seeing inflation remains high at around 80% Source: Kantar Worldpanel Data to 12 w/e 26th Dec 2010 16

Change in sales Share of sales Grocery Volume (Packs) Growth by Price Brand The budget tier continues to see growth as shoppers seek cheaper packs Growth in Grocery sales (Packs) Change in sales Share of sales Source: Kantar Worldpanel Data to 12 w/e 26th Dec 2010 17

What has been the Effect on Shopper Behaviour? SHOPPERS CUT BACK THIS PERIOD: SHOPPING LESS OFTEN, BUT MAINTAINING SPEND AT €24 PER TRIP Source: Kantar Worldpanel Data to 12 w/e 26th Dec 2010

More emphasis on Trolley shops In the latest period, shoppers are looking to plan ahead more, instead of smaller top-up shops. % of spend 4.2% 35.4% 60.4% 1 item 2-9 items 10+ items Source: Kantar Worldpanel Data to 12 w/e 26th Dec 2010

Brief Overview of the UK Market

Change in sales Share of sales UK Grocery Volume (Packs) Growth by Price Brand UK are also seeing an increase in budget products, but we are also seeing an increase in the amount of super premium products bought. Growth in Grocery sales (Packs) Change in sales Share of sales Source: Kantar Worldpanel Data to 12 w/e 26th Dec 2010

UK Grocery evolution – Inflation and shopper reaction 12 w/e 26 Dec 2010

UK Grocery update to 26 Dec 2010 Inflation rate has risen to 3.0 this period and we expect this to continue in the coming periods. 70% of markets are in growth (volume) in the 12 weeks leading up to Christmas. The average discount is higher in many stores compared to the same time last year. Households are taking advantage of the increase in promotional activity in the run up to the festive period. Source: Kantar Worldpanel Data to 12 w/e 26th Dec 2010