FEATS PROJECT Uganda: Draft Terms of Reference for Second Phase Research Study A Policy Study of the Linkages between Agricultural Productivity and Rural Livelihoods on the one hand and Trade in Agricultural and Trade Facilitation on the Other: Recommendations for Poverty Reduction and Development for a Landlocked Country like Uganda. By Mwmbutsya Ndebesa Dept. of History & Dev. Studies Makerere University, Uganda ndebesam@yahoo.com

INTRODUCTION Brief economic, trade and social profile of the agriculture sector in Uganda: trends in total and main crop-wise production, agricultural exports and imports, formal and informal employment in agriculture, rural poverty, and land tenure system. (Annual time series for the last ten years or so) Trends in agricultural productivity: developments in the productivity of main crops in the last ten years. Trends in livelihood status: poverty levels and indicators, nutrition and food security status, and human development index in the last ten years. Landlockedness and trade facilitation issues: identification of main physical, infrastructural and institutional constraints due to landlockedness and under-developed trade facilitation measures particularly as they relate to agricultural sector; description of key corridor projects Policy framework: key features of development, trade, agriculture and trade facilitation policies and their linkages 6/16/2018

ANALYSIS Agricultural productivity, trade and livelihoods Questions: What is the relationship between agricultural productivity and agriculture trade performance? What is the relationship between agricultural trade performance and rural livelihoods and employment? What is the relationship between agricultural price changes and rural productivity? How do inequalities (access to land, income distribution, gender, etc) affect agricultural productivity and rural livelihoods. What are the constraints to rural farmers in accessing domestic urban markets? 6/16/2018

ANALYSIS cont… Landlockedness, trade facilitation, and trade in agriculture Questions: What are the main constraints for trade in agriculture resulting from land lockedness? What are the transaction costs to exporters of agricultural commodities? What are the past, present, and planned trade facilitation measures that attempt to address the identified constraints? What are the main corridor schemes and how do they address the identified constraints? 6/16/2018

ANALYSIS cont… National, regional and international policy dimensions, and the role of stakeholders Questions: What are the key features of national policies and programmes related to agriculture, trade and trade facilitation? What has been the impact of agricultural trade liberalisation policy on agricultural productivity? What is the impact of regional (e.g., EAC) and international (under the WTO) rights and obligations on national policies on trade, agriculture and trade facilitation? Who are the main domestic stakeholders? What is the level of their respective capacities and involvement in relevant policy making and implementation? What is the role of international donors with focus on agricultural productivity and corridors development? 6/16/2018

ANALYSIS cont… Synthesis of linkages Questions: What are the existing positive and negative linkages among agricultural productivity, trade in agriculture, trade facilitation and landlockedness, and rural livelihoods? How well are these linkages understood? How can the understanding of these linkages be improved among policy makers and relevant stakeholders? How do the relevant policies (e.g., related to agriculture, trade, and trade facilitation) take these linkages into account? What are the gaps? What are the positive and negative impacts of regional and international commitments under the relevant trade agreements? How can the positive linkages be strengthened and negative linkages addressed? What can be a holistic framework for comprehensive analysis and coherent responses? What are the main capacity building needs? 6/16/2018

METHODOLOGY To visit the Ministries of Agriculture, Trade, Finance etc, to collect primary data in their respective reports To visit some research institutions, eg, CBR, EPRC, MISR to collect both primary and secondary data. To visit the various relevant websites To collect some primary data from trade and farmers associations The researcher will also have some consultations with experts from universities, research institutes and relevant statutory bodies such as the Export Promotion Board Draft findings to be presented to the National Stakeholders’ Dialogue for validation. 6/16/2018

RECOMMENDATIONS Recommendations to the government particularly the National Planning Authority (NPA) Recommendations to the development partners Recommendations to the CSOs, particularly farmers organizations Recommendations to the private sector and business organizations Recommendations to research institutes and universities 6/16/2018

TIME LINE 6/16/2018

Thank You 6/16/2018