Assessment of past and ongoing EC-funded projects CATER Final Workshop Assessment of past and ongoing EC-funded projects Andrew Koubatis 19 Sept 2017 Madrid

Europe’s Time Efficiency Goals Flightpath 2050 - Europe’s Vision for Aviation - TE related goals Meeting Societal & market needs   90% of travellers within Europe are able to complete their journey, door-to-door within 4 hours Flights arrive within 1 minute of the planned arrival time regardless of weather conditions European citizens are able to make informed mobility choices and have affordable access to one another, taking into account: economy, speed, and tailored level of service An air traffic management system is in place that provides a range of services to handle at least 25 million flights a year of all types of vehicles, (fixed-wing, rotorcraft) and systems (manned, unmanned, autonomous) that are integrated into and interoperable with the overall air transport system with 24-hour efficient operation of airports A coherent ground infrastructure is developed including: airports, vertiports and heliports with the relevant servicing and connecting facilities, also to other modes. Ensuring safety and security   Weather and other hazards from the environment are precisely evaluated and risks are properly mitigated. Efficient boarding and security checks allow seamless security for global travel, with minimum passenger and cargo impact.

Gap analysis between R&I and opportunities /needs Assessment Process CORDIS Project databases TRIP D2D Model 1236 Transport 521 D2D related 122 TE relevant R&I Assessment Framework Project Assessment ACARE SRIA Vol 2 Gap analysis between R&I and opportunities /needs 1st year / closed projects FLIGHTPATH 2050 Goals Air Transport Multimode Transport ICT & Security Total 72 21 6 99 TRIP = Transport Research & Innovation Portal

Project Assessment, 5 Steps For each project we go through the following process: Research basic information (website, reports, …) & complete initial assessment 1 Prepare questionnaire based on basic information 2 Send out questionnaire to project responsible 3 Call with project responsible to confirm initial assessment & discuss further questions 4 Finalize assessment and prepare report 5

Assessment Framework (initial assessment) Project Info ● Name ● Acronym ● Duration ● Budget ● Contact ● Links D2D model Stage: 1- From Door to Origin Airport 2- At Origin Airport 3- From Gate to Gate 4- At Transit Airport 5- At Destination Airport 6- From Destination Airport to Door Activity Type ● Concepts ● Knowledge ● Policy ● Others ● Infrastructure ● Technology Transport Mode ● Air ● Rail ● Water ● Road ● Multimode (MM) ● All ● All+MM Project Domain 1. Physics 2. Structures 3. Propulsion 4. Vehicle Systems and Equipment 5. Mechanics 6. Integrated Design & Validation 7. Traffic Management 8. Transport Nodes 9. Human Factors 10. Innovative Concepts & Scenarios   Implementation ● Theoretical / General recommendations ● Simulation using real data / Specific solutions-recommendations proposed ● Implementation in limited pilot projects (specified duration, no continuation of operation) ● Commercial implementation, on-going use   ACARE SRIA vol 2 ● SRIA Capability ● SRIA Enabler Flightpath 2050 Goals ● 90% travelers… ● Flights arrive… ● etc. Industrial involvement ● Research Institutes - No industrial involvement ● Low sized Aerospace company ● Mid sized Aerospace company (in top 50) / Airport ● Major Aerospace company (in top 20) ● Other SMEs ● Other Large Companies Potential Impact ● DURATION ● PUNCTUALITY ● PREDICTABILITY End Users Involved ● Yes ● No

First Phase results Impact by Funding & Number of Projects Highest number of projects in Traffic Management Out of ~100 projects 37% did not have a direct impact on Time Efficiency 63% had a potential impact on Duration Punctuality Predictability

2nd Phase Detailed assessment process ~ 40 projects identified for follow-up ~ 30 Questionnaires sent 16 Replies Send out questionnaire Respondent completes the missing information Call with the responsible to confirm and review the questionnaire Finalize assessment Prepare report

2nd Phase Detailed assessment process 16 Projects Detailed Assessment

Detailed Results by D2D Phase -16 Projects

Step 2) Prepare Questionnaire List of questions: Contribution to SRIA Capability Ease of Adoption (Economic, Legal, Organizational) Evidence of Contribution to Time Efficiency Contribution to Flightpath 2050 Goal Post-project Activities Additional Comments + + Project Description (1 Page) Project website Cordis etc. Score Card

Project Initial Assessment

Assessment Example (1/2)

Assessment Example (2/2) *Data was not available to quantify impact

Contribution to the SRIA Capability 1 - Low the project addresses a small part of the scope of the capability/ capabilities 2 - Medium the project addresses a significant part of the scope of the capability/ capabilities 3 - High the project addresses the full scope of the capability/ capabilities

Contribution to the SRIA Capability Improved Air Transport interface node (airport) design Medium Performance based navigation and surveillance information platform is available throughout the whole air transportation network meeting the needs of future operations Sub-Capability: New sensor technologies to enable all weather operations and atmospheric hazard avoidance Optimised Process for passenger, baggage, freight /time, seamlessness, convenience, predictability,etc) To evolve air vehicle designs that employ non-kerosene energy sources To define revolutionary propulsion system concepts that offer game changing reduction in environmental impact and energy consumption Alternative intermodal journey recommendations Implementation of all air vehicle operational concepts. Intermodal / multi-modal journey planning depending on disaster and weather conditions Low Intermodal / multi-modal journey planning Methodologies and tools for fair and unbiased assessment of the different modes of transport enabling customers to make informed travel decisions, including information on environmental impact, energy efficiency, costs etc.

Contribution to the SRIA Capability Transport system modelling through an open architecture to enable modelling and evaluation of new mobility concepts. High Generation of a global model and awareness of its capabilities and imits, implementation of an operational risk management system Medium The ability to adapt and optimize air vehicle operation, fleet operation and flows in accordance with evaluative performance requirements Innovative measures which facilitate the transit of passengers, luggage and goods through the security and immigration, customs processes at Air Transport connection nodes. Optimised Process for passenger, baggage, freight (time, seamlessness, convenience, predictability, etc) Aircraft, airport and ground handling technologies are integrated to support people in the turnaround process and links to other transport modes Models which facilitate the mission planning through the identification & prevision of meteorological and other environmental hazards affecting flight safety

Economic Ease of Adoption 1 -Low The costs of adoption are very large, e.g. due to high technical complexity of the innovation. 2 -Medium The adoption will require investments that are not significantly high considering the magnitude of the change brought by the innovation. 3- High The costs involved in adopting the innovation are low compared to the magnitude of the change brought by the innovation. Legal Ease of Adoption 1 -Low There are major legal constraints that need to be solved before adoption. Resolving these constraints requires a significant effort. 2 -Medium There are minor legal constraints that must be solved before adoption 3- High The innovation fits in the current legal framework. Adoption is therefore easy from a legal point of view. Organizational Ease of Adoption 1 -Low There are major organizational, institutional or political constraints for adoption by aviation stakeholders; in terms of e.g., operational, infrastructural or social limitations. Resolving these constraints would take a significant effort. 2 -Medium There are organizational, institutional or political constraints for adoption by aviation stakeholders. Resolving these constraints will take time but is rather straightforward. 3- High Aviation stakeholders are keen to adopt, because of the perceived benefits. Any constraints are minor only.

Ease of Adoption.

Contribution to the Flightpath 2050 Goal 1 -Low the project can help in pursuing the goal. 2 -Medium the project can have a moderate and/or clear indirect impact on the goal. 3- High the project can have a direct and strong impact on achieving the goal.

Evidence of Contribution to Time Efficiency Confirm evidence of contribution to time efficiency, if data was provided.

Contribution to the Flightpath 2050 Goal

Project follow-up 31% of projects had follow-up activities

Conclusions Many of the projects are quite complex, therefore a short summary on the results section of CORDIS or TRIP is not sufficient to understand the full impact. Not all project results were publicly available. Many of the results related to time efficiency, duration, punctuality and predictability were not quantified. Even though the projects were relevant to time efficiency, the goals often did not involve specific measurements of time efficiency performance indicators.  The majority of the project assessments are qualitative rather than quantitative. Many projects had interesting and potentially useful results, but no visible continuation activities. Visibility into the post-project commercialization was lacking.  Collaboration of large and small, academic and commercial organizations should be promoted. Large companies have the means to aid in the eventual commercialization, small organizations and academic institutions have the ability to propose novel ideas.

Thank you Andrew Koubatis ALTRAN