The impact on criminal justice of: The Sharing Economy Paul Wormeli, Innovation Strategist NAJIS, 2016
It is the year 2046 You don’t own a computer, phone, car or house. Instead you Subscribe to whatever you need Virtual reality is commonplace and you talk to your devices with hand gestures All surfaces have become a screen And every screen watches you back Robots and AI took your old job But created a new one you could not have imagined in 2016 Resulting in Governments and companies that could not exist without information technology Kevin Kelly The Inevitable, 2016
We will live in a sharing economy, characterized by: Collaborative Consumption Crowd-based Capitalism Using idle assets Mutualization of ownership Principle: Access is more important than ownership
What’s different: Sharing with strangers Technology at its core
Examples: Airbnb—living space rental Getaround, Car2Go,Zipcar-- Car-sharing Uber, Lyft--Ridesharing Wework, LiquidSpace, REGUS—shared space for small businesses Kickstarter, Indiegogo—crowdfunding services Prosper, LendingClub—person to person loans TaskRabbit, LivePerson—part-time work sharing And hundreds more
Drivers: Recessionary pressures Environmental protection Anti-materialism Smart phones and apps (advances) Pricing models for legacy systems
Crime factors: Rising crime?—Multiple actors, participants, opportunties New forms of crime? Collaboration? Complex perpetrator picture—operator, owner, technology Jurisdictional issues with corporate participation
Justice impacts: Reduced tax revenue New regulations Increased litigation Essential need for computer forensic expertise New enforcement challenges
Opportunities: Support for disaster management (Airbnb, Uber contracts) Sharing government facilities with businesses, citizens Replacing vehicles with Uber, Lyft contracts (ambulances?) Using TaskRabbit for supplemental staffing needs Sharing parking spaces Consolidating central services across departments Cloud computing Building the Information Sharing Environment Open criminal history inquiry capabilities
The Law of Accelerating Returns An analysis of the history of technology shows that technological change is exponential, contrary to the common-sense "intuitive linear" view. The price-performance, capacity & bandwidth of information technologies progresses exponentially through multiple paradigm shifts Specific to information technology Not to arbitrary exponential trends (like population) Still need to test viability of the next paradigm A scientific theory 25 years of research Part of a broader theory of evolution Inventing: science and engineering Moore’s law just one example of many Yes there are limits But they’re not very limiting Based on the physics of computation and communication and on working paradigms (such as nanotubes) Dr. Ray Kurzweil www.KurzweilAI.net/pps/KurzweilPowerPoint/
The Law of Accelerating Returns So we won’t experience 100 years of progress in the 21st century – it will be more like 20,000 years of progress (at today’s rate).
One Nation, Indivisible One World, working in concert
For the times they are a-changin’ Paul Wormeli Innovation Strategist, Wormeli Consulting And Executive Director Emeritus, IJIS Institute It will soon shake your windows and rattle your walls, For the times they are a-changin’ -----Bob Dylan