Learning from Drought Crisis in Federations: Tools and Institutions for Dealing with Water Scarcity and Sustained Droughts The Colorado and Murray-Darling.

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Presentation transcript:

Learning from Drought Crisis in Federations: Tools and Institutions for Dealing with Water Scarcity and Sustained Droughts The Colorado and Murray-Darling Panel Discussion Brad Udall Senior Scientist/Scholar Colorado State University Bradley.Udall@colostate.edu

Climate Change is Water Change Too Much Too Little Wrong Timing Wrong Form Wrong Quality

River Murray Natural Flows

Colorado River Natural Flows

Colorado River Precipitation

Colorado River Temperatures

Australian Climate Change Risk Model Water, April 2015 Water, September 2015

Colorado River Compact III(d) “The States of the Upper Division will not cause the flow of the river at Lee Ferry to be depleted below an aggregate of 75,000,000 acre-feet for any period of ten consecutive years reckoned in continuing progressive series beginning with the first day of October next succeeding the ratification of this compact.”

US Climate Change Approach Federal Planning and Modeling Fixation on Median Model Results Next to nothing on Extremes MDB Failure CRB Failure

Question of the Day Is it time for the Colorado River Basin states to discuss where climate change flow risk should fall outside of III(d)? My answer: Absolutely YES. Climate Change Impacts already being felt but not acknowledged outside of hand waving III(d) wholly inadequate Part of Structural Deficit is a Climate Change Problem