Growth without Carbon Growth: State Progress and Drift on ‘Decoupling’ Please review and see if there are things you think we could do to make this prettier, more consistent.  We may want to create some new slides with compelling images.  But first let’s get the content in place. Devashree Saha Brookings Metro Program November 15, 2016

1 2 3 4 GDP and Carbon Decoupling: Global Trends GDP and Carbon Decoupling: National Trends GDP and Carbon Decoupling: State Trends The Road Ahead

1 GDP and Carbon Decoupling: Global Trend

Global aggregate masks diversity in country-level details

Global aggregate masks diversity in country-level details

Decoupling is well underway in a handful of nations

2 GDP and Carbon Decoupling: National Trends

CO2 Emissions by Fuel Exhibit Differing Patterns Over Time Source: EIA

Share of Electricity from Natural Gas and Wind & Solar is Increasing

Two Factors Have Contributed to Declining Emissions from the Power Sector

3 GDP and Carbon Decoupling: State Trends

Pace and Extent of Decoupling Varies Greatly

Pace and Extent of Decoupling Varies Greatly

16 States Have Experienced Rising Emissions Along With Rising GDP

Northeast and Southern States Lead in Carbon Emissions Decline

Change in GDP and CO2 Emissions by Region Source: EPA & BEA

Differences in Energy Sourcing Across Regions Matter a Lot

Differences in Energy Sourcing Across Regions Matter a Lot

Differences in Energy Sourcing Across Regions Matter a Lot

What About Solar and Wind Growth on Emissions?

4 The Road Ahead

Pathway to 2 Degree Celsius Source: PricewaterhouseCoopers

The U.S. and its States Need to Make Greater Progress in Decarbonizing their Economies

Commit to forward looking policies that encourage low-carbon solutions Implement the Clean Power Plan Invest in new nuclear energy Accelerate development and deployment of renewable energy

Embrace an innovation-based clean energy agenda Expand basic and applied research Restore public funding for demonstration projects Support early-stage commercialization of inventions

The new climate and energy reality! States and regions will have to step up on climate and energy policy making Vs.

Contact: Devashree Saha Associate Fellow Metropolitan Policy Program at Brookings dsaha@brookings.edu