Source: http://www.archdaily.com/ Where heat pumps fit in a 2050 vision Thomas Nowak Secretary General EHPA.

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Source: http://www.archdaily.com/ Where heat pumps fit in a 2050 vision Thomas Nowak Secretary General EHPA

Scenario implications 1,5C and 2C Source: Rogelj, J.: http://www.iea.org/media/workshops/2016/etp2017/3_Rogelj_IEA_ETP_WB2DS_Workshop_20160620_distri.pdf Where heat pumps fit in a 2050 vision | Thomas Nowak | 11.10.2016

We need to decarbonise the energy system!

Final energy demand for EU28 by end-use for H/C in all sectors in 2012 [total: 12 820 TWh] Source: Fraunhofer ISI et al. (2016): Report WP 1, p.83 !! % values apply on total! EHPA contribution to CoolingEU | Thomas Nowak | 30.09.2016

We need to decarbonise the heating sector! “rubish in = rubish out”

Maybe still not obvious, yet: If you burn fossil fuel you will emit CO2! “rubish in = rubish out”

Source: edgar.jrc.ec.europa.eu Own calculations Decarbonizing the energy system How much CO2 emissions are available for heating? Mt Last CO2 emitting heating technology sold Source: edgar.jrc.ec.europa.eu Own calculations Where heat pumps fit in a 2050 vision | Thomas Nowak | 11.10.2016

demand reduction / efficiency Reduction of CO2 emissions in the heating sector Investment in efficiency AND technology essential demand reduction / efficiency Investement in Investement in heating technology Where heat pumps fit in a 2050 vision | Thomas Nowak | 11.10.2016

Linear emission reduction: necessary steps by 2050 Where heat pumps fit in a 2050 vision | Thomas Nowak | 11.10.2016

Avg. CO2 emissions/kWh: status quo 2015 & target values (Source: EU building stock 2015, Entranze, own calculations) Average emissions per kWh =100% 50 2015 2022 29 2036 43

Heat pumps are suitable for residential and commercial applications everywhere in Europe, in new and renovated buildings Heat pumps are suitable, but nearly completely overlooked for use in industrial applications. Where heat pumps fit in a 2050 vision | Thomas Nowak | 11.10.2016

Moving heat pumps at the center of the energy system Source: http://www.energyplan.eu/ Where heat pumps fit in a 2050 vision | Thomas Nowak | 11.10.2016

”Re-think the heating heat pump industry… R&D “re-design manufacturing HP business models “re-tool …within 35 years installation “re-skill maintenance Where heat pumps fit in a 2050 vision | Thomas Nowak | 11.10.2016

In my 2050 vision, heat pumps fit everywhere Where heat pumps fit in a 2050 vision | Thomas Nowak | 11.10.2016

Thomas Nowak thomas.nowak@ehpa.org +49 176 6320 1140 Where heat pumps fit in a 2050 vision | Thomas Nowak | 11.10.2016