Meteorological Site Representativeness and AERSURFACE Issues

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Presentation transcript:

Meteorological Site Representativeness and AERSURFACE Issues Margaret Valis Leon Sedefian

Outline AERSURFACE Review Met Site Representativeness Case Study AERSURFACE Issues Summary

Review AERMOD designed to accept same meteorological data as ISCST3: NWS surface and upper air data AERMOD also designed to accept more robust on-site meteorological data, including multi-level profiles of wind, temperature and turbulence However, more advanced boundary layer algorithms in AERMOD require user-specified surface characteristics: Albedo Bowen ratio Surface roughness Sensitivity to surface characteristics is one of the main implementation issues with AERMOD

Review AERSURFACE is a tool designed to assist with determining surface characteristics data (albedo, Bowen ratio & surface roughness) for use in AERMET and/or AERSCREEN Initial version of AERSURFACE was released on SCRAM on January 11, 2008 AERSURFACE is not currently considered part of the AERMOD regulatory modeling system

AERSURFACE(08009) Design Revisions to calculating area-weighted averages for surface roughness: Inverse-distance weighting to adjust for increased width/area of sector with distance Revisions to calculation methods: Averaging ln(zo) for surface roughness (= geometric mean) Revisions to default domain/distances:1km radius for roughness Geometric mean for Bowen ratio, arithmetic mean for albedo 10x10km domain for Bowen ratio and albedo –no sector or distance dependency

Notes from AERMOD Implementation Guide (dated Jan. 9, 2008) The degree to which predicted pollutant concentrations are influenced by surface parameter differences between the application site and the meteorological measurement site depends on the nature of the application (i.e., release height, plume buoyancy, terrain influences, downwash considerations, design metric, etc.). If the reviewing agency is uncertain as to the representativeness of a meteorological measurement site, a site-specific sensitivity analysis may be needed in order to quantify, in terms of expected changes in the design concentration, the significance of the differences in each of the surface characteristics.

Representativeness Case Study: Nearest NWS station is Albany, located about 25 km north of the facility Figure shows 10x10km domain for Bowen ratio and albedo, and 1km radius for roughness Aerial photos and 1992 NLCD plots for each site are also provided Estimates of surface roughness, albedo and Bowen ratio based on AERSURFACE are provided for 1992 and 2001 NLCD

AERSURFACE Weighting Issue If AERSURFACE (08009) is run for a location that is very close to the center of a land cover cell, the sector average Zo may be skewed if Zo for the land cover category of this cell is significantly different than the other land cover types within the sector (e.g. forest versus grasslands) due to inverse distance weighting; will be addressed in next version. Met tower location:+ Land cover cell center:+

Comparison of Zo for Different Sector Choices

Potential AERSURFACE Issues Uncertainties regarding ASOS met station locations –a key AERSURFACE input Use of erroneous station locations in AERSURFACE could invalidate results NLCD categories (both 1992 and 2001) are not ideal for estimating roughness at airports 1992 Commercial/Industrial/Transportation category includes runways, as well as terminal buildings and parking garages; spans full range of roughness values 2001 “Developed” categories also cover runways to buildings, plus grassy areas around runways (“Developed, Open Space” in 2001, formerly “Urban/Recreational Grasses” in 1992) Recent 1992 vs. 2001 comparisons also highlight that 2001 developed categories do not reflect presence of trees that were accounted for in 1992 NLCD

AERSURFACE Land Use Misclassification Issue Low Density Residential (pink) found in area between runway

Summary Should consider the issue of met data representativeness in the full context of a project and not as just a “roughness length” issue. The profiling of wind, temperature and turbulence from met site is a connected, but separate issue. Each land use parameter should be reviewed to determine its appropriateness. Blind application of AERSURFACE/land use data can lead to errors not detected otherwise.