Ibrahim Amidu MESc Candidate, 2016

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Presentation transcript:

Ibrahim Amidu MESc Candidate, 2016 Estimating Economic Cost of Sea Level Rise on Low-Lying Coastal Properties in Accra, Ghana Ibrahim Amidu MESc Candidate, 2016

Roadmap Background of the study Justification for the study Study area Data Collection/ Analysis Results/ Discussion Conclusion/Acknowledgement

Coastal erosion around the world Background Coastal erosion around the world © http://www.runawaybaymarina.com.au © http://theconversation.com

Justification for study Global issue Nicholls et al. (2008) …… 136 countries Coast of Accra, Ghana Studies by Appeaning Addo

Study Area © All 3 maps were taken from Google Earth

Some Properties in the Study Area

Data Collection

Data Analysis IPCC scenarios : 0.2m, 0.49m or 0.86m Decadal rental value of land: 𝑝 𝑡 =𝑝(0) 𝑒 𝜌𝑡 Market value of possible inundated area: 𝑝 𝑇 =𝑝 𝑡 𝐴(𝑡) Present value of protecting coastland: 𝑃𝑉[𝐵(𝑡₀,𝑡₀+10)] = 0 10 𝑝(𝑡) 𝑒 −𝑟𝑡 𝑑𝑡 Construction cost: CC 𝑡 =1000∗[𝐻(𝑡₀+10)²−𝐻(𝑡₀)²]∗𝐿 PV of cost of protecting the land: 𝑃𝑉[𝐶(𝑡₀,𝑇)]=CC 𝑡 + 0 10 0.04∗𝐶𝐶(𝑡) 𝑒 −𝑟𝑡 𝑑𝑡 PROTECTION: PV[B(t₀,t₀+10)] > PV[C(t₀,T)]

Results/Discussion

Results/Discussion

Acknowledgement Robert O. Mendelsohn

Acknowledgement Hixon Centre