RICS Cyprus Property Price Index

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Introduction.
Presentation transcript:

RICS Cyprus Property Price Index Q3 2012 – Prices as at 30/09/12 This is the twelfth publication of RICS Cyprus’ Property Price Index, a quarterly price and rental index which is based on methodology produced by the University of Reading, UK. The Index tracks property and rental prices across all districts and main property types. Introduction & Commentary During the third quarter of 2012 Cyprus’ economy bore the consequences of the slowdown in the economy, the lowering of the sovereign’s and the banks’ rating, and the continuing political turmoil in Greece. The worsening state of Cyprus’ economy and the growing political and economic uncertainty across the eurozone, led to a pronounced slowdown in mortgage and corporate lending and a further rise in the rate of unemployment. There has been a minimal number of investment transactions during the first half of 2012, with the third quarter lacking any notable transactions except the sale of some prime homes in the Limassol area. Property, both commercial and residential, is increasingly viewed as a risky asset and one with negative prospects in the near to medium term. Local buyers in particular were the most discerning as the increase in unemployment and the worsening prospects of the local economy led to a sharp reduction in interest.. Market Capital Values The Property Price Index has recorded significant falls across Cyprus’ major urban areas, with prices and rents falling across all districts. Nicosia faired the worst, as it was the least affected markets up until the second half of 2012. Across Cyprus, residential prices for both houses and flats fell by 1.1% and 0.4% respectively, with the biggest drop being in Larnaca (2.1% for apartments and 4.6% for houses). Values of retail properties fell by an average of 7.1%, whilst those of offices and warehouses fell by 3.3% and 2.8% respectively. Compared to Q3 2011, prices dropped by 6.4% for apartments, 6.7% for houses, 15.1% for retail, 10.8% for office, and 10.8% for warehouses. Market Rental Values Across Cyprus, rental values decreased by 0.3% for apartments, 3.1% for houses, 5.3% for retail units, 1.9% for warehouses, and 0.1% for offices. Compared to Q3 2011, rents dropped by 3.1% for apartments, 5.8% for houses, 12.6% for retail, 9.8% for warehouses, and 13.1% for offices. All asset classes and geographies continue to be affected, with areas that had dropped the most early on in the property cycle now nearing the trough. Appraisal based initial yields At the end of Q3 2012 average gross yields stood at 3.8% for apartments, 2.0% for houses, 6.2% for retail, 4.8% for warehouses, and 4.6% for offices. The parallel reduction in capital values and rents is keeping investment yields relatively stable and at very low levels (compared to yields overseas). This suggests that there is still room for re-pricing of capital values to take place. Quarterly change in average prices Price per sqm Price per sqm Price per sqm Price per sqm Average price index (All types) Price per sqm Price per sqm Price per sqm *Q4 2009 = 100, which is the base value of the index

RICS Cyprus Property Price Index Q3 2012 – Prices as at 30/09/12 Average property price Nicosia Limassol Larnaca Paphos Famagusta – Paralimni Cyprus Apartments € 150,928 € 135,730 € 132,397 € 117,298 € 103,620 € 127,,994 Houses € 481,449 € 372,567 € 339,234 € 389,031 € 360,686 € 388,594 Retail € 905,924 € 549,118 € 412,391 € 334,140 € 300,741 € 500,463 Warehouse € 1,772,733 € 2,073,581 € 1,575,729 € 1,201,096 € 1,00,209 € 1,524,669 Office € 699,826 € 451,070 € 348,870 € 403,421 € 258,305 € 432,299 Average monthly rent per property   Famagusta – Paralimni € 533 € 479 € 396 € 341 € 291 € 408 € 806 € 854 € 538 € 575 € 453 € 645 € 4,807 € 3,221 € 2,255 € 1,465 € 1,110 € 2,572 € 5,899 € 7,695 € 6,590 € 4,718 € 5,452 € 6,071 € 2,734 € 2,038 € 1,527 € 1,243 € 819 € 1,672 Initial yield 4.2% 3.6% 3.5% 3.4% 3.8% 2.0% 2.8% 1.9% 1.8% 1.5% 6.4% 7.0% 6.6% 5.3% 4.4% 6.2% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 4.7% 6.5% 4.8% 5.4% 3.7% 4.6% Outline of properties Apartments: Two bedroom, 85sqm, Medium quality. Houses: Three bedroom with garden, Semi-detached, 250sqm, Medium quality. Retail: High-street retail, 100sqm ground floor area with 50sqm mezzanine. Warehouse Light industrial area, 2.000sqm, 200sqm office space. Office: Grade A, City centre location, 200sqm.

RICS Cyprus Property Price Index Contributing professional bodies Profile of the RICS The RICS – the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors – is the largest organisation for professionals in property, land, construction and environmental assets, worldwide. The organisation was created in 1868 and now has over 140,000 members in 146 countries. RICS Europe is based in Brussels and represents 17 national associations, with over 8,150 members in Continental Europe. Visit www.joinricsineurope.eu and www.rics.org for more information. Profile of ΣEEOKK The Cyprus Association of Quantity Surveyors and Construction Economists (ΣΕΕΟΚΚ) is the association that represents Chartered Quantity Surveyors and Quantity Surveyors whose main area of work is in Cyprus and they permanently live in Cyprus. Visit www.seeokk.org for more information. Index parameters and methodology Methodology The methodology underpinning the RICS Cyprus Property Price Index was developed by the University of Reading, UK. The report is available on http://www.joinricsineurope.eu/en/na/view/rics-cyprus Coverage and Variables Monitored The RICS Cyprus Property Price Index monitors the urban centres of Nicosia, Limassol, Larnaca, Paphos and Paralimni-Famagusta. The Index only tracks prices in Republic of Cyprus’ government controlled area and not in the occupied North. In each of these centres, the index monitors the Market Value and Market Rent, as defined in the RICS Red Book, across the four main property sectors – office (CBD), retail (high street), industrial (warehouse) and residential (houses and apartments). Recognising that there are sub-districts within these urban areas which operate and behave in a varying manner, a number of these is monitored in order to derive the composite index for each category per urban area. The information provided in this publication is based on the average price and rent of the sub-districts monitored per urban centre per sector. The complete list of these sub-districts can be found in the University of Reading’s report which is available on http://www.joinricsineurope.eu/en/na/view/rics-cyprus Nature of Notional Buildings The RICS Cyprus Property Price Index monitors hypothetical or notional buildings, each having specific characteristics. Details of these hypothetical properties are provided in the University of Reading’s report. The provided price per sqm is based on the Gross External Area of the property (as defined in the RICS’ Code of Measurement Practice 6th Edition), which includes the living area and covered verandas but excludes common areas. Frequency The index is produced on a quarterly basis. Monitoring Process The estimation of price levels is carried out by accredited RICS property professionals who are active in the relevant markets. For additional information please contact Liana Toumazou Country Manager RICS Cyprus, Greece ltoumazou@rics.org