India- Maize Supply Demand Situation McDonald Pelz Global Commodities A PRESENTATION BY McDonald Pelz Global Commodities

The Irrelevant Factors Population Precipitation Production Peripheral Prospects/Prices

Direction of Global Trade Map not true representation of Indian Geo Borders- Just rep Source: Twitter

Direction of Global Trade Consuming Countries population possibly will increased steadily Producing Countries will see stagnate population Welcome to Asian and African Markets Population in Million Source: UN Population on Statistics

Important balancing Role in Global Supply Demand Economics Global Supply Hedge El- Nino Effect on Global Crop Production India was the biggest exporter of grains, oilseeds and meal in the Asian region Important role in global supplies -la nina Global production shrinks- india act as supply hedge India proximity to - freight spread India stayed food self sufficient. 2008-15 Important is to understand – Indian exports increases mainly in years of global deficit Source: FAO Paper Important balancing Role in Global Supply Demand Economics

Global Markets and India Years of Indian Surpluses- La Nina Years of Indian Shortage- El Nino India/South Asia Rest of world World waiting for India to Export Global Markets waiting for India to Import

% Growth of meat products Source: USDA, McDonald Pelz Analysis SA + SE is fastest growing meat market in the region… It means more oilseed and feed grain demand

Area change in favour of corn and soybean in the region % change in area SA + SEA Source: USDA, McDonald Pelz Analysis Area change in favour of corn and soybean in the region

Wheat and Corn Growing Areas Wheat Areas Corn Areas Stable 4 Variable 4 Variable- All

Change in consumption Pattern- Growth in Corn demand Source: USDA, McDonald Pelz Analysis Imports growth at steady pace, India share in SE Imports

Maize Market in SE Asia ‘000mt, Source: USDA Markets around India has expanded, thus Indian consumer will have to hear high price scenario

India’s Role in Global Corn market ‘000mt, Source: USDA India Corn exports act as hedge against US supplies fluctuations (Weather Pattern)

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