Signs of Economic Growth or Decline Economic Indicators Signs of Economic Growth or Decline

Economics The science that deals with the production, distribution, and consumption of goods and services, or the material welfare of humankind.

Economic Indicators The strength or weakness of an economy is often measured by “economic indicators” - pieces of data that relate whether the economy is expanding or contracting

Gross Domestic Product The total value of goods and services produced in a country “per capita” = “for each head” = per person Is an indicator of a country’s standard of living

2015 Total GDP (in millions of U.S. dollars) Examples of GDP Country 2015 Total GDP (in millions of U.S. dollars) Rank by IMF 2015 GDP per capita (in U.S. $) CIA Factbook Rank United States 18,558,130 1 55,800 19 China 11,383,030 2 14,100 113 Brazil 1,534,780 9 15,600 103 Switzerland 651,770 58,600 16 Zimbabwe 14,659 114 2,100 202

Unemployment Rate According to the U.S.Bureau of Labor Statistics: Persons are classified as unemployed if they do not have a job, have actively looked for work in the prior 4 weeks, and are currently available for work. Persons who were not working and were waiting to be recalled to a job from which they had been temporarily laid off are also included as unemployed. Receiving benefits from the Unemployment Insurance (UI) program has no bearing on whether a person is classified as unemployed. U.S. June 2011 - 9.1% July 2014 – 6.2% July 2016 – 4.9% Ohio June 2011 - 8.8% July 2014 – 5.7% July 2016 – 4.8% Unemployment Rate Graph

Inflation Inflation measures the value of a country’s currency over time Usually a measure of the RISE in prices for goods or services Let’s try it! Calculate Inflation Rates

Inflation The Federal Reserve Board will try to curb inflation by limiting the amount of money that is circulating in the economy. When too much money is in circulation, the value of each bill will decrease, thus costing MORE to purchase goods.

Interest Rates An “interest rate” is the percentage at which a loan is repaid to the lender For example, when people get a mortgage (loan for a house) they pay the bank the total amount borrowed PLUS a percentage of the total mortgage amount

Interest Rates The Federal Reserve also influences interest rates The Federal Reserve is the “banker’s bank” - it lends money to banks at a “discount rate” = interest rate for banks When the discount rate is lowered, banks can offer customers lower interest rates and still make a profit This usually provides an economic “boost”

Consumer Price Index (CPI) a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services. Whose buying habits does the CPI reflect? The CPI reflects spending patterns for each of two population groups: all urban consumers and urban wage earners and clerical workers. The all urban consumer group represents about 87 percent of the total U.S. population. It is based on the expenditures of almost all residents of urban or metropolitan areas, including professionals, the self-employed, the poor, the unemployed, and retired people, as well as urban wage earners and clerical workers. Not included in the CPI are the spending patterns of people living in rural nonmetropolitan areas, farm families, people in the Armed Forces, and those in institutions, such as prisons and mental hospitals. Consumer inflation for all urban consumers is measured by two indexes, namely, the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) and the Chained Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (C-CPI-U). (from www.bls.gov) Let’s Look at the CPI!

Housing Data A final economic indicator is “housing data;” it includes the following: 1) foreclosure rates 2) new construction 3) real estate transfers

The Business Cycle Fluctuation of business activity experienced in an economy over a period of time The periodic “peaks and valleys” of various economic indicators Indicative of the overall health of the economy Video clip explaining key ideas