Market Review Springtime for Commodities

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Presentation transcript:

Market Review Springtime for Commodities Daryl Montgomery March 22, 2016 Copyright 2016, All Rights Reserved

The contents of this presentation are not intended as a recommendation to buy or sell any security and are for educational purposes only The New York Investing meetup is not affiliated with the New York Life Insurance Co.

Shorts Run for it as Commodity Bull Emerges

Didn’t Attend New York Investing Meetup Meetings

Regularly Attends New York Investing meetup Arrested for counterfeiting

Stocks, Commodities, Currencies, Bonds

Articles Published Since February Meeting 17 articles published on Seeking Alpha. Sign up (it’s free) and follow me so you get the URLs emailed to you when articles appear. 03/15/16: “Broken BRICs: How Their Bear Markets Are Affected By Commodities” http://ow.ly/Zxgfi  03/16/16: “Why the US Dollar May Not Rally Further” http://ow.ly/Zz2dq 03/17/16: “Euro More Likely To Rally Than The U.S. Dollar” http://ow.ly/ZDJVO  03/18/16: “Healthcare Sector: How to Invest to Make Yourself Feel Good” http://ow.ly/ZFYnK

Market Summary Central banks flooding markets with liquidity – minus rates in Japan, EU, Fed slowing rate rise. Stocks AND commodities have been rallying. Bear market moving average pattern in place for Dow, S&P 500, Russell 2000. Nasdaq almost (same as last month). Could hold market up. Dollar weakening, Euro/Swissy, Aussie stronger. Gold entered bull market almost overnight. Leveraged miners, natgas stocks up 100%; top 5 performers 2016 all commodities. Oil has probably bottomed.

U.S Stock Indexes Technical Analysis New York Investing meetup March 22, 2016

Dow Industrials: 3 Years Weekly 10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

Dow Transportation: 3 Years Weekly 10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

S&P500: 3 Years Weekly 10, 40, 65-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

Nasdaq: 3 Years Weekly 10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

Russell 2000: 3 Years Weekly 10,40,65-Week lyMoving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

End of U.S. Stocks

Foreign Stocks: Major Indexes Technical Analysis New York Investing meetup March 22, 2016

UK FTSE: 3 Years Weekly 10, 40, 65-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

German DAX: 3 Years Weekly 10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

Japan Nikkei: 3 Years Weekly 10, 40, 65-WeeklyMoving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

End of Foreign Stocks Majors

Foreign Stocks: BRICs Technical Analysis New York Investing meetup March 22, 2016

Brazil BOVESPA: 3 Years Weekly 10, 40, 65-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

China Shanghai Composite: 3 Years Weekly 10, 40, 65-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

India SENSEX: 3 Years Weekly 10, 40, 65-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

Russia RSX: 10 Years Weekly 10, 40, 65-Week lyMoving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

End of Foreign Stocks BRICs

Currencies Technical Analysis New York Investing meetup March 22, 2016

US Dollar DXY: 3 Years Weekly 10, 40, 65-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

Euro FXE: 3 Years Weekly 10, 40, 65-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

Swiss Franc FXF: 3 Years Weekly 10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

Japanese Yen: 3 Years Weekly 10, 40, 65-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

Australian Dollar FXA: 3 Years Weekly 10, 40, 65-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

End Currencies

Energy – Oil and Natural Gas Technical Analysis New York Investing meetup Feb 23, 2016

Oil WTI: 3 Years Weekly 10, 40, 65 Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

Oil WTI Trade Setup: Three-Month Daily 50, 200, 325 Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

Oil WTI Trade: 10-Day/15 Minute Sell Signal 50, 200, 325 Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

Oil WTI Trade: 10-Day/Hourly Buy Signal 50, 200, 325 Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

Natural Gas: 3 Years Weekly 10, 40, 65 Weekly Moving-Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

Natural Gas Trade: 3 Months Weekly 10, 40, 65 Weekly Moving-Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

Uranium Companies URA: 3 Years Weekly 10, 40, 65 Weekly Moving-Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

Precious Metals Technical Analysis New York Investing meetup Feb 23, 2016

Gold ETF GLD: 3 Years Weekly 10, 40, 65-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

Gold Miners ETF GDX 3 Years Weekly 10, 40, 65-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

Junior Gold Miners ETF GDXJ 3 Years Weekly 10, 40, 65-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

Silver ETF SLV: 3 Years Weekly 10, 40, 65-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

Platinum PPLT: 3 Years Weekly 10, 40, 65-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

Palladium PALL 3 Years Weekly 10, 40, 65-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

End of Precious Metals

High Yield (Junk) Bonds: 3 Years Weekly 10, 40, 65- Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

30-Year Treasury Yield: 10 Years Weekly 10, 40, 65-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

10-Year Treasury Yield: 3 Years Weekly 10, 40, 65-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

Miscellaneous

Copper JJC: 3 Years Weekly 10, 40, 65-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

Coffee JO: 3 Years Weekly 10, 40, 65-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

The End