Troy Anderson ERCOT Program Management Office November 6, 2008

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Presentation transcript:

Troy Anderson ERCOT Program Management Office November 6, 2008 2009 Project Reforecast Troy Anderson ERCOT Program Management Office November 6, 2008

2009 Project Reforecast - Agenda YTD 2008 Project Spending Update 2009 Project Reforecast

2008 Project Spending Update – 10/30/2008 CART Initial Budget Current Budget Spending Forecast CO $ 8,450,000 $ 5,676,754 $ 5,340,480 IO $ 6,400,000 $ 6,900,000 $ 6,745,238 MO $ 1,200,000 $ 1,394,906 $ 1,303,289 RO $ 6,100,000 $ 3,830,000 $ 2,838,557 SO $ 50,000 $ 1,071,795 $ 788,212 Nodal / Zonal Interdependent $ 5,314,000 $ 6,715,130 Released but Not Reallocated $ 0 $ 1,925,415 Total $ 27,514,000 $ 23,730,906 CO – Met Center * $ 0 $ 6,232,880 $ 2,971,724 * Met Center project is not funded by initial project budget allocation Arrows indicate trend since last report (August 2008)

2009 Project Reforecast - Background The 2009 ERCOT fee case has been withdrawn due to the Nodal Go-Live date change.  This creates a need to reforecast the 2009 PPL: Nodal deferred projects cannot be executed as originally planned Continuation of the Nodal project has resource implications for projects on the 2009 PPL ERCOT System Administration Fee will remain flat in 2009 This limits our project funding Original project budget = $27.2M Revised project budget = $12.2M

2009 Project Reforecast –Considerations DPOs asked to update 2009 PPL with the following considerations: For planning purposes, assume Nodal is not delivering in 2009 When Nodal schedule is released we will revisit the revised 2009 PPL What won’t be required since Nodal is delayed What will be required to keep Zonal systems running Carryover funding needs of currently executing projects Critical nature of need Limited funding (and other resources) requires us to limit our project activity to the most critical items Preserve funding for key market projects Consider data center limitations No relief until MET Center Disposition Project delivers more capacity Potentially not until 4Q2010 or 1Q2011 Effort underway to provide relief prior to 4Q2010 We will address additional urgent needs as they arise using our usual set of funding options

2009 Project Reforecast –Schedule 2009 Project Reforecast Schedule - Overview Q1 2008 2009 Initiative Lists drafted, revised and approved for inclusion in ERCOT budget request September 2008 CARTs revise 2009 Initiative Lists to prepare for market review October 2008 Review by market subcommittees MO - COPS (October 14) RO - RMS (October 15) SO - ROS, WMS (October 16 / October 22) CO, IO, MO, RO, SO – PRS (October 23) November 2008 Initial review by TAC (November 6) Reconsideration by ROS, WMS, and PRS Review of previous PPL items shelved due to Nodal implementation December 2008 Review by TAC (December 4) Available for Board and F&A review (December 9)

2009 Project Reforecast – Approval Status 2009 Project Approval Status by Program Area All 5 lists have been reviewed by ERCOT Strategic Review Team (SRT) and Executive Team (ET) CO (Corporate Operations) 8 projects fell below the cutline due to funding limitations ($1.5M total cost) IO (IT Operations) No changes since ET review on 10/13/2008 MO (Market Operations) Modified and approved by COPS on 10/14/2008 Moved “Web-enabled Registration” from the Parking Lot to just below the cutline RO (Retail Operations) Modified and approved by RMS on 10/15/2008 Added “Advanced Metering – Retail Market Interface” (Rank 32 on the merged list) SO (System Operations) Reviewed by ROS on 10/16/2008 ROS didn’t formally approve the list – they are concerned that additional projects should be considered in support of the current market due to the Nodal delay ERCOT is taking steps to address this concern ROS is also concerned that the 2009 portion of the “Operator Training Simulator” project has been transferred to Nodal (thus changing funding sources from the System Admin Fee to the Nodal Fee) WMS consideration on 10/22/2008 had a similar result as ROS

2009 Project Reforecast – Summary by CART Initial 2009 Budget Revised Draft 2009 Budget Change CO $ 3,550,000 $ 1,775,000 ($ 1,775,000) IO $ 8,350,000 $ 5,525,000 ($ 2,825,000) MO $ 4,300,000 $ 550,000 ($ 3,750,000) RO $ 3,500,000 $ 3,450,000 ($ 50,000) SO $ 7,500,000 $ 900,000 ($ 6,600,000) Total $ 27,200,000 * $ 12,200,000 ($ 15,000,000) ** CO – Met Center $ 20,400,000 $ 0 * Revised 2009 project budget is $12.2M ** Met Center project is funded by a separate budget line item

2009 Project Reforecast – Project Lists 2009 Project Prioritization – Detailed Project Lists The Excel file provided with the presentation contains the revised 2009 project lists by Program Area (CART) Due to 2009 funding constraints, the lists were merged to assist in determining overall priority for each effort As adjustments are made during the approval process (and ongoing), the cutline in the merged list is moved as needed To aid in resource prioritization, a single line item for the Nodal project was added to the merged list A project being ranked above Nodal simply implies that if a resource conflict arises between that project and Nodal, the higher ranked effort might be allowed to proceed, causing a potential impact to the Nodal delivery schedule – any conflict would be closely reviewed NEW DEVELOPMENT The Executive Team (at the request of the SRT) authorized a 10% “capability” allowance to provide more flexibility in maximizing project delivery in 2009

2009 Project Reforecast – Project Lists 2009 Project Prioritization – Detailed Project Lists Summary Statistics 38 projects are currently funded by the $12.2M budget 8 projects were requested that are below the $12.2M cutline but fall within the 10% capability area ($1.2M in total) These projects can be initiated but will be monitored closely to ensure that we stay within our total budget allocation 1 project was requested that is currently unfunded ($0.3M) 38 projects were moved to the Parking Lot for various reasons 16 were deferred due to the Nodal delay 11 were deferred for other business reasons 3 were cancelled or being considered for cancellation 2 were completed in 2008 3 post-Nodal projects are being delivered by Nodal They are marked “Complete” on the SO PPL 2 post-Nodal projects are being partially delivered by Nodal They are marked “Partial Complete” on the SO PPL 1 was transferred to Nodal (OTS)