The politics of the low-carbon transition

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Presentation transcript:

The politics of the low-carbon transition James Meadowcroft Canada Research Chair in Governance for Sustainable Development Carleton University Managing Decarbonization the Cases of Canada and Germany University of British Columbia October 28, 2016

The politics of the low-carbon transition ‘Managing’ decarbonization The low carbon transition Politics and policy

Low carbon transition ‘Decarbonization’ ‘Transition to low carbon society’ (process; endpoint, directionality; focus on climate emissions) Technical and social change Many ways to do this Difficult: deep structural obstacles; long time; many political cycles Critical role for the state Comparison with other socio-technical transitions How and why states act: not monolithic actors

Low carbon transition 2 Uncertainties (shale gas; oil price collapse; Muskrat Falls) Conflictual (pipelines; power plants; provinces) Reverses (Ontario: new renewables; BC) Mistakes (Ontario wind) Domestic/international linkages (pipelines, CCS at Shell Quest)

Politics and policy Ideas, institutions, interests Ideas: Transition framing (not emissions) Discursive struggles (eg: solar Ontario) Delegitimize opponents (unburnable carbon)

Institutions Politics and policy 2 Organizations: old and new: ‘functional ecosystem’ (strategy, review, finance, education, mobilization) Ratcheting change Policy tools: basket: not just carbon pricing; Ontario coal; ‘technological neutrality?’

regional decarbonization strategies; green development policy; Politics and policy 3 Interests regional decarbonization strategies; green development policy; building countervailing constituencies; target strategic sectors (transport: EVs) buy off opponents

Conclusion Forget the design of optimal policy: Rather negotiate a messy and conflicted process