Project EASY Recap... Locally accessed data sets

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Presentation transcript:

Project EASY Recap... Locally accessed data sets now future -1 -2 -3 ONS Borough Ward LSOA EASY GLA 2001 Census Locally accessed data sets Up-to-the-moment estimates Small geographical areas (LSOA) Can be carried out locally by analysts Good quality data

Valuation Office Agency Project EASY Dwelling stock by Council Tax bands Valuation Office Agency Assumptions: everyone living in an LSOA lives in a property; all properties are registered for Council Tax. Therefore, for a given stock of dwellings, determine the population that inhabit them. Build and check model for 2001 (census and MYE) and then move forward.

Project EASY Modelling total Council Tax properties (2001 census)

Project EASY Modelling dwelling type and population from 2001 census

Project EASY Council Tax bands and household size

Count of properties by Council Tax bands Multiple Home Occupancy Project EASY Key variables LSOA LA_NAME LA WARD X Y Hect E01000006 Barking and Dagenham 00AB 00ABFX 544994 184363 14.653 E01000007 544179 184455 20.009 E01000008 543654 184401 19.506 E01000009 544587 184437 12.796 E01000010 544244 184018 35.207 E01000011 544427 184734 9.164 E01000012 543907 184714 13.905 E01000013 00ABFY 548956 184943 20.783 E01000014 548510 184922 34.123 E01000015 549586 185102 28.063 E01000016 549117 185496 19.878 E01000017 548925 185479 15.837 E01000018 549372 185259 17.399 E01000019 00ABFZ 547102 186478 18.387 E01000020 547400 186240 18.724 E01000021 546830 186034 16.936 Count of properties by Council Tax bands Multiple Home Occupancy Child Benefit Schools Census (PLASC)

Project EASY Structure of the model Total Estimated Population Population in Households without Dependent Children Population in Families with Dependent Children Households without Dependent Children Families with Dependent Children School Census Separate model for each Borough Occupied Households Child Benefit Records Dwelling Counts by Council Tax Band Houses with Multiple Occupancy

LA_NAME = Barking and Dagenham Project EASY Stepwise multiple regression (CT & MHO) LA_NAME = Barking and Dagenham

can be estimated at LSOA....even up-to-the-moment. Project EASY Variables by Borough Once built, the relationships are assumed to broadly remain between censuses and by plugging in the variables for each subsequent year, the population can be estimated at LSOA....even up-to-the-moment. So, what are the results.......