in the 10 Participating Countries Survey on Competitiveness in the Textile/Clothing and Leather Sectors of the New Member Countries and Bulgaria and Romania Import and Export in the 10 Participating Countries Lodz 7th April 2005 This documenthas been produced with the financial support of the European Community’s BSP2 programme. The views expressed herein are those of CAST and can therefore in no way be taken to reflect the official opinion of the European Commission

ANALYSIS OF IMPORTS - EXPORTS POLAND 2001 - 2003 YARNS AND FABRICS GARMENTS LEATHER SHOES

IMPORTS

METHODOLOGY This analysis has the goal to identify “winners” and “losers” in the competition in the Czech market. Parameters: imports in value for the years 2001/2003 Variables: the trend (% increase or decrease in value) between 2001 and 2003 the position (% import share) for each pre-selected country (27 + EU15 + Others)

A COMPETITION MATRIX HIGH GROWTH >AVERAGE Code 1 10 INCREASING 11 WINNERS LOW GROWTH < AVERAGE Code 0 00 MARGINALS 01 LOSERS SMALL SHARE <5% Code 0 LARGE SHARE >5% Code 1

YARNS AND FABRICS

COMMENTS ON IMPORTS OF YARNS AND FABRICS Total imports have increased +19,24%, and show a high concentration: two countries make up 80% of total. The large majority of imports are from EU 15: 70,75%. This share, combined with a positive trend of “only” 17,24%, that is 2% less then the average, qualifies the EU15 as a LOSER. In fact the EU15 performance is not bad at all considering the dominant position. The generic cluster of “Others” keeps the second position in terms of share but its growth trend is negative (-2,33%): it qualifies as LOSER. China is ranked 6th (market share) with a relevant growth trend. Other good positions are those of Turkey and the Czech Republic

YARNS AND FABRICS COMPETITION MATRIX 10 INCREASING 11 WINNERS Turkey China India 00 MARGINALS 01 LOSERS Czech R. S. Korea EU 15 Others

GARMENTS

COMMENTS ON IMPORTS OF GARMENTS Total imports have increased significantly: +48,29%, Import concentration is rather low, 6 contries make up 80% of total imports. The largest supplier is now China with 31,59% and as such a WINNER. The EU15 is now ranked second (with a share 26,37% and a LOSER. The second WINNER is Turkey. Generally there is a large increase of import from Asian countries.

GARMENTS COMPETITION MATRIX 11 WINNERS 00 MARGINALS 01 LOSERS 10 INCREASING India Hungary Romania China Turkey EU 15 Indonesia Thailandia

LEATHER

COMMENTS ON IMPORTS OF LEATHER

LEATHER COMPETITION MATRIX

SHOES

COMMENTS ON IMPORTS OF SHOES

SHOES COMPETITION MATRIX

EXPORTS

Polish exports increased 37%, above the average. YARNS AND FABRICS TRENDS OF EXPORTS 2003 -2001 COUNTRY % ROMANIA 76,61 Polish exports increased 37%, above the average. Quite a good performance compred to the average. BULGARIA 62,22 HUNGARY 45,16 POLAND 37,05 LATVIA 14,05 LITHUANIA 5,85 SLOVAKIA 1,04 CZECH -2,17 ESTONIA -4,29 SLOVENIA -26,99 TOT AV. 20,85

GARMENTS TRENDS OF EXPORTS 2003 -2001 COUNTRY % ROMANIA 47,09 Poland’s export of garments is stable in comparison to an average increase of about 8% of the 10-country sample. A poor performance compared to other specialized countries such as Romania. BULGARIA 22,78 LATVIA 19,48 HUNGARY 9,11 ESTONIA 1,91 POLAND 0,05 SLOVAKIA -0,65 LITHUANIA -2,25 SLOVENIA -6,25 CZECH -12,56 TOT AV. 7,87

Information not available for Poland. LEATHER TRENDS OF EXPORTS 2003 -2001 COUNTRY % HUNGARY 126,04 LATVIA 49,22 Information not available for Poland. SLOVAKIA 12,13 SLOVENIA 6,56 CZECH -9,72 BULGARIA -22,22 LITHUANIA -28,31 ROMANIA na POLAND na ESTONIA na TOT AV. 19,10

SHOES TRENDS OF EXPORTS 2003 -2001 COUNTRY % SLOVAKIA 38,38 BULGARIA 12,13 Poland’s exports are decreasing significantly in a generally decreasing context. LATVIA 2,42 POLAND -14,93 HUNGARY -26,40 CZECH -37,99 LITHUANIA -43,31 ROMANIA na SLOVENIA na ESTONIA na TOT AV. -9,96