2012 EASTERN PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON 16 STORMS; 10 HURRICANES AS OF OCTOBER 16, 2012 2012 EASTERN PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON lecture by Walter Hays Uploading date: June 19, 2012 last update September 28, 2012 More lectures at Disasters Supercourse - http://www.pitt.edu/~super1/collections/collection52.htm   TURNING 2011�S DISASTERS INTO EDUCATIONAL SURGES THAT WILL ADVANCE DISASTER RESILIENCE. PART 4 (Continued) Hurricanes.THE CATASTROPHE AFTER IRENE�S EXIT  (in Spanish) IRENE. A DISASTER FROM WATER, NOT WIND, IN THE NORTHEAST  (in Spanish) HURRICANE IRENE After Landfall in North Carolina on August 27, 2011 IRENE. Ninth Storm and the First Hurricane of the 2011 BACKGROUND FOR THE 2011 HURRICANE SEASON HURRICANE EARL Hurricanes    Part I  (in Spanish) Part II  (in Spanish)   Part III   (in Spanish) Hurricane Rita  Hurricane     (In Spanish)      (In Chinese)   Attribution of Recent Increases in Atlantic Hurricane Activity  �BAD� HURRICANES: 1988-2008 TO EVACUATE OR NOT TO EVACUATE FOR HURRICANES. Part I    Part II Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction, University of North Carolina, USA

THE PROJECTION FOR 2012 WAS A “NEAR NORMAL” YEAR 12-18 NAMED STORMS OF WHICH UP TO 9 COULD BE HURRICANES

ECONOMIC LOSS: $108 MILLION THIRTEEN STORMS AND EIGHT HURRICANES ACTUAL (AS OF SEPT. 25) FATALITIES: ONLY 7 ECONOMIC LOSS: $108 MILLION THIRTEEN STORMS AND EIGHT HURRICANES

ACTUAL STORM TRACKS: AS OF SEPT 25, 2012

ECONOMIC LOSS: $108 MILLION SIXTEEN STORMS AND EIGHT HURRICANES ACTUAL (AS OF OCT. 16) FATALITIES: ONLY 8 ECONOMIC LOSS: $108 MILLION SIXTEEN STORMS AND EIGHT HURRICANES

ACTUAL STORM TRACKS: AS OF OCTOBER 16, 2012

NAMED STORMS IN 2012 ALETTA – TS: May 15 BUD – H: May 24 CARLOTTA – H: June 15 DANIEL – H: JULY 7 EMILIA – H: JULY 8 FABIO – H: JULY 12 GILMA – H: AUGUST 7

NAMED STORMS IN 2012 HECTOR –TS: AUGUST 11 IIEANA – H: AUGUST 27 JOHN –TS: SEPT. 2 KRISTY – TS: SEPT. 12 LANE –TS: SEPT. 17 MIRIAM – H: SEPT. 25 NORMAN –TS: SEPT. 28

NAMED STORMS IN 2012 OLIVIA – TS: OCT. 6 PAUL – H: Oct. 12 ROSA - SERGIO - TARA - VICENT - WILLA -

NAMED STORMS IN 2012 XAVIER - YOLANDA - ZEKE -

TROPICAL STORM ALETTO --- FIRST STORM OF 2012 SEASON FORMED OFF MEXICO’S COAST May 15, 2012

ALETTA’S TRACK: MAY 14-19

ALETTA: TUESDAY, MAY 15, 2012

TROPICAL STORM BUD --- SECOND STORM OF 2012 SEASON BECAME A HURRICANE OFF MEXICO’S PACIFIC COAST May 24, 2012

BUD’S TRACK: MAY 21-26, 2012

HURRICANE BUD: MAY 24, 2012

HURRICANE BUD: MAY 25, 2012

LANDFALL BETWEEN MANZANILLO AND PUERTA VALLARTA

BUD’S IMPACTS Manzanillo’s schools closed Manzanillo’s port closed Heavy rainfall and high winds 2011’S Hurricane Jova, which hit almost the same area in October 2011, was more deadly than Bud.

TROPICAL STORM CORLOTTA --- THIRD STORM OF 2012 SEASON BECAME A HURRICANE OFF MEXICO’S PACIFIC COAST JUNE 15, 2012

CARLOTTA’S TRACK: JUNE 17-21

CARLOTTA: PREDICTED IMPACTS

CARLOTTA: PROJECTED PATH

CARLOTTA Carlotta, which grew to a hurricane, was a big rainmaker, dumping up to 50 cm (20 inches) of rain in Mexico The heavy rain triggered mudslides in mountainous areas

JUNE 15TH LANDFALL NEAR PUERTO ESCONDIDO AT LEAST 2 DEAD

CARLOTTA’S LANDFALL AS CAT 1 STORM

HURRICANE DANIEL --- FOURTH STORM OF 2012 SEASON BECAME A HURRICANE IN PACIFIC NO THREAT TO LAND JULY 7, 2012

DANIEL’S TRACK: JULY 4-11

HURICANE DANIEL: A CAT 1 STORM, JULY 8

TROPICAL STORM EMILIA --- FIFTH STORM OF 2012 SEASON FORMED SOUTH OF MEXICO NOT SIGNIFICANT JULY 8, 2012

EMILIA: FROM A TS TO A CAT 4 HURRICANE: JULY 8-18

TROPICAL STORM EMILIA JULY 8

TROPICAL STORM FABIO --- SIXTH STORM OF 2012 SEASON FORMED IN EAST PACIFIC NOT SIGNIFICANT JULY 13, 2012

TS/HURRICANE FABIO JULY 12-18

TROPICAL STORM GILMA --- SEVENTH STORM OF 2012 SEASON FORMED IN EAST PACIFIC NOT SIGNIFICANT JULY 13, 2012

GILMA: FROM TS TO A CAT 1 HURRICANE; AUGUST 7

TROPICAL STORM HECTOR --- EIGHTH STORM OF 2012 SEASON FORMED IN EAST PACIFIC; WEAKENED BEFORE BECOMING SIGNIFICANT AUGUST 11, 2012

HECTOR’S PATH: AUGUST 11-17

TROPICAL STORM IIEANA --- NINTH STORM OF 2012 SEASON FORMED IN EAST PACIFIC AND WAS NEVER A THREAT AUGUST 27, 2012

IIEANA’S PATH: AUGUST 27-SEPT. 2

TROPICAL STORM JOHN --- TENTH STORM OF 2012 SEASON FORMED IN EAST PACIFIC AND WAS NEVER A THREAT SEPTEMBER 2-4, 2012

JOHN’S PATH: SEPTEMBER 2-4

TROPICAL STORM KRISTY --- ELEVENTH STORM OF 2012 SEASON FORMED IN EAST PACIFIC AND WAS NEVER A THREAT SEPTEMBER 12-14, 2012

KRISTY’S PATH: SEPTEMBER 12-14

TROPICAL STORM LANE --- TWELFTH STORM OF 2012 SEASON FORMED IN EAST PACIFIC AND WAS NEVER A THREAT SEPTEMBER 17-19, 2012

LANE’S PATH: SEPTEMBER 17--19

TROPICAL STORM MIRIAM --- THIRTEENTH STORM OF 2012 SEASON FORMED IN EAST PACIFIC AND QUICKLY BECAME A HURRICANE SEPTEMBER 25 --?, 2012

MIRIAM’S PROJECTED PATH: SEPTEMBER 25

NORMAN’S PATH: SEPTEMBER 28

OLIVA’S PATH: OCTOBER 6

PAUL’S PATH: OCTOBER 12