CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS AND ADAPTATION ASSESSMENT

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Presentation transcript:

CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS AND ADAPTATION ASSESSMENT IN THE PLANTATION SECTOR IN SRI LANKA (AS-12)

INTRODUCTION OBJECTIVES METHODOLOGY Climate scenario - Met Department Crop modeling - CRI, TRI Socio-economic Scenario- CRI, TRI Adaptation tecniques/evaluation - CRI, TRI Out put dissemination to Stakeholder/Policy maker

AGRO ECOLOGICAL REGIONS

CONTRIBUTION FOR ADVANCE SCIENTIFIC KNOWLEDGE ……. Climate scenarios for the island and agro-ecological regions (down-scaling GCM-RCM) Identification of vulnerable areas-present & future (Indicators/GIS Mapping) Crop models for Tea and Coconut Impact assessment – biological / socio-economic (Stakeholder/Sectoral/National) Socio economic Scenarios (with & without CC) Integrated assessments (Productivity-Socio economics) Adaptation/Mitigation measures (CBA)

Adaptation/Mitigation measures (CBA)… TEA Shade, Soil moisture conservation, Irrigation, DR Clones COCONUT Soil moisture conservation, Irrigation, DR Varieties

INFLUENCE ON POLICY DECISION ….. Land use Policy -Crop diversification (Vulnerable areas) -Intensification (Suitable areas) Encourage policy intervention at Macro & Sectoral level -Bio-physical -Import/Export policy -Consumer protection -Value addition/local industries Relief Programmes (Producer protection)