Coordinating Board Action Planning Framework HFE Executive Committee March 17, 2015
Scaling Response to Need: Assessing scale of three-year action plan charge
Your charge to Coordinating Board Assess how to: End veterans homelessness by end of 2015 Decrease by half the unmet housing need among people experiencing homelessness by June 2017 Prioritize options so that no women, children or disabled adults have to sleep on the streets in January 2017 Engage health care providers and funders in ending homelessness (Coordinating Board added) Increase the alignment of employment and housing support
The basic model Single point-in-time Outflow: Inflow: Permanent housing “Self-resolved”/unknown Inflow: Newly homeless Return to homelessness
The basic model Annualized population Met need Unmet need
Key assumptions and limitations Estimates annualized total population and demographics using 2013 point-in-time data as baseline Inflow and outflow estimated from 2013 point-in-time and FY 2013-14 performance data Assumes constant rate of newly homeless (~4600/yr) Does not control for broader economic drivers: Unemployment/recession Housing market/rent costs/inflation Intended to illustrate concepts and trends Requires ongoing evaluation and course-correction
Status Quo
Improve retention
Retention + Additional Placement * *Assumes reduce rate of return to homelessness to 15%
Retention + Additional Placement * *Assumes reduce rate of return to homelessness to 15%
Planning scale: Housing placement 450
Planning scale: Safety off of the streets Response scaled to this gap
Scaling Response to Need: Estimating scale over longer-term
Status Quo
New effort: placement only
New effort: placement + prevention
New effort: placement + prevention
Point-in time Estimates