Testing the Chronoly Projection Conjecture

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Presentation transcript:

Testing the Chronoly Projection Conjecture Dick Bierman & Jacob Jolij University of Groningen

The Data Meta-analyses of ‘presentiment’ studies physiological activity precedes apparent cause EEG preceding winning with the slot machine Retroactive experiments (like Bem’s) behaviour precedes apparent cause Main stream data re-analysis Damasio’s gambling experiment Groningen face detection paradigm

Groningen data Face detection experiment Several hundreds of trials 2 random stimulus conditions: FACE & NOFACE Measuring EEG before, during and after stimulus Several hundreds of trials One trial: 1 key picture Embedded in noise two templates (vectors) One representing EEG before FACE One representing EEG before NOFACE

Analyses Traditional New analysis Are these vectors different? Can we predict the upcoming (random) stimulus Which template fits best to the actual EEG Use actual EEG BEFORE the stimulus-onset Templates use all the data except the data of the actual trial so this a post hoc analysis

Results of FACE/NOFACE predictions STUDY Nsubjects Accuracy t es Hypnosis 27 52% 2.4 0.93 Couples 54 56% 7.1 0.49 Coffee 21 60% 15.2 0.46

Theory CIRTS Time-symmetry based (advanced solutions) Does this imply retro-causation? If so can we use the ‘info from future’ to prevent the predicted future CIRTS: it is impossible to create paradoxes So let’s try it (in spite of Herbert’s warning)

Bilking experiment Use the Face-NoFace paradigm Use ad hoc prediction based upon fore measurement IF Face is predicted the show no-Face This creates in about 3-4% of the cases a paradox. But it doesn’t allow presentiment analysis because the relation between EEG and stim condition is now algorithmic.

Here I need advice What we have implemented

Preliminary Results Only 2 subjects Show the same accuracy in the standard condition. No data yet for the bilking branch condition

Acknowledgement The Heymansgroup at the University of Groningen