LINEAR AND NONLINEAR MODELS

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Nonlinear models Hill et al Chapter 10. Types of nonlinear models Linear in the parameters. –Includes models that can be made linear by transformation:
Advertisements

Econometric Modeling Through EViews and EXCEL
Logistic Regression.
Ch11 Curve Fitting Dr. Deshi Ye
Model assessment and cross-validation - overview
Nonlinear Regression Ecole Nationale Vétérinaire de Toulouse Didier Concordet ECVPT Workshop April 2011 Can be downloaded at
The General Linear Model. The Simple Linear Model Linear Regression.
Read Chapter 17 of the textbook
Classification and Prediction: Regression Via Gradient Descent Optimization Bamshad Mobasher DePaul University.
Curve-Fitting Regression
REGRESSION What is Regression? What is the Regression Equation? What is the Least-Squares Solution? How is Regression Based on Correlation? What are the.
EGR 105 Foundations of Engineering I Fall 2007 – week 7 Excel part 3 - regression.
Basis Expansions and Regularization Based on Chapter 5 of Hastie, Tibshirani and Friedman.
Gl
Linear Regression A method of calculating a linear equation for the relationship between two or more variables using multiple data points.
REGRESSION Predict future scores on Y based on measured scores on X Predictions are based on a correlation from a sample where both X and Y were measured.
Fitting.
1 1 Slide Simple Linear Regression Chapter 14 BA 303 – Spring 2011.
Quadratic Functions and Models Lesson 3.1. Nonlinear Data When the points of the function are plotted, they do not lie in a straight line. This graph.
9 - 1 Intrinsically Linear Regression Chapter Introduction In Chapter 7 we discussed some deviations from the assumptions of the regression model.
1 MULTI VARIATE VARIABLE n-th OBJECT m-th VARIABLE.
3/2003 Rev 1 I – slide 1 of 33 Session I Part I Review of Fundamentals Module 2Basic Physics and Mathematics Used in Radiation Protection.
Slide 1 Non-linear regression All regression analyses are for finding the relationship between a dependent variable (y) and one or more independent variables.
Curve-Fitting Regression
Regression. Population Covariance and Correlation.
Thomas Knotts. Engineers often: Regress data  Analysis  Fit to theory  Data reduction Use the regression of others  Antoine Equation  DIPPR.
Factor: Factor: 1. s 2 r 2 – 4s 4 1. s 2 r 2 – 4s b b 3 c + 18b 2 c b b 3 c + 18b 2 c 2 3. xy + 3x – 2y xy + 3x – 2y -
Regression Regression relationship = trend + scatter
Unit 5 Review: Quadratics and Beyond Honors Analysis.
1 Multiple Regression A single numerical response variable, Y. Multiple numerical explanatory variables, X 1, X 2,…, X k.
Simple Linear Regression. The term linear regression implies that  Y|x is linearly related to x by the population regression equation  Y|x =  +  x.
9.2A- Linear Regression Regression Line = Line of best fit The line for which the sum of the squares of the residuals is a minimum Residuals (d) = distance.
Bangladesh Short term Discharge Forecasting time series forecasting Tom Hopson A project supported by USAID.
Patch Based Prediction Techniques University of Houston By: Paul AMALAMAN From: UH-DMML Lab Director: Dr. Eick.
Estimation of Random Variables Two types of estimation: 1) Estimating parameters/statistics of a random variable (or several) from data. 2)Estimating the.
8.3 Empirical Models. Definition An empirical model is based only on data and is used to predict, not explain, a system. An empirical model consists of.
Regression Modeling Applications in Land use and Transport.
Information criteria What function fits best? The more free parameters a model has the higher will be R 2. The more parsimonious a model is the lesser.
1 Minimum Area Confidence Set (MACS) Criterion for Confidence bands in Simple Linear Regression W. Liu, University of Southampton, UK A.J. Hayter, University.
Statistics 350 Lecture 2. Today Last Day: Section Today: Section 1.6 Homework #1: Chapter 1 Problems (page 33-38): 2, 5, 6, 7, 22, 26, 33, 34,
Linear Regression Hypothesis testing and Estimation.
Linear Models Tony Dodd. 21 January 2008Mathematics for Data Modelling: Linear Models Overview Linear models. Parameter estimation. Linear in the parameters.
3-1Forecasting Weighted Moving Average Formula w t = weight given to time period “t” occurrence (weights must add to one) The formula for the moving average.
Chapter 4: Basic Estimation Techniques
FUNCTIONAL FORMS OF REGRESSION MODELS
Non-linear relationships
Bangladesh Short term Discharge Forecasting
Ch12.1 Simple Linear Regression
Quantitative Methods Dr. Aravind Banakar –
Quantitative Methods Dr. Aravind Banakar –
Chapter 30: Standard Data
LESSON 21: REGRESSION ANALYSIS
Simple Regression Mary M. Whiteside, PhD.
Linear Regression.
Linear Regression.
The Quadratic Formula.
AP Calculus Honors Ms. Olifer
Linear regression Fitting a straight line to observations.
Least Squares Fitting A mathematical procedure for finding the best-fitting curve to a given set of points by minimizing the sum of the squares of the.
Quadratic Functions and Models
Ch. 27: Standard data The reuse of previous times. Advantages
Linear Model Selection and regularization
Fitting CS 678 Spring 2018.
Section 2: Linear Regression.
Nonlinear Fitting.
Decision Making Process
The Math of Machine Learning
3.2 – Least Squares Regression
Logistic Regression.
Regression Models - Introduction
Presentation transcript:

LINEAR AND NONLINEAR MODELS The decisive criterion is position of parameters, not type of regression line! Examples of linear models (paramerers are in linear position): y = a + bx - přímka y = a + bx + cx2 - parabola y = a + (b/x) - hyperbola curves !! Examples of nonlinear models (paramerers are in nonlinear position): y = axb y = aebx Pros – they can model complicated real processes, e.g. growth, with real prediction. Cons – relatively complicated calculus

NONLINEAR MODEL ESTIMATION OF PARAMETERS (arbitrally selected) 1. aproximation 2. estimation of param (first computed) 2. aproximation 3. estimstion of param (second computed)

NONLINEAR MODEL ESTIMATION OF PARAMETERS local min. (there are not optimal solution) global minimum (optimal solution)

ESTIMATION OF REGRESSION MODEL QUALITY Akaike information criterion (AIC) RSS residual sum of squares m number of parameters The AIC is smaller, the model is better.