Chris.kavalec@energy.state.ca.us / 916-654-5184 California Energy Demand (CED) 2011 Revised Electricity and Natural Gas Forecast PG&E February 7, 2012 Chris Kavalec Demand Analysis Office Electricity Supply Analysis Division Chris.kavalec@energy.state.ca.us / 916-654-5184

PG&E Electricity Sales Average annual growth of 1.78%, 1.16%, and 0.86% from 2011-2020 in the high, mid, and low scenarios, respectively, compared to 1.21% in the 2009 IEPR forecast (CED 2009) Lower starting point vs. CED 2009 Slightly lower in low and mid scenarios vs. preliminary 2011 forecast (0.73% lower in 2022 in mid case), slightly higher in high demand case Econometric sales forecast 0.14% higher in mid case in 2022, lower in high case (3.6% in 2022)

PG&E Electricity Sales: CED 2011 Revised vs. CED 2009

PG&E Electricity Sales: CED 2011 Revised vs PG&E Electricity Sales: CED 2011 Revised vs. CED 2011 Preliminary (Mid Case)

PG&E Electricity Sales: CED 2011 Revised vs PG&E Electricity Sales: CED 2011 Revised vs. Econometric Forecast (Mid Case)

PG&E Peak Demand Average annual growth of 2.02%, 1.59%, and 1.06% from 2011-2020 in the high, mid, and low scenarios, respectively, compared to 1.33% in the 2009 IEPR forecast (CED 2009) Lower in all three cases vs. preliminary 2011 forecast (0.25% lower in 2022 in high case, 0.15% lower in mid case, 3.2% lower in low case) Econometric forecast higher in low and mid cases (2.7% in mid case in 2022), slightly lower in high case

PG&E Peak Demand: CED 2011 Revised vs. CED 2009

PG&E Peak Demand: CED 2011 Revised vs. CED 2011 Preliminary (Mid Case)

PG&E Peak Demand: CED 2011 Revised vs. Econometric Forecast (Mid Case)

PG&E TV Standards Savings

PG&E Electric Vehicles

PG&E Self-Generation Peak Impacts