On instrumental errors and related correction strategies of ozonesondes: possible effect on calculated ozone trends for the nearby sites Uccle and De Bilt.

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Presentation transcript:

On instrumental errors and related correction strategies of ozonesondes: possible effect on calculated ozone trends for the nearby sites Uccle and De Bilt R. Van Malderen1, M.A.F. Allaart2, H. De Backer1, H.G.J. Smit3, D. De Muer1 1 2 3

Testing the SI²N Ozonesonde Data Quality Assessment for the nearby stations Uccle and De Bilt R. Van Malderen1, M.A.F. Allaart2, H. De Backer1, H.G.J. Smit3, D. De Muer1 1 2 3

Outline Motivation and introduction: O3S-DQA The Uccle and De Bilt ozonesonde stations Comparison of average ozone profiles Comparison of vertical ozone trends Conclusions

Motivation & introduction Average ozone profiles Uccle & De Bilt Average ozone profiles Vertical ozone trends Conclusions Motivation Most of you are familiar with … Ozonesonde observations around 60 sites worldwide earliest operational launches around 1965 in Resolute “the big three”: Hohenpeissenberg (1967), Uccle (1969), Payerne (1970) e.g. De Bilt, only since Nov. 1992

Motivation & introduction Average ozone profiles Uccle & De Bilt Average ozone profiles Vertical ozone trends Conclusions The pitfalls of ozonesonde time series: different ozonesonde types (BM, KC, ECC) different ECC ozonesonde type manufacturers (ENSCI/DMT, Science Pump) differences between ozonesonde production batches different operating procedures (e.g. measurement of background current, sensing solution/buffer strengths) different post-processing correction algorithms (e.g. normalizing the profile to the total ozone measurements at the same site) These differences occur both between sites and at one site!  need for homogenisation (Ozonesonde Data Quality Assessment (O3S-DQA))

Motivation & introduction Average ozone profiles Uccle & De Bilt Average ozone profiles Vertical ozone trends Conclusions O3S-DQA principles (only for ECC): standard operating procedures guidelines for metadata collection two standards are set: ENSCI 0.5% SST & Science Pump 1% SST (ratio is 1.0 within 1%) transfer functions to those standards, based on double soundings/simulation chamber experiments standard correction algorithms uncertainty estimate for every data point: (5-6% for Uccle ECC) (revised) worldwide, homogenous, consistent dataset to be used for satellite validation and trend analysis 16/04/2012

Motivation & introduction Average ozone profiles Uccle & De Bilt Average ozone profiles Vertical ozone trends Conclusions Uccle and De Bilt only about 175 km from each other horizontal ozone correlation lengths: 500 km (tropo), 1500 km (strato) timescales of ozone autocorrelation: 1.5-3.5 days (tropo),2-6 days (strato) (Liu et al. 2009, 2013) each station represent one ECC standard differences in operating procedures (e.g. background current measurement) both stations apply operationally different correction strategies unique testbed for the O3S-DQA corrections impact of operating procedures and corrections on the (average) profile impact of operating procedures and corrections on the trends!

Motivation & introduction Average ozone profiles Uccle & De Bilt Average ozone profiles Vertical ozone trends Conclusions Uccle and De Bilt very similar time variability, at different atmospheric layers larger spread at De Bilt due to lower frequency of launches Uccle – De Bilt

Motivation & introduction Average ozone profiles Uccle & De Bilt Average ozone profiles Vertical ozone trends Conclusions Average ozone profiles 1997 + average profiles calculated from the station’s ozone profiles corrected by alternative algorithms “relative” differences = choose a reference average profile y (x – y)/y * 100 differences between different Uccle correction strategies are within 3%, within 4% for De Bilt O3S-DQA corrections: better agreement between Uccle and De Bilt only in lower stratosphere (below O3 maximum) O3S-DQA correction at Uccle: better agreement with De Bilt above O3 maximum Van Malderen, R. et al., Atmos. Meas. Tech. Discuss., doi:10.5194/amt-2015-341, in review, 2016.

Motivation & introduction Average ozone profiles Uccle & De Bilt Average ozone profiles Vertical ozone trends Conclusions Vertical ozone trends trend differences between different Uccle correction strategies are within 3%/dec (UStr), within 4%/dec for De Bilt (UTr) O3S-DQA corrections: better agreement between Uccle and De Bilt trends in LStr and LTr, but not significantly different! O3S-DQA corrections: lower trends in Uccle, higher trends in De Bilt! differences between different Uccle correction strategies are within 3%, within 4% for De Bilt O3S-DQA corrections: better agreement between Uccle and De Bilt only in lower stratosphere (below O3 maximum) O3S-DQA correction at Uccle: better agreement with De Bilt above O3 maximum Van Malderen, R. et al., Atmos. Meas. Tech. Discuss., doi:10.5194/amt-2015-341, in review, 2016.

Motivation & introduction Average ozone profiles Uccle & De Bilt Average ozone profiles Vertical ozone trends Conclusions Vertical ozone trends Ozone recovery? period starts with maximum peak value in EESC (1997) only in troposphere: O3 trends significantly different from zero! sign of the O3 trend in the strato- sphere depends on the station and on the applied data processing!  caution is needed when using  terminology like “the onset of ozone  recovery!” trend differences between different Uccle correction strategies are within 3%/dec (UStr), within 4%/dec for De Bilt (UTr) O3S-DQA corrections: better agreement between Uccle and De Bilt trends in LStr and LTr, but not significantly different! O3S-DQA corrections: lower trends in Uccle, higher trends in De Bilt! Van Malderen, R. et al., Atmos. Meas. Tech. Discuss., doi:10.5194/amt-2015-341, in review, 2016.

Motivation & introduction Average ozone profiles Uccle & De Bilt Average ozone profiles Vertical ozone trends Conclusions Conclusions To serve the climate and satellite communities, an international ozonesonde data quality assessment activity was initiated. The close ozonesonde stations Uccle and De Bilt provide a unique testbed for this homogeneity activity. Still, natural differences in the vertical distribution of ozone between Uccle and De Bilt are likely to occur ( needs more investigation!). The O3S-DQA corrections do not give an overall better agreement of the average profiles and trends between both stations. The impact of the correction strategies on the trends can make the difference between the onset of ozone recovery or not.

Thank you for your attention More details: Van Malderen R., Allaart M.A.F., De Backer H., Smit H.G.J. and De Muer D., Atmos. Meas. Tech. Discuss., doi:10.5194/amt-2015-341, in review, 2016.

Extra slides

Average ozone profiles Vertical ozone trends large differences between the different Uccle correction steps final Uccle correction (BM+ECC) gives differences of 8-15% compared to standard pump correction only strong reduction of the vertical trends by the final Uccle correction w.r.t. the standard pump corrections final Uccle correction are fairly constant and consistent: +2 to +3 % dec-1 in troposphere, -1 to -2 % dec-1 in stratosphere Van Malderen, R. et al., Atmos. Meas. Tech. Discuss., doi:10.5194/amt-2015-341, in review, 2016.

Average uncertainties of the Uccle O3 profile

Motivation & introduction Average ozone profiles Uccle & De Bilt Average ozone profiles Vertical ozone trends Conclusions Average ozone profiles Uccle oper. corr. (blue) reduces O3 differences to within 5% BM sondes have a typical response equivalent to about 80% of the actual ozone amount large differences (UT: >15%) between both De Bilt corrections Van Malderen, R. et al., Atmos. Meas. Tech. Discuss., doi:10.5194/amt-2015-341, in review, 2016.

Total ozone trend at Uccle O3 ↘ -0.26±0.05 %/yr (1980-1996) O3 ↗ +0.28±0.05 %/yr (1997-2014) full recovery at Uccle? impact of volcanic eruptions on ozone! other processes responsible for the O3 time variability?

Sensing solution strengths (SST)

Total ozone seasonal variation in general, highest values in spring, lowest values in fall Total ozone monthly trends only in late spring-early summer (Apr-June): significant negative trends in total ozone at Uccle RMI conference 25/11/2015

Vertical ozone distribution at Uccle  stratospheric O3 ↘  tropospheric O3 ↗ BUT: different periods = different ozonesonde types! = BM & ECC

Vertical ozone distribution at Uccle  stratospheric O3 ↘ at around -2%/decade  tropospheric O3 ↗ at around +2%/decade Impact of the different ozonesonde types on the trends?