Daryl Montgomery August 14, 2012 Copyright 2012, All Rights Reserved Market Update – August 2012 Daryl Montgomery August 14, 2012 Copyright 2012, All Rights Reserved The contents of this presentation are not intended as a recommendation to buy or sell any security.
Background Material for Charts Moving Averages – 50-day, 200-day, 325-day or 10-week, 40-week, 65 week RSI – relative strength index, 80-overbought, 20 oversold, 50 divides bearish and bullish MACD – moving average convergence divergence, zero divide bullish bearish, peak and bottom numbers variable DMI – Directional Movement Index, +DI (blue), -DI (red) and trend line (black).
Market Outlook There are potential problems in the market until next spring (possibly to fall 2013). A market crash will become increasingly likely during this period. Market has held up despite very bad news, this can only happen if a lot of liquidity is being injected. Money printing will not materialize as claimed. Gold, silver and Bond Interest rates trying to bottom.
Leveraged Emerging Markets & Stocks LBJ – 3x Latin America YINN – 3x China RUSL – 3x Russia EDC – 3x Emerging Markets INDL – 3x India UBR – 2x Brazil BRIL – 3x BRIC (Brazil, Russia, India, China) TNA – 3x Small Cap SOXL – 3x Semiconductors
Leveraged Commodities UGLD – 3x Gold USLV – 3x SLV NUGT – 3x Miners ERX – 3x oil stocks COWL – 3x agribusiness UCO – 2x oil WTI commodity MATL – 3x basic materials
Major Markets
Volume Dow Jones 5 Years Weekly
Dow Jones 3-Years Weekly 10, 40, 65-Week Moving Average and RSI, DMI, MACD
Dow Jones Transportation 3-Years Weekly 10, 40, 65-Week Moving Average and RSI, DMI, MACD
S&P 500 3-Years Weekly 10, 40, 65-Week Moving Average and RSI, DMI, MACD
Nasdaq 3-Years Weekly 10, 40,65-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD
Russell 2000 3-Years Weekly 10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages and RSI, DMI, MACD
VIX 5-Years Weekly 10, 40, 65-Week Moving Average and RSI, DMI, MACD
VIX Six-Month Daily 50, 200, 325-Day Moving Average and RSI, DMI, MACD
UK FTSE 3-Years Weekly 10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD
German DAX 3-Years Weekly 10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD
France: CAC-40 3-Years Weekly 10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD
Japan: Nikkei 3-Years Weekly 10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD
Emerging Market Indices
Hong Kong Hang Seng 3-Years Weekly 10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD
Brazil Bovespa 3-Years Weekly 10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages and RSI, DMI, MACD
India Sensex 3-Years Weekly 10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages and RSI, DMI, MACD
Shanghai Composite 3-Years Weekly 10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages and RSI, DMI, MACD
Russia RTS 3-Years Weekly 10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages and RSI, DMI, MACD
Commodities
GOLD ETF: GLD 3-Years Weekly 10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD
GOLD ETF: GLD 7-Years Monthly 40 Month Moving Average, RSI, DMI, MACD
Mining ETF GDX 3-Years Weekly 10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages and RSI, DMI, MACD
Mining ETF GDXJ 3-Years Weekly 10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages and RSI, DMI, MACD
Silver ETF SLV 3-Years Weekly 10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD
WTI Crude Oil 9-Years Monthly
CA:U (Uranium) 3-Years Weekly 10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD
KWT Solar ETF 3-Years Weekly 10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD
Copper ETF JJC 3-Years Weekly 10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD
Agriculture ETF RJA 3-Years Weekly 10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD
Currencies
U.S. $ DXY 3-Years Weekly 10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages and RSI, DMI, MACD
Euro FXE 3-Years Weekly 10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages and RSI, DMI, MACD
Swiss Franc FXF 3-Years Weekly 10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages and RSI, DMI, MACD
Australian $ FXA 3-Years Weekly 10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages and RSI, DMI, MACD
Canadian $ FXC 3-Years Weekly 10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages and RSI, DMI, MACD
Bonds
30-Year Treasury Yield 3-Years Weekly 10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD
10-Year Treasury Yield 3-Years Weekly 10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD