Mapping and Gap Analysis Summarised Preliminary Results

Macroeconomic Context of Early Recovery Growth impact estimates lowered – but still substantial (Output losses of ≈2% of GDP est. in current year due to floods) Yields of key crops boosted (wheat, sunflower, canola, sugarcane) Fiscal impact absorbed with relative ease due to foreign exchange inflow and re-appropriation of PSDP and ADP Vulnerability of affected population has increased (53% of HHs reported 76-100% decline in household incomes) Spike in flood-related food inflation for several months Possibly increased persistence of food + overall inflation

Priority Areas for Early Recovery Regeneration of agricultural economy – Kharif crop and the next Rabi Provision of shelter to the most vulnerable in the worst affected areas Restoration of public sector infrastructure and services Continued focus on the most vulnerable

Purpose of Gap Analysis Sector-wise and Theme-wise disaggregated data on ER needs, response so far, and Gaps Financial data about ER needs and updated funding pledges and receipts A Strategic Early Recovery Plan

Principles for Prioritisation in Gap Identification Relevance (Concentration on ER, excluding relief, longer term reconstruction and development) Focus (Concentration on the most vulnerable sections of the affected population) Capacity (Availability of Human and Physical resources nationally) Timeliness (Possible for implementation before the end of 2011)

Cost Comparison of Overall ER Needs and Prioritised Needs (US$) Sector/Theme Total ER Needs Prioritised ER Needs Food & Agriculture 436,700,000 176,550,000 Housing 349,190,565 174,595,282 Non Farm Livelihoods 85,930,552 15,234,155 Community Infrastructure 92,005,877 11,323,000 Governance 13,536,000 8,536,000 Education 38,298,486 Health & Nutrition 86,365,884 49,000,000 Water & Sanitation 138,454,000 106,630,000 Gender 500,000 Protection 14,000,600 Environment 21,000,000 5,020,500 Disaster Risk Reduction 10,665,000 TOTAL 1,138,496,364 610,353,023

Cost Comparison of Overall ER Needs and Prioritised Needs (US$)

Distribution of Prioritised ER Costs among Sectors (US$)

Distribution of Prioritised ER Costs among Thematic Areas (US$)