Projected health effects of realistic dietary changes to address freshwater constraints in India: a modelling study Dr James Milner, PhD, Edward J M.

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Presentation transcript:

Projected health effects of realistic dietary changes to address freshwater constraints in India: a modelling study Dr James Milner, PhD, Edward J M Joy, PhD, Rosemary Green, PhD, Francesca Harris, MSc, Lukasz Aleksandrowicz, MSc, Sutapa Agrawal, PhD, Pete Smith, PhD, Andy Haines, FMedSci, Alan D Dangour, PhD The Lancet Planetary Health Volume 1, Issue 1, Pages e26-e32 (April 2017) DOI: 10.1016/S2542-5196(17)30001-3 Copyright © 2017 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY license Terms and Conditions

Figure 1 Mean deviations of optimised dietary patterns from current consumption (sum of squared percentage changes in consumption across all food groups) for different levels of blue water footprint reduction under 2025 and 2050 scenarios Percentage changes in consumption in each food group were squared to account for increases and decreases in consumption. The Lancet Planetary Health 2017 1, e26-e32DOI: (10.1016/S2542-5196(17)30001-3) Copyright © 2017 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY license Terms and Conditions

Figure 2 Modelled health impacts (changes in life-years over 40 years per 100 000 population) for each dietary pattern under the 2025 scenario as a result of adoption of optimised Indian dietary patterns for coronary heart disease (A), stroke (B), type 2 diabetes (C), and cancers (D) Positive values indicate health benefits. Thick lines indicate the median, boxes indicate the IQR, whiskers indicate the limits of nominal range, and open circles indicate outliers. The Lancet Planetary Health 2017 1, e26-e32DOI: (10.1016/S2542-5196(17)30001-3) Copyright © 2017 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY license Terms and Conditions

Figure 3 Modelled health impacts (changes in life-years over 40 years per 100 000 population) for each dietary pattern under 2050 scenario as a result of adoption of optimised Indian dietary patterns for coronary heart disease (A), stroke (B), type 2 diabetes (C), and cancers (D) Positive values indicate health benefits. Thick lines indicate the median, boxes indicate the IQR, whiskers indicate the limits of nominal range, and open circles indicate outliers. The Lancet Planetary Health 2017 1, e26-e32DOI: (10.1016/S2542-5196(17)30001-3) Copyright © 2017 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY license Terms and Conditions